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Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
 
Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC                        QUEENS PARK RANGERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Craig Carsley          15    2   17     Gk Petro Vasylenko        16    2   18
Sw Walter Wilson          15    1   16     Sw Ji-An Sang-chul        17    2   19
Df Edoardo Vecchi         13    2   15     Df Brian Finnan           14    2   16
Df Gabriele Gentiloni      9    0    9     Df Hiroki Ueda             9    2   11
Df Leandro Lo Celso        4    2    6     Mf Stjepan Grbic          12    2   14
Mf Clint Smith            18    2   20     Mf Ben Goodwin             9    2   11
Mf Tranquillo Fernandes   12    2   14     Mf Dylan Bevan             5    2    7
Mf Felipe Fernandez        9    2   11     Fw Juan-Jose Cano         14    2   16
Mf Ju-Won Seung-hyun       4    0    4     Fw Gabriel Maciocia       14    1   15
Fw Anir Tahiri            13    1   14     Fw Stewart Scholes         9    2   11
Fw Francisco Murillo      11    2   13     Fw Mateusz Karas           5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 16 30 49 27        ROSTER TOTALS      18 19 27 32 49    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  7  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 16 30 56 27         T O T A L S       21 19 27 32 49    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Craig Carsley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.74 (no red card)

Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.98 (no red card)

Df Edoardo Vecchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.87 (no red card)

Df Gabriele Gentiloni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.32 (no red card)

Df Leandro Lo Celso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.96 (no red card)

Mf Clint Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.02 (no red card)

Mf Tranquillo Fernandes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.53 (no red card)

Mf Felipe Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.11 (no red card)

Mf Ju-Won Seung-hyun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.26 (no red card)

Fw Anir Tahiri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.0 (no red card)

Fw Francisco Murillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.07 (no red card)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Petro Vasylenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.21 (no red card)

Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.15 (no red card)

Df Brian Finnan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.88 (no red card)

Df Hiroki Ueda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.58 (no red card)

Mf Stjepan Grbic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.67 (no red card)

Mf Ben Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.25 (no red card)

Mf Dylan Bevan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.99 (no red card)

Fw Juan-Jose Cano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.25 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Maciocia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.64 (no red card)

Fw Stewart Scholes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.72 (no red card)

Fw Mateusz Karas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.52 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Craig Carsley: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 89.09 (no injury) 
Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.02 (no injury) 
Df Edoardo Vecchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.91 (no injury) 
Df Gabriele Gentiloni: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.64 (no injury) 
Df Leandro Lo Celso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.85 (no injury) 
Mf Clint Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.71 (no injury) 
Mf Tranquillo Fernandes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.03 (no injury) 
Mf Felipe Fernandez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.48 (no injury) 
Mf Ju-Won Seung-hyun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.37 (no injury) 
Fw Anir Tahiri: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.65 (no injury) 
Fw Francisco Murillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.65 (no injury) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Petro Vasylenko: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 11.36 (no injury) 
Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.66 (no injury) 
Df Brian Finnan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.13 (no injury) 
Df Hiroki Ueda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.45 (no injury) 
Mf Stjepan Grbic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.93 (no injury) 
Mf Ben Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.58 (no injury) 
Mf Dylan Bevan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.48 (no injury) 
Fw Juan-Jose Cano: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.05 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Maciocia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.7 (no injury) 
Fw Stewart Scholes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.87 (no injury) 
Fw Mateusz Karas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.18 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Clint Smith SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Petro Vasylenko SL 16

     intRndPk = 75
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Brian Finnan SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Craig Carsley SL 15

     intRndPk = 47
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      17  16  30  56  27
  Queens Park Rangers      21  19  27  32  49

Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 27)
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 12 ((56 - 32) / 2) ; result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 49) / 3;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Mf Felipe Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Clint Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 66.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Tranquillo Fernandes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Tranquillo Fernandes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Clint Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Clint Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 85.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Ju-Won Seung-hyun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Clint Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Clint Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Felipe Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Clint Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Ju-Won Seung-hyun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      21  19  27  32  49
  Northampton Town FC      17  16  30  56  27

Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 19 (49 - 30); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 56) / 2;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 27) / 3;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Fw Mateusz Karas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 82.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Juan-Jose Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Gabriel Maciocia
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Mateusz Karas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Juan-Jose Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Gabriel Maciocia
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Juan-Jose Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Stewart Scholes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Mateusz Karas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 41.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Gabriel Maciocia
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 65.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Mateusz Karas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Juan-Jose Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Juan-Jose Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 83.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Gabriel Maciocia
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Stewart Scholes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Gabriel Maciocia
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Juan-Jose Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Juan-Jose Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Stewart Scholes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 0  -  QUEENS PARK RANGERS 2
 
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