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Wednesday, July 30th, 2025 - 10:09:46 AM (gmt)
 
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Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEWES FC                                   CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ethan Maddison         16    2   18     Gk Per Holmdahl           14    2   16
Sw Nazariy Kozak          16    2   18     Sw Piotr Sobolewski        9    2   11
Df Cássio Alisson         15    2   17     Df Edwin O'Doherty        14    2   16
Df Javi Flores             9    2   11     Df Michaël Van der Heyden 13    2   15
Mf Imed Ahmed             14    2   16     Df Festus Abubakar         9    2   11
Mf Damian Nabbout          9    2   11     Mf Mario Pletikosa        13    2   15
Fw Roberto Bonano         14    2   16     Mf Óscar Cota              9    2   11
Fw Jean Diouf             15    1   16     Mf Ivan Jackson            5    2    7
Fw Gregorio Caballero      9    2   11     Fw Zvonimir Bradaric      13    2   15
Fw Amadou Wagué            9    2   11     Fw Joel Zamora            15    2   17
Fw Edson Blanco            4    2    6     Fw Bassem Mkademi          9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 28 27 60        ROSTER TOTALS      16 11 42 33 43    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 18 28 27 69         T O T A L S       16 14 46 33 43    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 47.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 69.91 (no red card)

Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.0 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.31 (no second yellow)

Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.36 (no red card)

Df Javi Flores: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.82 (no red card)

Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.96 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.24 (no second yellow)

Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.39 (no red card)

Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.12 (no red card)

Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.13 (no red card)

Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.27 (no red card)

Fw Amadou Wagué: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.81 (no red card)

Fw Edson Blanco: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.74 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.86 (no red card)

Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.72 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Piotr Sobolewski new match skill level =  5
      Piotr Sobolewski new match total level =  7

Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.91 (no red card)

Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.61 (no red card)

Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.6 (no red card)

Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.9 (no red card)

Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.47 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.95 (no red card)

Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.95 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.22 (no second yellow)

Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.97 (no red card)

Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.03 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 99.49 (no injury) 
Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.75 (no injury) 
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.97 (no injury) 
Df Javi Flores: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.5 (no injury) 
Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.2 (no injury) 
Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.8 (no injury) 
Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.14 (no injury) 
Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.71 (no injury) 
Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.24 (no injury) 
Fw Amadou Wagué: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.52 (no injury) 
Fw Edson Blanco: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.87 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 14.19 (no injury) 
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.81 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.8 (no injury) 
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.89 (no injury) 
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.44 (no injury) 
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.7 (no injury) 
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.51 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.32 (no injury) 
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.45 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.35 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Joel Zamora is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.89 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cássio Alisson SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 14

     intRndPk = 38
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joel Zamora SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 19  18  28  27  69
  Crewe Alexandra FC       16  10  46  33  43

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 23 (69 - 46); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 43) / 3;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Fw Amadou Wagué
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Amadou Wagué
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 92.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 37.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Amadou Wagué
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 36.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Amadou Wagué
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 67.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Amadou Wagué
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Amadou Wagué
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Amadou Wagué
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 84.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Amadou Wagué
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Amadou Wagué
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       16  10  46  33  43
  Lewes FC                 19  18  28  27  69

Crewe Alexandra FC is Playing For A Draw!
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 8 (43 - 28) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((33 - 27) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 69) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 16.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEWES FC 2  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0
 
Match Notes
Surprised Lewis have no distractions in this session.
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 07/14 - 11:08 AM
Dave's even distracted by the Division 2 championship race, given he's already won it. Lewes on autopilot.
Ian (Preston North End FC) 07/15 - 9:55 AM
No distractions for Lewes having been dispatched from all cups. Lone focus is moving up....we coming
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/18 - 12:31 PM
Is there still enough hate in Olmec to prevent Dave from getting promoted? Let's add the cheat codes and find out...
Allan (Brentford FC) 07/19 - 1:35 PM
I have zero doubts
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/19 - 2:11 PM
No surprises there then
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 07/20 - 10:28 AM
Total domination of Division
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 07/20 - 10:41 AM
 
 
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