(H)

Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral

Hereford United FC
Alex Tucker
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S LINCOLN CITY FC HEREFORD UNITED FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Abdallah El Ahmadi 13 2 15 Gk Mauricio Higuain 11 2 13 Sw Jakob Petersen 14 1 15 Df Seny Sarr 12 2 14 Df Percy Triggs 17 -1 16 Df Jarek Ryan 4 2 6 Df Dante Geromel 13 2 15 Df Arvid Thelin 4 2 6 Df Hans Murphy 12 2 14 Mf Josh Jordan 8 0 8 Mf Babou Kebe 14 1 15 Mf Toshihiro Hattori 8 2 10 Mf Akira Nagatomo 13 2 15 Fw Exequiel Gutierrez 11 2 13 Mf Fabio Luis 9 2 11 Fw Lukasz Dudka 13 2 15 Fw Martin Jashari 15 2 17 Fw Eric Mertens 7 2 9 Fw Benedicto Ortega 14 2 16 Fw Gerald Ruiz 3 2 5 Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong 9 2 11 Fw Marin Livakovic 3 2 5 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 15 45 41 44 ROSTER TOTALS 13 0 26 18 47 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 15 15 45 50 44 T O T A L S 13 0 26 18 47 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Abdallah El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.05 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.05 (no red card) Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.93 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.71 (no red card) Df Percy Triggs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.65 (no red card) Df Dante Geromel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.92 (no red card) Df Hans Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.73 (no red card) Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.12 (no red card) Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.28 (no red card) Mf Fabio Luis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.74 (no red card) Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.09 (no red card) Fw Benedicto Ortega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.15 (no red card) Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.68 (no red card) ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.69 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.78 (no red card) Df Seny Sarr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.15 (no red card) Df Jarek Ryan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.52 (no red card) Df Arvid Thelin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.18 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.86 (no red card) Mf Josh Jordan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.64 (no red card) Mf Toshihiro Hattori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.78 (no red card) Fw Exequiel Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.59 (no red card) Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.39 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.95 (no red card) Fw Eric Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.47 (no red card) Fw Gerald Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.84 (no red card) Fw Marin Livakovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.97 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.95 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0 - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Abdallah El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 3.76 (no injury) Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.7 (no injury) Df Percy Triggs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.09 (no injury) Df Dante Geromel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.27 (no injury) Df Hans Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.09 (no injury) Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.78 (no injury) Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.89 (no injury) Mf Fabio Luis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.82 (no injury) Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.37 (no injury) Fw Benedicto Ortega: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.57 (no injury) Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.12 (no injury) ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0 - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 45.36 (no injury) Df Seny Sarr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.11 (no injury) Df Jarek Ryan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.36 (no injury) Df Arvid Thelin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.51 (no injury) Mf Josh Jordan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.18 (no injury) Mf Toshihiro Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.01 (no injury) Fw Exequiel Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.15 (no injury) Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.75 (no injury) Fw Eric Mertens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.6 (no injury) Fw Gerald Ruiz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.4 (no injury) Fw Marin Livakovic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.58 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Percy Triggs SL 17 - Defending Gk: Mauricio Higuain SL 11 intRndPk = 30 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick) ******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Lukasz Dudka SL 13 - Defending Gk: Abdallah El Ahmadi SL 13 intRndPk = 10 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 10 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Lincoln City FC 15 15 45 50 44 Hereford United FC 13 0 26 18 47 Hereford United FC is using Offside Trap! Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 9 (44 - 26) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 32 ((50 - 18) / 2) * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 47) / 3; rounded up) Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 41 1: Attack for Mf Fabio Luis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 18.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 24.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 69.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 25.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 47.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Mf Fabio Luis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 54.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 77.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 10: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Mf Fabio Luis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 5.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 74.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 16: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 3.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 18: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 19: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 91.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 21: Attack for Mf Fabio Luis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 72.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 22: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 23: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 24: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 46 (Shot Off Target) 25: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 26: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 27: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 45.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 28: Attack for Mf Fabio Luis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 28.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 29: Attack for Mf Fabio Luis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 30: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 31: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 32: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 90.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 33: Attack for Fw Martin Jashari Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 34: Attack for Fw Benedicto Ortega Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 35: Attack for Fw Benedicto Ortega Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 49 (Shot Off Target) 36: Attack for Fw Martin Jashari Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 72.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 37: Attack for Fw Martin Jashari Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 38: Attack for Fw Benedicto Ortega Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 39: Attack for Fw Benedicto Ortega Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 40: Attack for Fw Martin Jashari Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 29.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 41: Attack for Fw Martin Jashari Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Hereford United FC 13 0 26 18 47 Lincoln City FC 15 15 45 50 44 Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 2 (47 - 45); result rounded up Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 50) / 2; rounded up) Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 44) / 5; rounded up) Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 2 1: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E LINCOLN CITY FC 7 - HEREFORD UNITED FC 0