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Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
 
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARDIFF CITY FC                            SWINDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jonas Bauer            11    2   13     Gk Ryan McAdam            12    0   12
Df Nuno Botelho           12    1   13     Df Carleton Symes         15    0   15
Df Bryan Boivin            7    2    9     Df João Rocha             12    0   12
Df Tom Fischer             6    2    8     Df Taylor Riley            6    2    8
Df Noah MacKenzie          3    2    5     Mf Alessio Fontana        12    0   12
Mf Rodrigo Melo           13    1   14     Mf Steven Reed            11    0   11
Mf Mads Fredgaard         10    1   11     Mf Carrington Cleverley    6    2    8
Mf Ollie Whiteside         3    2    5     Mf Mattéo Lemonnier        3    2    5
Mf Agustín Castro          3    2    5     Fw Shaun Muir              9    0    9
Fw Lucas Lamour           12    1   13     Fw Henry Payne             9    0    9
Fw Paul Guibert            3    2    5     Fw Matty Lee               6   -1    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13  0 35 35 18        ROSTER TOTALS      12  0 35 36 23    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  5    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  0 35 35 27         T O T A L S       12  0 35 36 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jonas Bauer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.91 (no red card)

Df Nuno Botelho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.01 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.45 (no second yellow)

Df Bryan Boivin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.22 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.5 (no second yellow)

Df Tom Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.55 (no red card)

Df Noah MacKenzie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.11 (no red card)

Mf Rodrigo Melo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.84 (no red card)

Mf Mads Fredgaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.8 (no red card)

Mf Ollie Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.87 (no red card)

Mf Agustín Castro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.71 (no red card)

Fw Lucas Lamour: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.52 (no red card)

Fw Paul Guibert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.63 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan McAdam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.64 (no red card)

Df Carleton Symes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.47 (no red card)

Df João Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.56 (no red card)

Df Taylor Riley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.26 (no red card)

Mf Alessio Fontana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.25 (no red card)

Mf Steven Reed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.59 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.27 (no second yellow)

Mf Carrington Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.48 (no red card)

Mf Mattéo Lemonnier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.79 (no red card)

Fw Shaun Muir: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.07 (no red card)

Fw Henry Payne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.58 (no red card)

Fw Matty Lee: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.9 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jonas Bauer: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 47.87 (no injury) 
Df Nuno Botelho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.19 (no injury) 
Df Bryan Boivin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.76 (no injury) 
Df Tom Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.94 (no injury) 
Df Noah MacKenzie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.79 (no injury) 
Mf Rodrigo Melo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.94 (no injury) 
Mf Mads Fredgaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.35 (no injury) 
Mf Ollie Whiteside: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.11 (no injury) 
Mf Agustín Castro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.45 (no injury) 
Fw Lucas Lamour: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.49 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Guibert: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.34 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ryan McAdam: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 23.69 (no injury) 
Df Carleton Symes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.18 (no injury) 
Df João Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.43 (no injury) 
Df Taylor Riley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.14 (no injury) 
Mf Alessio Fontana: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.5 (no injury) 
Mf Steven Reed: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.93 (no injury) 
Mf Carrington Cleverley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.95 (no injury) 
Mf Mattéo Lemonnier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.87 (no injury) 
Fw Shaun Muir: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.66 (no injury) 
Fw Henry Payne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.3 (no injury) 
Fw Matty Lee: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.32 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Rodrigo Melo SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Ryan McAdam SL 12

     intRndPk = 38
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Carleton Symes SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Jonas Bauer SL 11

     intRndPk = 51
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Cardiff City FC          13   0  35  35  27
  Swindon Town FC          12   0  35  36  28

Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 35)
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((35 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 2 ((35 - 28) / 5); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Noah MacKenzie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 80.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Nuno Botelho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 24.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          12   0  35  36  28
  Cardiff City FC          13   0  35  35  27

Cardiff City FC is using Offside Trap!
Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 35)
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((36 - 35) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((35 - 27) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Carleton Symes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Cardiff City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 14.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Carleton Symes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Cardiff City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 40.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Steven Reed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Cardiff City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARDIFF CITY FC 1  -  SWINDON TOWN FC 0
 
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