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Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON TOWN FC                            DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan McAdam            12    0   12     Gk Jared Stretch          13    0   13
Df Marcos Araújo          13   -2   11     Sw Lawrence Moore         13    0   13
Df Carleton Symes         15    0   15     Df Callum Maguire         10    1   11
Df Taylor Riley            6    2    8     Df Nathan Daugherty        7    2    9
Df Mark Cook               3    2    5     Df Morgan Honeybun         3    2    5
Mf Alessio Fontana        12    0   12     Mf Jae-Sun  Jang           7    2    9
Mf Steven Reed            11    0   11     Mf Zak Ellis               5    2    7
Mf Carrington Cleverley    6    2    8     Mf Steven Clapinson        3    2    5
Fw Shaun Muir              9    0    9     Fw Thomas Rogers          13    0   13
Fw Henry Payne             9    0    9     Fw Reuven  Bar            15    0   15
Fw Matty Lee               6   -1    5     Fw Luiz Ribeiro            7    0    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  0 39 31 23        ROSTER TOTALS      13 13 25 21 35    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12  0 39 31 32         T O T A L S       13 13 25 21 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan McAdam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.69 (no red card)

Df Marcos Araújo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.64 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.34 (no second yellow)

Df Carleton Symes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.62 (no red card)

Df Taylor Riley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.84 (no red card)

Df Mark Cook: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.85 (no red card)

Mf Alessio Fontana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.08 (no red card)

Mf Steven Reed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.88 (no red card)

Mf Carrington Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.22 (no red card)

Fw Shaun Muir: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.29 (no red card)

Fw Henry Payne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.85 (no red card)

Fw Matty Lee: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.88 (no red card)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jared Stretch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.21 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.91 (no second yellow)

Sw Lawrence Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.87 (no red card)

Df Callum Maguire: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.08 (no red card)

Df Nathan Daugherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.37 (no red card)

Df Morgan Honeybun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.27 (no red card)

Mf Jae-Sun  Jang: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.05 (no red card)

Mf Zak Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.71 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.2 (no second yellow)

Mf Steven Clapinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.86 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Rogers: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.65 (no red card)

Fw Reuven  Bar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.49 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.12 (no second yellow)

Fw Luiz Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.16 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ryan McAdam: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 91.38 (no injury) 
Df Marcos Araújo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.45 (no injury) 
Df Carleton Symes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.52 (no injury) 
Df Taylor Riley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.52 (no injury) 
Df Mark Cook: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.49 (no injury) 
Mf Alessio Fontana: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.88 (no injury) 
Mf Steven Reed: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.71 (no injury) 
Mf Carrington Cleverley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.0 (no injury) 
Fw Shaun Muir: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.73 (no injury) 
Fw Henry Payne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.84 (no injury) 
Fw Matty Lee: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.39 (no injury) 

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jared Stretch: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 6.74 (no injury) 
Sw Lawrence Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.07 (no injury) 
Df Callum Maguire: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.23 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Daugherty: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.19 (no injury) 
Df Morgan Honeybun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.41 (no injury) 
Mf Jae-Sun  Jang: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.11 (no injury) 
Mf Zak Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.19 (no injury) 
Mf Steven Clapinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.16 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Rogers: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.92 (no injury) 
Fw Reuven  Bar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.3 (no injury) 
Fw Luiz Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.29 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Carleton Symes SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Jared Stretch SL 13

     intRndPk = 23
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Reuven  Bar SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Ryan McAdam SL 12

     intRndPk = 39
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          12   0  39  31  32
  Dagenham & Redbridge     13  13  25  21  35

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 7 (32 - 25); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((31 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((39 - 35) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Df Carleton Symes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Alessio Fontana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 50.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Steven Reed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Alessio Fontana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Steven Reed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 44.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Alessio Fontana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 27.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Henry Payne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Matty Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Henry Payne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Matty Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 44.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Shaun Muir
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 75.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Matty Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 46.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Henry Payne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     13  13  25  21  35
  Swindon Town FC          12   0  39  31  32

Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 0 (35 - 39)
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 32) / 3;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON TOWN FC 1  -  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 0
 
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