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Leeds United
Abe Hamdali
 
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEEDS UNITED                               BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gianni Tabarez         16    2   18     Gk Ethan Maddison         12    0   12
Sw Fidel Ayala             9    2   11     Df Matheus Robinho        14    2   16
Df Julien Sonko           14    2   16     Df Jason McDiarmid        14    2   16
Df Tunahan Horta           8    2   10     Df Federico Zanetti       13   -2   11
Df Cesar Vela              8    2   10     Df Ali Chukwu              8    0    8
Mf David Zurawski         10    1   11     Mf Renato Ortega          12    1   13
Mf George Essein          10    1   11     Mf Minki Sung-yeung       10    2   12
Fw Iain Pratt             16    1   17     Mf Boris Perisic           8    1    9
Fw Cesare Nesta           16    0   16     Mf Abdoul N'Diaye          8    2   10
Fw Giliard Ramos           8    2   10     Fw Ruben Gutiérrez        20    2   22
Fw Amaechi Nwosu           8    2   10     Fw Elias Mayer            14    2   16

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 11 36 22 53        ROSTER TOTALS      12  0 51 44 38    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  2  2  1  1    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 11 36 22 62         T O T A L S       14  2 53 45 39    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEEDS UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gianni Tabarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.78 (no red card)

Sw Fidel Ayala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.15 (no red card)

Df Julien Sonko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.63 (no red card)

Df Tunahan Horta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.64 (no red card)

Df Cesar Vela: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.01 (no red card)

Mf David Zurawski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.31 (no red card)

Mf George Essein: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.0 (no red card)

Fw Iain Pratt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.44 (no red card)

Fw Cesare Nesta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.88 (no red card)

Fw Giliard Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.49 (no red card)

Fw Amaechi Nwosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.37 (no red card)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 8
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 92.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 29.46 (no red card)

Df Matheus Robinho: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 8.21 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 7.56 (no second yellow)

Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 76.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 17.18 (no red card)

Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 25.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 65.05 (no red card)

Df Ali Chukwu: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 93.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 75.16 (no red card)

Mf Renato Ortega: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 87.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 21.77 (no red card)

Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 19.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 85.24 (no red card)

Mf Boris Perisic: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 16.21 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 26.46 (no second yellow)

Mf Abdoul N'Diaye: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 81.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 61.88 (no red card)

Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 30.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 74.97 (no red card)

Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 36.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 6.03 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 8
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 8.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 4.25%
Gk Gianni Tabarez: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 70.4 (no injury) 
Sw Fidel Ayala: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 93.44 (no injury) 
Df Julien Sonko: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 24.3 (no injury) 
Df Tunahan Horta: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 51.07 (no injury) 
Df Cesar Vela: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 43.82 (no injury) 
Mf David Zurawski: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 49.63 (no injury) 
Mf George Essein: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 36.67 (no injury) 
Fw Iain Pratt: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 78.75 (no injury) 
Fw Cesare Nesta: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 20.66 (no injury) 
Fw Giliard Ramos: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 5.1 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Giliard Ramos is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Giliard Ramos new match skill level =  4
      Giliard Ramos new match total level =  6
Fw Amaechi Nwosu: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 50.83 (no injury) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 8
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.25%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 2.25% | Random number = 85.41 (no injury) 
Df Matheus Robinho: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 46.87 (no injury) 
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 38.55 (no injury) 
Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 53.5 (no injury) 
Df Ali Chukwu: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 44.6 (no injury) 
Mf Renato Ortega: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 26.42 (no injury) 
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 86.51 (no injury) 
Mf Boris Perisic: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 72.49 (no injury) 
Mf Abdoul N'Diaye: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 30.25 (no injury) 
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 15.76 (no injury) 
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 54.36 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 8; (8 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Iain Pratt SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ruben Gutiérrez SL 20
   - Defending Gk: Gianni Tabarez SL 16

     intRndPk = 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEEDS UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leeds United             18  11  36  22  58
  Brighton & Hove Albion   14   0  53  45  39

Leeds United Fw Attacks = 5 (58 - 53); result rounded up
Leeds United Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 45) / 2;  rounded up)
Leeds United Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 39) / 3;  rounded up)
Leeds United Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Fw Giliard Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 67.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Iain Pratt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 88.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Iain Pratt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 32.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Giliard Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 65.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Cesare Nesta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   14   0  53  45  39
  Leeds United             18  11  36  22  58

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 3 (39 - 36); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 12 ((45 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((53 - 58) / 5;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Mf Boris Perisic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Abdoul N'Diaye
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Minki Sung-yeung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Boris Perisic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 90.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Boris Perisic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 74.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Abdoul N'Diaye
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Boris Perisic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Minki Sung-yeung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Minki Sung-yeung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 88.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Mf Minki Sung-yeung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Minki Sung-yeung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Boris Perisic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 77.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEEDS UNITED 1  -  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 2
 

Match Notes

This is going to hurt.
~ Brian ~ Jun 21 (Brighton & Hove Albion)  
May the best win Brian!!
~ Abe ~ Jun 21 (Leeds United)  
This is going to be a tough match for us as well!!
~ Abe ~ Jun 21 (Leeds United)  
Beerman at Elland Road — nobody knows what Brighton'll do next, and neither does he. Leeds better not switch off or B-Squared'll nick summat.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ Jun 22 (Blyth Spartans AFC)  
Beerman's water philosophy meets a Leeds side that doesn't particularly care what shape you are. B-Squared has seven FA Cup finals on the CV but promotion remains the white whale.
~ Olmec Head Marcus ~ Jun 24 (Coventry City)  
Good game Brian and a well deserved win
~ Abe ~ Jun 28 (Leeds United)  
Brighton continues to win. A big warning to the Div2 teams, This team is to be taken seriously.
~ Abe ~ Jun 28 (Leeds United)  
Beerman doesn't have a clue what he's doing in this game. He's no threat to anyone.
~ Aires ~ Jun 28 (Wycombe Wanderers)  
 
 
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