(H)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHESTERFIELD FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Jonathan Kome 16 2 18 Gk Héctor Medrano 16 2 18
Sw Ibra Gueye 13 2 15 Sw Ricardo Gomes 13 0 13
Df Svend Kragh 13 2 15 Df Guillermo Barreto 15 0 15
Df Mbaye Dieng 16 2 18 Df Yuriy Polishchuk 14 0 14
Df Nicomedes Martino 12 2 14 Df Bozidar Rakitic 9 2 11
Mf Fernando Bentancur 10 2 12 Mf Steen Clausen 16 0 16
Mf Marwan Sforza 10 2 12 Mf Alfie Campbell 12 2 14
Fw Rico Santambrogio 14 2 16 Mf Edwin O'Kelly 16 0 16
Fw Ederson Fabinho 14 2 16 Fw Mario Barrios 16 0 16
Fw Cadwallader Gwilt 12 2 14 Fw Marcos Talavera 13 2 15
Fw Ghaith Abid 9 2 11 Fw Julio Morales 13 0 13
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 15 47 24 57 ROSTER TOTALS 18 13 40 46 44
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 3 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 15 47 24 66 T O T A L S 21 16 40 46 44
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.08 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.09 (no red card)
Sw Ibra Gueye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.71 (no red card)
Df Svend Kragh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.14 (no red card)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.22 (no red card)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.7 (no red card)
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.84 (no red card)
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.2 (no red card)
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.69 (no red card)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.96 (no red card)
Fw Cadwallader Gwilt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.55 (no red card)
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.39 (no red card)
******* CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.56 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.33 (no red card)
Sw Ricardo Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.95 (no red card)
Df Guillermo Barreto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.75 (no red card)
Df Yuriy Polishchuk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.69 (no red card)
Df Bozidar Rakitic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.79 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.72 (no second yellow)
Mf Steen Clausen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.66 (no red card)
Mf Alfie Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.24 (no red card)
Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.62 (no red card)
Fw Mario Barrios: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.95 (no red card)
Fw Marcos Talavera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.78 (no red card)
Fw Julio Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.49 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 65.42 (no injury)
Sw Ibra Gueye: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.79 (no injury)
Df Svend Kragh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.4 (no injury)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.84 (no injury)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.31 (no injury)
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.86 (no injury)
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.29 (no injury)
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.41 (no injury)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.04 (no injury)
Fw Cadwallader Gwilt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.52 (no injury)
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.54 (no injury)
******* CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 40.98 (no injury)
Sw Ricardo Gomes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.94 (no injury)
Df Guillermo Barreto: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.42 (no injury)
Df Yuriy Polishchuk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.59 (no injury)
Df Bozidar Rakitic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.18 (no injury)
Mf Steen Clausen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.22 (no injury)
Mf Alfie Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.41 (no injury)
Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.16 (no injury)
Fw Mario Barrios: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.0 (no injury)
Fw Marcos Talavera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.17 (no injury)
Fw Julio Morales: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.7 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mbaye Dieng SL 16
- Defending Gk: Héctor Medrano SL 16
intRndPk = 44
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Steen Clausen SL 16
- Defending Gk: Jonathan Kome SL 16
intRndPk = 73
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 18 15 47 24 66
Chesterfield FC 21 16 40 46 44
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 26 (66 - 40); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 46) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 1 ((47 - 44) / 3); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 27
1: Attack for Df Svend Kragh
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Ghaith Abid
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Cadwallader Gwilt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 8.85 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Cadwallader Gwilt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Cadwallader Gwilt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 65.78 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Cadwallader Gwilt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 0.27 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Cadwallader Gwilt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 66.65 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Cadwallader Gwilt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 5.71 (Shot Saved by Gk)
23: Attack for Fw Cadwallader Gwilt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Cadwallader Gwilt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 84.37 (Shot Saved by Gk)
27: Attack for Fw Cadwallader Gwilt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Chesterfield FC 21 16 40 46 44
Nottingham Forest 18 15 47 24 66
Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 0 (44 - 47)
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 11 ((46 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 66) / 3; rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 11
1: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Alfie Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 35.71 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Alfie Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Alfie Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 82.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 19.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 82.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0 - CHESTERFIELD FC 2
Match Notes
Olmec Steve versus Chesterfield. Steve's the man who dragged a 4-4 from the jaws of disaster — don't write him off. Chesterfield better come ready.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ Jul 1 (Blyth Spartans AFC)
Can't remember which game has the youth squad.
~ Steve ~ Jul 1 (Nottingham Forest)
#probably_mindgames
~ Allan ~ Jul 4 (Brentford FC)
At my age, everything is a youth squad.
~ Phil ~ Jul 4 (Chesterfield FC)
Kinda sums up my season.
~ Steve ~ Jul 4 (Nottingham Forest)