(H)
Watford
James Tucker
Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WATFORD CARDIFF CITY FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Riccardo Di matteo 15 2 17 Gk Justin Donfack 9 2 11
Sw Saul Aquino 9 2 11 Sw Sean Brees 14 2 16
Df Felipe Pérez 13 2 15 Df Charlie Docherty 14 0 14
Df Victor Bach 9 2 11 Df Eric Campbell 9 2 11
Df Walter McGree 5 2 7 Mf Achraf Mohamedi 14 2 16
Mf Hirving Borgetti 15 2 17 Mf Hywel James 9 2 11
Mf Oribe Arellano 15 0 15 Mf Jeong Yong 5 2 7
Fw Matty Begum 16 2 18 Fw Roger Compton 15 2 17
Fw Julien De Boeck 15 2 17 Fw Jair Sanchez 9 2 11
Fw Edgar Jimenez 9 2 11 Fw Gaëtan Chair 5 2 7
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal 5 2 7 Fw Arouna Geremi 5 2 7
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
17 11 33 32 53 ROSTER TOTALS 11 16 25 34 42
0 0 0 0 1 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 11 33 32 63 T O T A L S 11 16 25 34 42
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.58 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.97 (no red card)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.77 (no red card)
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.55 (no red card)
Df Victor Bach: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.57 (no red card)
Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.98 (no red card)
Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.11 (no red card)
Mf Oribe Arellano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.39 (no red card)
Fw Matty Begum: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.65 (no red card)
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.51 (no red card)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.97 (no red card)
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.44 (no red card)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Justin Donfack: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.36 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.28 (no red card)
Sw Sean Brees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.07 (no red card)
Df Charlie Docherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.79 (no red card)
Df Eric Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.39 (no red card)
Mf Achraf Mohamedi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.42 (no red card)
Mf Hywel James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.09 (no red card)
Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.78 (no red card)
Fw Roger Compton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.0 (no red card)
Fw Jair Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.69 (no red card)
Fw Gaëtan Chair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.4 (no red card)
Fw Arouna Geremi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.15 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 13.8 (no injury)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.29 (no injury)
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.36 (no injury)
Df Victor Bach: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.2 (no injury)
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.37 (no injury)
Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.08 (no injury)
Mf Oribe Arellano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.48 (no injury)
Fw Matty Begum: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.09 (no injury)
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.83 (no injury)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.9 (no injury)
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.34 (no injury)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Justin Donfack: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 96.34 (no injury)
Sw Sean Brees: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.0 (no injury)
Df Charlie Docherty: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.98 (no injury)
Df Eric Campbell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.87 (no injury)
Mf Achraf Mohamedi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.17 (no injury)
Mf Hywel James: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.1 (no injury)
Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.44 (no injury)
Fw Roger Compton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.56 (no injury)
Fw Jair Sanchez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.25 (no injury)
Fw Gaëtan Chair: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.45 (no injury)
Fw Arouna Geremi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.92 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Matty Begum SL 16
- Defending Gk: Justin Donfack SL 9
intRndPk = 41
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Roger Compton SL 15
- Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 17 11 33 32 63
Cardiff City FC 11 16 25 34 42
Watford Fw Attacks = 38 (63 - 25); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 34) / 2; rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 42) / 3; rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 38
1: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 81.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 18.15 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 61.55 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 84.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 72.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 53.94 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 30.41 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 44.53 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 90.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
21: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 60.44 (Shot Saved by Gk)
26: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 95.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
28: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target)
29: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 39.44 (Shot Saved by Gk)
31: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
32: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
33: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
34: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
35: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 9.11 (Shot Saved by Gk)
36: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
37: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
38: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Cardiff City FC 11 16 25 34 42
Watford 17 11 33 32 63
Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 9 (42 - 33); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((34 - 32) / 2) ; result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 63) / 3; rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 10
1: Attack for Mf Achraf Mohamedi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Roger Compton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Arouna Geremi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 42.79 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Roger Compton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Roger Compton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 31.24 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WATFORD 5 - CARDIFF CITY FC 0
Match Notes
I predicts. Something just can’t decide what
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 03/22 - 9:38 PM