(H)
Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
League Round 14
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARDIFF CITY FC BRENTFORD FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Andres Ruiz 9 2 11 Gk John Kosowski 16 1 17
Sw Lewis Kane 11 2 13 Sw Joseph Hadja 13 2 15
Df Mark O'Byrne 12 2 14 Df Haris Seferovic 13 1 14
Df Nick Jacobs 10 2 12 Df Kazu Fukunishi 12 2 14
Mf Emil Jeppesen 13 0 13 Df Philippe Fabinho 11 2 13
Mf Ricardo Salcedo 9 2 11 Df Gildardo Aguilar 8 2 10
Fw Fabrice Ndi 16 2 18 Df Igor Bremer 4 2 6
Fw Edson Blanco 13 2 15 Mf Francois Fournier 12 1 13
Fw Leonardo Alonso 13 2 15 Mf Luke Phillips 9 2 11
Fw Tomas Eriksson 9 2 11 Fw Miguel Díaz 13 0 13
Fw Eddy Perez 8 2 10 Fw Claudio Zappi 13 2 15
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
11 13 26 24 69 ROSTER TOTALS 17 15 57 24 28
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 2 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
14 13 26 26 76 T O T A L S 17 15 57 24 28
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Andres Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.87 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.76 (no red card)
Sw Lewis Kane: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.13 (no red card)
Df Mark O'Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.6 (no red card)
Df Nick Jacobs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.04 (no red card)
Mf Emil Jeppesen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.66 (no red card)
Mf Ricardo Salcedo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.84 (no red card)
Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.02 (no red card)
Fw Edson Blanco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.68 (no red card)
Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.57 (no red card)
Fw Tomas Eriksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.3 (no red card)
Fw Eddy Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.99 (no red card)
******* BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk John Kosowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.98 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.53 (no red card)
Sw Joseph Hadja: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.28 (no red card)
Df Haris Seferovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.05 (no red card)
Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.38 (no red card)
Df Philippe Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.45 (no red card)
Df Gildardo Aguilar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.68 (no red card)
Df Igor Bremer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.5 (no red card)
Mf Francois Fournier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.47 (no red card)
Mf Luke Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.91 (no red card)
Fw Miguel Díaz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.22 (no red card)
Fw Claudio Zappi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.8 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Andres Ruiz: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 51.59 (no injury)
Sw Lewis Kane: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.85 (no injury)
Df Mark O'Byrne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.37 (no injury)
Df Nick Jacobs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.09 (no injury)
Mf Emil Jeppesen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.42 (no injury)
Mf Ricardo Salcedo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.39 (no injury)
Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.68 (no injury)
Fw Edson Blanco: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.87 (no injury)
Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.19 (no injury)
Fw Tomas Eriksson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.14 (no injury)
Fw Eddy Perez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.55 (no injury)
******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
- Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk John Kosowski: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 78.81 (no injury)
Sw Joseph Hadja: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.22 (no injury)
Df Haris Seferovic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.62 (no injury)
Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.43 (no injury)
Df Philippe Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.06 (no injury)
Df Gildardo Aguilar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.0 (no injury)
Df Igor Bremer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.82 (no injury)
Mf Francois Fournier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.01 (no injury)
Mf Luke Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.99 (no injury)
Fw Miguel Díaz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.61 (no injury)
Fw Claudio Zappi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.06 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Fabrice Ndi SL 16
- Defending Gk: John Kosowski SL 16
intRndPk = 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Haris Seferovic SL 13
- Defending Gk: Andres Ruiz SL 9
intRndPk = 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 8 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Cardiff City FC 14 13 26 26 76
Brentford FC 17 15 57 24 28
Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 19 (76 - 57); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((26 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 28) / 3; rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 20
1: Attack for Mf Emil Jeppesen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Eddy Perez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Tomas Eriksson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 48.91 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Eddy Perez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Eddy Perez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Eddy Perez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Tomas Eriksson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 62.85 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 51.44 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 31.94 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
******* BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brentford FC 17 15 57 24 28
Cardiff City FC 14 13 26 26 76
Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 2 (28 - 26); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 26) / 2; rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((57 - 76) / 3; rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 74.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARDIFF CITY FC 0 - BRENTFORD FC 1
Match Notes
Cardiff at home. Wilkes will call it a bounce back performance regardless of the outcome — he tends to find meaning in results that don't quite exist yet. Sellers will have other ideas.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/20 - 6:30 PM
Tough road fixture for our poor Bees...
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/20 - 7:31 PM
This is a must win for both teams
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 06/25 - 7:41 PM
Wilkes keeps Cardiff hovering in that comfortable limbo between ambition and excuses. Sellers takes the points quietly, which is usually how the intelligent ones do it.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/27 - 6:30 PM
We threw the kitchen sink here and it didn’t work as in real football it only t,es a good shot to get a goal reluctantly well done al
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 06/27 - 7:31 PM
Wow...that 76 Fw line was impressive. Fortunate to win but not sure it will be enough. Well played Graham.
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/28 - 2:28 AM
Big result for Al
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/28 - 11:46 AM