(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Sheffield United
Paul Cockayne
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLISLE UNITED SHEFFIELD UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Gregory Reyna 15 2 17 Gk Miljenko Sucic 9 2 11
Sw Ramires Jesus 14 1 15 Sw Joachim Thygesen 13 0 13
Df Eirwyn Davey 15 2 17 Df Ibra Wagué 16 0 16
Df Jacob Beynon 13 2 15 Df Abdou Mballo 15 2 17
Df Lloyd Cole 11 2 13 Df Ivan Rakitic 9 2 11
Mf Marcus Teulet 12 2 14 Mf Darren Sterling 14 2 16
Mf Marco D'amato 9 2 11 Mf Sebastian Bulla Vasquez14 1 15
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 15 1 16 Mf Ismaila Aminu 9 2 11
Fw Javier Gimenez 15 2 17 Df Lee Jin-hyeon 12 0 12
Fw Ki Seon-min 12 2 14 Mf Nestor Machado 13 1 14
Fw John Skoras 11 2 13 Fw Jonas Kimmich 16 0 16
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 15 45 25 60 ROSTER TOTALS 11 13 56 56 16
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 5 4 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 3 0 0 3
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 15 45 30 64 T O T A L S 14 16 56 56 19
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.11 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.45 (no red card)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.22 (no red card)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.13 (no red card)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.24 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.55 (no second yellow)
Df Lloyd Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.2 (no red card)
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.09 (no red card)
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.38 (no red card)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.5 (no red card)
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.43 (no red card)
Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.36 (no red card)
Fw John Skoras: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.72 (no red card)
******* SHEFFIELD UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Miljenko Sucic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.91 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.27 (no red card)
Sw Joachim Thygesen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.6 (no red card)
Df Ibra Wagué: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.17 (no red card)
Df Abdou Mballo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.42 (no red card)
Df Ivan Rakitic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.92 (no red card)
Mf Darren Sterling: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.48 (no red card)
Mf Sebastian Bulla Vasquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.53 (no red card)
Mf Ismaila Aminu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.71 (no red card)
Df Lee Jin-hyeon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.13 (no red card)
Mf Nestor Machado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.58 (no red card)
Fw Jonas Kimmich: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.12 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 86.34 (no injury)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.53 (no injury)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.24 (no injury)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.57 (no injury)
Df Lloyd Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.1 (no injury)
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.23 (no injury)
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.69 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 4
Marco D'amato is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Marco D'amato new match skill level = 5
Marco D'amato new match total level = 7
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.61 (no injury)
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.52 (no injury)
Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.9 (no injury)
Fw John Skoras: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.5 (no injury)
******* SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Miljenko Sucic: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 32.18 (no injury)
Sw Joachim Thygesen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.01 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 4
Joachim Thygesen is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Joachim Thygesen new match skill level = 7
Joachim Thygesen new match total level = 7
Df Ibra Wagué: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.68 (no injury)
Df Abdou Mballo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.76 (no injury)
Df Ivan Rakitic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.24 (no injury)
Mf Darren Sterling: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.26 (no injury)
Mf Sebastian Bulla Vasquez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.73 (no injury)
Mf Ismaila Aminu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.46 (no injury)
Df Lee Jin-hyeon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.08 (no injury)
Mf Nestor Machado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.87 (no injury)
Fw Jonas Kimmich: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.07 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Eirwyn Davey SL 15
- Defending Gk: Miljenko Sucic SL 9
intRndPk = 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ibra Wagué SL 16
- Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 15
intRndPk = 91
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 17 15 45 26 64
Sheffield United 14 10 56 56 19
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 8 (64 - 56); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 56) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 9 ((45 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 17
1: Attack for Df Eirwyn Davey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Lloyd Cole
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Jacob Beynon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 22.79 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Eirwyn Davey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 99.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Df Eirwyn Davey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Df Eirwyn Davey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Df Lloyd Cole
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Df Eirwyn Davey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Df Jacob Beynon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 63.77 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw John Skoras
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 39.41 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 95.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
15: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 94.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
16: Attack for Fw John Skoras
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
******* SHEFFIELD UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Sheffield United 14 10 56 56 19
Carlisle United 17 15 45 26 64
Sheffield United Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 45)
Sheffield United Mf Attacks = 15 ((56 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Sheffield United Df Attacks = 0 ((56 - 64) / 3; rounded up)
Sheffield United Total Attacks = 15
1: Attack for Mf Sebastian Bulla Vasquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Darren Sterling
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Darren Sterling
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 82.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Mf Darren Sterling
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Nestor Machado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Sebastian Bulla Vasquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Ismaila Aminu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Darren Sterling
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Mf Sebastian Bulla Vasquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Darren Sterling
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 53.3 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Mf Ismaila Aminu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Mf Darren Sterling
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Mf Ismaila Aminu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Mf Darren Sterling
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 89.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
15: Attack for Mf Sebastian Bulla Vasquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 81.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLISLE UNITED 3 - SHEFFIELD UNITED 3
Match Notes
Very big match here as we reach crunch time
Paul (Sheffield United) 07/15 - 7:34 AM
This is a must-win for Sheffield!!
Abe (Leeds United) 07/15 - 8:24 PM
If Carlisle wins, they will be 1 point away from the top division spot!!
Abe (Leeds United) 07/15 - 8:24 PM
I'm not sure I can stand the excitement.
Dave (Carlisle United) 07/18 - 3:41 AM
A lot of excitement here today...
Allan (Brentford FC) 07/19 - 1:36 PM
Bit of a nail biter...but probably a fair result
Paul (Sheffield United) 07/22 - 10:03 AM