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Watford
James Tucker
 
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WATFORD                                    LINCOLN CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mads Frost             11    2   13     Gk Abdallah El Ahmadi      9    1   10
Sw Saul Aquino            10    0   10     Sw Jakob Petersen         10    1   11
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk       14    1   15     Df Martin Paredes          5    2    7
Df Keita Hattori          13    1   14     Df Aldair Gallardo         5    2    7
Df Shoichi Morita         10    2   12     Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan        5    0    5
Mf Kevin Castex           16    1   17     Df Kabil Hamdi             2    2    4
Mf Callum Rowles          10    0   10     Mf Marc Bürki              5    2    7
Fw Valerio Paredes        13    1   14     Mf Kliment Ivanova         2    2    4
Fw Takao Soma             13    1   14     Mf Trevor Relish           2    2    4
Fw Djonno De boer         10    1   11     Fw Thiago Araujo           5    2    7
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk        5    2    7     Fw Jun-Yeong Ji            2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 10 41 27 46        ROSTER TOTALS      10 11 23 15 11    
       0  0  0  0  1          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 10 41 27 56         T O T A L S       10 14 27 15 11    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.47 (no red card)

Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.93 (no red card)

Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.58 (no red card)

Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.91 (no red card)

Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.85 (no red card)

Mf Kevin Castex: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.38 (no red card)

Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.28 (no red card)

Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.72 (no red card)

Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.86 (no red card)

Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.81 (no red card)

Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.49 (no red card)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Abdallah El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.34 (no red card)

Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.59 (no red card)

Df Martin Paredes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.47 (no red card)

Df Aldair Gallardo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.26 (no red card)

Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.7 (no red card)

Df Kabil Hamdi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.09 (no red card)

Mf Marc Bürki: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.86 (no red card)

Mf Kliment Ivanova: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.28 (no red card)

Mf Trevor Relish: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.68 (no red card)

Fw Thiago Araujo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.96 (no red card)

Fw Jun-Yeong Ji: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.5 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 75.57 (no injury) 
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.41 (no injury) 
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.37 (no injury) 
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.47 (no injury) 
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.22 (no injury) 
Mf Kevin Castex: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.15 (no injury) 
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.4 (no injury) 
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.01 (no injury) 
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.5 (no injury) 
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.12 (no injury) 
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.4 (no injury) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Abdallah El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 84.11 (no injury) 
Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.38 (no injury) 
Df Martin Paredes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.64 (no injury) 
Df Aldair Gallardo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.92 (no injury) 
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.9 (no injury) 
Df Kabil Hamdi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.44 (no injury) 
Mf Marc Bürki: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.79 (no injury) 
Mf Kliment Ivanova: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.81 (no injury) 
Mf Trevor Relish: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.5 (no injury) 
Fw Thiago Araujo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.85 (no injury) 
Fw Jun-Yeong Ji: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.87 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kevin Castex SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Abdallah El Ahmadi SL 9

     intRndPk = 46
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Martin Paredes SL 5
   - Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 48% | Random number = 49 (pk blocked)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  13  10  41  27  56
  Lincoln City FC          10  14  27  15  11

Watford Fw Attacks = 29 (56 - 27); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 6 ((27 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
Watford Df Attacks = 10 ((41 - 11) / 3); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 45

1: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 23.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 5.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Shoichi Morita
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Shoichi Morita
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 28.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 6.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Df Shoichi Morita
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Callum Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 9.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Callum Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 87.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Mf Callum Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Kevin Castex
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 65.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Mf Kevin Castex
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Mf Kevin Castex
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 41.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 73.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 16.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 75.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 59.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 5.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
29: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
35: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
37: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 27.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
38: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
39: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
40: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
41: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
42: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
43: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
44: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
45: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 46.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          10  14  27  15  11
  Watford                  13  10  41  27  56

Lincoln City FC is Playing For A Draw!
Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (11 - 41)
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 56) / 3;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WATFORD 4  -  LINCOLN CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
Lots of good past matches in this one, best of luck, James!
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 01/17 - 2:25 PM
 
 
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