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Wednesday, June 11th, 2025 - 09:20:36 AM (gmt)
 
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Southend United
Colin Scott
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Yassine Amara          11    2   13     Gk Kris Vermant            6    2    8
Sw Bastien Rami           12    1   13     Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han         10    1   11
Df Mauricio López         13    1   14     Df Hugo Quintero          13    1   14
Df Mario Egli              2    2    4     Df Tobias Kimmich         12    0   12
Mf Ludwig Troell          10    1   11     Df Josip Sommer           11    1   12
Mf Janek Pawlak            5    2    7     Df Pedro Romero            2    2    4
Fw Jamie Behich           13    1   14     Mf Nazariy Gusak          10    0   10
Fw Percy Maguire          13    1   14     Mf Bertus De leeuw        10    0   10
Fw Cássio Lemos           17    2   19     Mf Harold Thorne           6    2    8
Fw Pedro Viera            10    1   11     Fw Teun Van der berg      11    1   12
Fw Marek Grabara           6    2    8     Fw Boris Rudenko          13    0   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 13 18 18 66        ROSTER TOTALS       8 11 42 28 25    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  4  5  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 13 22 23 66         T O T A L S       11 12 49 28 25    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 83.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 73.51 (no red card)

Sw Bastien Rami: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.73 (no red card)

Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.83 (no red card)

Df Mario Egli: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.94 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Mario Egli new match skill level =  1
      Mario Egli new match total level =  3

Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.06 (no red card)

Mf Janek Pawlak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.17 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.67 (no red card)

Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.69 (no red card)

Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.72 (no red card)

Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.77 (no red card)

Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.79 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 58.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 11.59 (no red card)

Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 23.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 8.33 (no red card)

Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 51.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 32.07 (no red card)

Df Tobias Kimmich: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 82.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 77.99 (no red card)

Df Josip Sommer: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 92.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 2.25 (no red card)

Df Pedro Romero: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 91.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 22.43 (no red card)

Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 23.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 6.64 (no red card)

Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 46.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 70.47 (no red card)

Mf Harold Thorne: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 16.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 36.99 (no red card)

Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 69.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 23.77 (no red card)

Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 24.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 16.35 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.87%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 2.87% | Random number = 68.82 (no injury) 
Sw Bastien Rami: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 91.44 (no injury) 
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 67.1 (no injury) 
Df Mario Egli: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 27.87 (no injury) 
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 68.0 (no injury) 
Mf Janek Pawlak: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 60.8 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 96.73 (no injury) 
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 73.79 (no injury) 
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 34.35 (no injury) 
Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 9.98 (no injury) 
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 36.74 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 19.61 (no injury) 
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 75.33 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 71.93 (no injury) 
Df Tobias Kimmich: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 22.28 (no injury) 
Df Josip Sommer: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 55.75 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Romero: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 2.77 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Pedro Romero is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Pedro Romero new match skill level =  1
      Pedro Romero new match total level =  3
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 17.65 (no injury) 
Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 56.34 (no injury) 
Mf Harold Thorne: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 83.03 (no injury) 
Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 26.57 (no injury) 
Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 53.1 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Cássio Lemos SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Kris Vermant SL 6

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Hugo Quintero SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          14  13  21  23  66
  Dorchester Town          11  12  48  28  25

Southend United Fw Attacks = 18 (66 - 48); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 25) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 83.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 31.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 70.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          11  12  48  28  25
  Southend United          14  13  21  23  66

Dorchester Town is Playing For A Draw!
Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 2 (25 - 21) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 1 ((28 - 23) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((48 - 66) / 3;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Bertus De leeuw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Teun Van der berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 2  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 0
 
Match Notes
We may struggle to contain Southend’s forward line. Good luck Colin.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 05/26 - 2:32 PM
Took a chance or two but got the desired result.
Cheers Andy
Colin (Southend United) 05/31 - 7:54 PM
Not too much of a surprise to lose. Would have been nice to have a shot at goal.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 06/01 - 12:03 PM
 
 
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