(H)
Port Vale FC
John Holden
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
League Round 14
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
PORT VALE FC CARLISLE UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Dylan De boer 15 2 17 Gk Dani Cassio 15 2 17
Sw Pablo Odriozola 15 2 17 Sw Alistair Robinson 8 2 10
Df Meliton López 8 2 10 Df Nicola Panucci 15 -1 14
Df Saul Meraz 4 2 6 Df Jonas Schäfer 12 1 13
Mf Benedicto González 11 2 13 Df Kyria Brozovic 8 2 10
Mf Charlie Maclaren 8 2 10 Df Deryn Cartwright 4 2 6
Fw Martin Aguilera 14 2 16 Mf Minato Morishima 13 2 15
Fw Hermidio Rivera 14 0 14 Mf Ousmane Laforest 8 2 10
Fw Adam Vasilev 15 1 16 Mf Alexander Dolberg 4 2 6
Fw Ayrton Chamot 8 -1 7 Fw Agustin Martinez 8 2 10
Fw Gorgui Sall 4 2 6 Fw Liam Harries 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 17 16 23 59 ROSTER TOTALS 17 10 43 31 16
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 5 0 4 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 3 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
=======================================================================
17 17 21 23 63 T O T A L S 17 13 50 31 16
============================================================================
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.0 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.29 (no red card)
Sw Pablo Odriozola: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.4 (no red card)
Df Meliton López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.0 (no red card)
Df Saul Meraz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.27 (no red card)
Mf Benedicto González: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.97 (no red card)
Mf Charlie Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.59 (no red card)
Fw Martin Aguilera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.01 (no red card)
Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.0 (no red card)
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.11 (no red card)
Fw Ayrton Chamot: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.76 (no red card)
Fw Gorgui Sall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.39 (no red card)
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.6 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.08 (no red card)
Sw Alistair Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.98 (no red card)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.23 (no red card)
Df Jonas Schäfer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.11 (no red card)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.21 (no red card)
Df Deryn Cartwright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.78 (no red card)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.88 (no red card)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.52 (no red card)
Mf Alexander Dolberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.99 (no red card)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.39 (no red card)
Fw Liam Harries: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.32 (no red card)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 96.8 (no injury)
Sw Pablo Odriozola: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.61 (no injury)
Df Meliton López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.33 (no injury)
Df Saul Meraz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.02 (no injury)
Mf Benedicto González: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.81 (no injury)
Mf Charlie Maclaren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.46 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 5
Charlie Maclaren is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Charlie Maclaren new match skill level = 4
Charlie Maclaren new match total level = 6
Fw Martin Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.75 (no injury)
Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.91 (no injury)
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.0 (no injury)
Fw Ayrton Chamot: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.54 (no injury)
Fw Gorgui Sall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.96 (no injury)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 12.64 (no injury)
Sw Alistair Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.44 (no injury)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.17 (no injury)
Df Jonas Schäfer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.27 (no injury)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.36 (no injury)
Df Deryn Cartwright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.6 (no injury)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.86 (no injury)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.75 (no injury)
Mf Alexander Dolberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.61 (no injury)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.07 (no injury)
Fw Liam Harries: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.09 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Adam Vasilev SL 15
- Defending Gk: Dani Cassio SL 15
intRndPk = 79
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Nicola Panucci SL 15
- Defending Gk: Dylan De boer SL 15
intRndPk = 52
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Port Vale FC 17 17 21 19 63
Carlisle United 17 13 50 31 16
Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 13 (63 - 50); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 31) / 2; rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 2 ((21 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 15
1: Attack for Df Meliton López
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Meliton López
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Martin Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 4.68 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Ayrton Chamot
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Martin Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Martin Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Martin Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 66.44 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 95.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Martin Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Martin Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 17 13 50 31 16
Port Vale FC 17 17 21 19 63
Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 21)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 3 ((31 - 19) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((50 - 63) / 3; rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 3
1: Attack for Mf Ousmane Laforest
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 79.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Mf Minato Morishima
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 45.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Ousmane Laforest
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 76.95 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
PORT VALE FC 1 - CARLISLE UNITED 1
Match Notes
Do me a favour please Dave :)
James (Sheffield United) 06/20 - 7:58 PM
Carlisle making the trip down, nothing to lose. Port Vale at home though — that crowd gets behind 'em. Tough afternoon for the away side.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 06/22 - 6:30 PM
Port Vale at home, Carlisle coming to town. Second division football at its most functional — someone will grind out a result and neither side will look particularly elegant doing it.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/26 - 6:30 PM
I'm sure we can inadvertently provide you with a favour, John. We seem to be quite good at that sort of thing.
Dave (Carlisle United) 06/26 - 11:29 PM
James, sorry, not John.
Dave (Carlisle United) 06/26 - 11:30 PM
Confused by who was asking! Drinking Vietmanese coffee stout whilst doing one's orders is perhaps not recommended!
Dave (Carlisle United) 06/26 - 11:32 PM
Well that's frustrating
John (Port Vale FC) 06/27 - 11:04 PM
I'll choose unexpected as my adjective for this one, but totally understand John's choice of frustrating.
Dave (Carlisle United) 06/28 - 3:24 PM