(H)
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
PRESTON NORTH END FC BRISTOL CITY FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Valentin Lugn 17 2 19 Gk Alberto Flores 15 2 17
Sw Walter Olivera 16 -1 15 Sw Atsushi Oshima 15 2 17
Df Joel Calvo 13 2 15 Df Willy Cerfbeer 13 2 15
Df Abdul Otu 11 2 13 Df Eugene Goodwin 13 2 15
Df Harry Martyn 9 2 11 Df Yahya Cheddira 9 2 11
Mf Milt Alvarez 12 2 14 Mf Isaac Juhlin 15 2 17
Mf Issa Daouda 9 2 11 Mf Thomas Jacobs 9 2 11
Fw Eduardo Luna 15 2 17 Fw Julius Nwosu 15 2 17
Fw Geovanny Arley 13 2 15 Fw Gavin Wright 17 0 17
Fw Atsushi Morioka 9 2 11 Fw Ulf Helander 13 0 13
Fw Gustavo da Rocha 5 2 7 Fw José Oliveira 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
19 15 39 25 50 ROSTER TOTALS 17 17 41 28 58
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 3
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
22 15 39 25 59 T O T A L S 17 17 41 28 61
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.61 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.25 (no red card)
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.08 (no red card)
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.55 (no red card)
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.98 (no red card)
Df Harry Martyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.92 (no red card)
Mf Milt Alvarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.65 (no red card)
Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.07 (no red card)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.18 (no red card)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.71 (no red card)
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.87 (no red card)
Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.45 (no red card)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.62 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.57 (no red card)
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.75 (no red card)
Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.43 (no red card)
Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.25 (no red card)
Df Yahya Cheddira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.47 (no red card)
Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.47 (no red card)
Mf Thomas Jacobs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.13 (no red card)
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.85 (no red card)
Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.14 (no red card)
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.71 (no red card)
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.34 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 86.4 (no injury)
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.0 (no injury)
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.16 (no injury)
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.62 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 4
Abdul Otu is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Abdul Otu new match skill level = 6
Abdul Otu new match total level = 8
Df Harry Martyn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.16 (no injury)
Mf Milt Alvarez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.64 (no injury)
Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.55 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 2
Issa Daouda is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Issa Daouda new match skill level = 5
Issa Daouda new match total level = 7
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.77 (no injury)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.88 (no injury)
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.36 (no injury)
Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.39 (no injury)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 0.58 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Alberto Flores is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.2 (no injury)
Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.33 (no injury)
Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.58 (no injury)
Df Yahya Cheddira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.73 (no injury)
Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.55 (no injury)
Mf Thomas Jacobs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.76 (no injury)
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.1 (no injury)
Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.92 (no injury)
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.38 (no injury)
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.81 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Eduardo Luna SL 15
- Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 15
intRndPk = 96
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Gavin Wright SL 17
- Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 17
intRndPk = 43
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Preston North End FC 22 15 34 21 59
Bristol City FC 17 17 41 28 61
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 18 (59 - 41); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 28) / 2; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 61) / 3; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 18
1: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 63.86 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 89.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 99.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 84.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Bristol City FC 17 17 41 28 61
Preston North End FC 22 15 34 21 59
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 27 (61 - 34); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((28 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 59) / 3; rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 31
1: Attack for Mf Isaac Juhlin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Isaac Juhlin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Isaac Juhlin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 58.65 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Isaac Juhlin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 83.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 51.9 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 35.13 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 1.01 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 35.74 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 98.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
21: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 45.12 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 44.72 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 3 - BRISTOL CITY FC 1
Match Notes
This match will likely decide which of these two teams wins the Olmec Hates You title. May also impact Division 1 title.
Ian (Preston North End FC) 07/12 - 6:43 PM
We are pulling for our good friend Ian to win the title.
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/16 - 12:40 PM
Has Ian already made room for the trophy?
Allan (Brentford FC) 07/19 - 1:33 PM
At this point, we're just trying to play spoiler.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 07/19 - 2:37 PM
But being slightly less hated by Olmec would be nice, too.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 07/19 - 2:38 PM
It's official. Olmec hates me the most.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 07/19 - 6:20 PM
To be clear, the greater crime here was our GK allowing three goals on four shots.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 07/19 - 6:33 PM
Gosh. For once Olmec didn't hate us.
Ian (Preston North End FC) 07/19 - 6:44 PM
So much interest in this match!! Well-deserved win here, Ian!!
Abe (Leeds United) 07/20 - 3:32 AM