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Tuesday, March 19th, 2024 - 05:02:08 AM (gmt)
 
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Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Joshua Samed           14    2   16     Gk Wayne Carroll          16    2   18
Sw Tommy McGree            9    2   11     Sw Toni Meyer              8    2   10
Df Santiago Castillo      14    2   16     Df Hugo Simons            13    2   15
Df Gabriel Lind           13    2   15     Df Waly Ka                10    2   12
Df Osvaldo Raphinha       11    2   13     Df Radoslaw Kaminski       9    2   11
Mf Ian Tejeda             14    2   16     Df Martin Rodríguez        4    2    6
Mf Stefan Boniek           8    1    9     Mf Melvin Carmona         13    1   14
Mf Patrice Djemba          4    2    6     Mf Tomasz Lewandowski      9    2   11
Fw Ryu Haraguchi          14    2   16     Df Denis Fellaini          2    1    3
Fw Damien Sanchez         15    2   17     Fw Robert Fawlty           9    2   11
Fw Joel Zamora             9    2   11     Fw Dafydd Chapman          8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 11 44 31 44        ROSTER TOTALS      18 10 47 25 21    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  3  4  0    
=======================================================================
      16 11 44 33 51         T O T A L S       18 10 50 29 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.66 (no red card)

Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.64 (no red card)

Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.41 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.27 (no red card)

Df Osvaldo Raphinha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.02 (no red card)

Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.72 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.08 (no red card)

Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.26 (no red card)

Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.75 (no red card)

Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.09 (no red card)

Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.52 (no red card)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.14 (no red card)

Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.04 (no red card)

Df Hugo Simons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.43 (no red card)

Df Waly Ka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.77 (no red card)

Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.88 (no red card)

Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.75 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.34 (no second yellow)

Mf Melvin Carmona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.05 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.92 (no second yellow)

Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.57 (no red card)

Df Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.94 (no red card)

Fw Robert Fawlty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.62 (no red card)

Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.09 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 62.6 (no injury) 
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.56 (no injury) 
Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.63 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.8 (no injury) 
Df Osvaldo Raphinha: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.65 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.93 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.85 (no injury) 
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.69 (no injury) 
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.17 (no injury) 
Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.42 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.8 (no injury) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 15.66 (no injury) 
Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.22 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Simons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.81 (no injury) 
Df Waly Ka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.23 (no injury) 
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.01 (no injury) 
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.92 (no injury) 
Mf Melvin Carmona: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.75 (no injury) 
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.02 (no injury) 
Df Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.97 (no injury) 
Fw Robert Fawlty: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.52 (no injury) 
Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.8 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Damien Sanchez SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Wayne Carroll SL 16

     intRndPk = 25
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Hugo Simons SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 14

     intRndPk = 49
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       16  11  44  33  51
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    18  10  50  29  21

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 1 (51 - 50); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((33 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 8 ((44 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Osvaldo Raphinha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Gabriel Lind
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 16.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Gabriel Lind
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Osvaldo Raphinha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Gabriel Lind
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Gabriel Lind
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    18  10  50  29  21
  Crewe Alexandra FC       16  11  44  33  51

Weston-super-Mare AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 44)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((50 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0  -  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 0
 
Match Notes
Weston are making a promotion push and will send us a tough challenge
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 03/11 - 2:12 PM
 
 
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