(H)
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SWINDON TOWN FC WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Federico Curbelo 9 0 9 Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko 16 2 18
Df Quentin Mertens 15 0 15 Df Rory Kelly 12 2 14
Df Hajime Tanaka 13 0 13 Df Goronwy Wright 12 2 14
Df Thiago De Paul 7 0 7 Df Léon Velardi 8 2 10
Df Alvaro Ochoa 4 2 6 Mf Alberto Leao 15 2 17
Mf Toby Llewellyn 14 0 14 Mf Cesar Beto 13 2 15
Mf Gustavo Moreno 13 0 13 Mf Andrej Kovac 12 2 14
Mf Krunoslav Ivusic 7 2 9 Mf Cadwaladr Harding 9 1 10
Fw Conway Roberts 15 0 15 Fw Sven Skog 19 2 21
Fw Maxi Olivera 10 1 11 Mf Younes Regragui 11 2 13
Fw Isaias González 4 2 6 Fw Benjamin Tchato 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
9 0 41 36 32 ROSTER TOTALS 18 0 38 69 32
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
9 0 41 36 41 T O T A L S 18 0 38 69 32
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.9 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.01 (no red card)
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.93 (no red card)
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.25 (no red card)
Df Thiago De Paul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.18 (no red card)
Df Alvaro Ochoa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.6 (no red card)
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.81 (no red card)
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.23 (no red card)
Mf Krunoslav Ivusic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.15 (no red card)
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.65 (no red card)
Fw Maxi Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.43 (no red card)
Fw Isaias González: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.75 (no red card)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.63 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.73 (no red card)
Df Rory Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.17 (no red card)
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.74 (no red card)
Df Léon Velardi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.91 (no red card)
Mf Alberto Leao: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.88 (no red card)
Mf Cesar Beto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.38 (no red card)
Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.64 (no red card)
Mf Cadwaladr Harding: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.37 (no red card)
Fw Sven Skog: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.62 (no red card)
Mf Younes Regragui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.05 (no red card)
Fw Benjamin Tchato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.16 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 28.58 (no injury)
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.15 (no injury)
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.09 (no injury)
Df Thiago De Paul: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.66 (no injury)
Df Alvaro Ochoa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.63 (no injury)
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.94 (no injury)
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.45 (no injury)
Mf Krunoslav Ivusic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.48 (no injury)
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.05 (no injury)
Fw Maxi Olivera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.16 (no injury)
Fw Isaias González: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.85 (no injury)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 3.52 (no injury)
Df Rory Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.39 (no injury)
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.65 (no injury)
Df Léon Velardi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.69 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 3
Léon Velardi is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Léon Velardi new match skill level = 4
Léon Velardi new match total level = 6
Mf Alberto Leao: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.61 (no injury)
Mf Cesar Beto: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.4 (no injury)
Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.92 (no injury)
Mf Cadwaladr Harding: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.79 (no injury)
Fw Sven Skog: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.3 (no injury)
Mf Younes Regragui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.04 (no injury)
Fw Benjamin Tchato: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.01 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Quentin Mertens SL 15
- Defending Gk: Valentyn Tymoshenko SL 16
intRndPk = 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)
******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Sven Skog SL 19
- Defending Gk: Federico Curbelo SL 9
intRndPk = 61
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swindon Town FC 9 0 41 36 41
Weston-super-Mare AFC 18 0 34 69 32
Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 7 (41 - 34); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((36 - 69) / 2; rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((41 - 32) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 9
1: Attack for Df Hajime Tanaka
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Alvaro Ochoa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 27.17 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Maxi Olivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 15.47 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 92.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Maxi Olivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 0.52 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Maxi Olivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Maxi Olivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 17.87 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Weston-super-Mare AFC 18 0 34 69 32
Swindon Town FC 9 0 41 36 41
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (32 - 41)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 17 ((69 - 36) / 2) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 41) / 5; rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 17
1: Attack for Mf Cadwaladr Harding
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 56.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Cadwaladr Harding
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Cadwaladr Harding
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Mf Cadwaladr Harding
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 41.09 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Younes Regragui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Mf Cesar Beto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 97.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 67.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Mf Cadwaladr Harding
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 30.43 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Mf Younes Regragui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Mf Cadwaladr Harding
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Mf Younes Regragui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Mf Younes Regragui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 51.5 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Mf Cesar Beto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Mf Cadwaladr Harding
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Mf Younes Regragui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 14.53 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SWINDON TOWN FC 1 - WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 2
Match Notes
whilst we hope the pundits are spot on. I don´t feel quite so confident.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 07/01 - 2:34 PM
Swindon at home in Division 3 — they'll want to make that count. Weston won't be coming down to make up the numbers though. Tight one this.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 07/01 - 6:30 PM