(H)
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
Port Vale FC
John Holden
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BRISTOL CITY FC PORT VALE FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alberto Flores 16 1 17 Gk Hyun Tae-yong 16 1 17
Sw Reece Gregory 12 1 13 Sw Fokke Taylor 15 -2 13
Df Martin Rodríguez 13 2 15 Df Carsten Kragelund 14 2 16
Df Cadwaladr Lewis 13 0 13 Df Boško Shpak 13 0 13
Df Mario Rojas 10 2 12 Df Philipp Vogel 9 2 11
Mf Isaac Semenyo 13 1 14 Mf Albert Ohrel 11 1 12
Mf Steven Simons 10 2 12 Mf Santiago Villa 9 2 11
Fw Ulf Helander 15 0 15 Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi 16 1 17
Fw Mbark Sabiri 13 -2 11 Fw Peter Goossens 15 1 16
Fw Dafydd Chapman 13 1 14 Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti 14 1 15
Fw Julius Nwosu 9 2 11 Fw Andres Gutierrez 16 0 16
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
17 13 40 26 51 ROSTER TOTALS 17 13 40 23 64
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 13 40 26 60 T O T A L S 20 13 40 23 64
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.2 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.44 (no red card)
Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.86 (no red card)
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.24 (no red card)
Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.98 (no red card)
Df Mario Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.09 (no red card)
Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.74 (no red card)
Mf Steven Simons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.7 (no red card)
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.77 (no red card)
Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.98 (no red card)
Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.53 (no red card)
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.83 (no red card)
******* PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.49 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.65 (no red card)
Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.45 (no red card)
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.97 (no red card)
Df Boško Shpak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.19 (no red card)
Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.45 (no red card)
Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.71 (no red card)
Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.72 (no red card)
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.16 (no red card)
Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.44 (no red card)
Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.22 (no red card)
Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.71 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 89.85 (no injury)
Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.41 (no injury)
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.28 (no injury)
Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.67 (no injury)
Df Mario Rojas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.37 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Mario Rojas is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.53 (no injury)
Mf Steven Simons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.05 (no injury)
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.91 (no injury)
Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.16 (no injury)
Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.73 (no injury)
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.04 (no injury)
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 75.72 (no injury)
Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.76 (no injury)
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.23 (no injury)
Df Boško Shpak: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.05 (no injury)
Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.85 (no injury)
Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.13 (no injury)
Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.23 (no injury)
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.12 (no injury)
Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.7 (no injury)
Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.4 (no injury)
Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.69 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ulf Helander SL 15
- Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 16
intRndPk = 33
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Abdeljalil El Ahmadi SL 16
- Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 16
intRndPk = 76
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Bristol City FC 17 13 40 26 60
Port Vale FC 20 13 40 23 64
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 20 (60 - 40); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((26 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 64) / 3; rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 22
1: Attack for Mf Steven Simons
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 80.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Isaac Semenyo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 46.11 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 96.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 42.74 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 21.58 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 4.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 32.8 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 94.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
21: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
******* PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Port Vale FC 20 13 40 23 64
Bristol City FC 17 13 40 26 60
Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 24 (64 - 40); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 26) / 2; rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 60) / 3; rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 24
1: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 9.1 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 93.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 39.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 72.56 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 93.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 66.66 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 26.57 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 21.0 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BRISTOL CITY FC 2 - PORT VALE FC 2
Match Notes
Two top three games in the same weekend. Tough!
John (Port Vale FC) 02/27 - 1:04 AM
Great matchup here.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 02/27 - 12:38 PM
the makings of a great encounter. Not sure what outcome i desire!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 02/27 - 8:56 PM
Our slim shot at winning the league rests on winning this match.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 03/01 - 1:17 AM