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Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PRESTON NORTH END FC                       PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Valentin Lugn          17    2   19     Gk Ryan Vukovic           15    2   17
Df Joel Calvo             13    2   15     Sw Bryn Gough             14    2   16
Df Hayden Goodwin         17    2   19     Df Robert Bak             15    1   16
Df Harry Martyn           10    2   12     Df Gustavo García         13    2   15
Mf Arthur Goodwin         16    2   18     Df Shiro Minamino          5    2    7
Mf Tobias Graf            14    2   16     Mf Faustino Verón         15    1   16
Mf Milt Alvarez           12    2   14     Mf Pedro Vazquez           5    2    7
Fw Eduardo Luna           15    1   16     Fw Evaristo Masis         16    1   17
Fw Geovanny Arley         14    1   15     Fw Farzan Vestergaard     15    2   17
Fw Atsushi Morioka        10    2   12     Fw Yann Basset            11    1   12
Fw Gustavo da Rocha        5    2    7     Fw Si-Won Min-woo         13    2   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      19  0 46 48 50        ROSTER TOTALS      17 16 38 23 61    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20  0 46 48 59         T O T A L S       17 16 38 23 61    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 35.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 29.48 (no red card)

Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.5 (no red card)

Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.52 (no red card)

Df Harry Martyn: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.45 (no red card)

Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.43 (no red card)

Mf Tobias Graf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.16 (no red card)

Mf Milt Alvarez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.02 (no red card)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.62 (no red card)

Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.4 (no red card)

Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.95 (no red card)

Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.71 (no red card)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.82 (no red card)

Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.79 (no red card)

Df Robert Bak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.98 (no red card)

Df Gustavo García: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.23 (no red card)

Df Shiro Minamino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.46 (no red card)

Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.83 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Vazquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.57 (no red card)

Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.85 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.18 (no second yellow)

Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.98 (no red card)

Fw Yann Basset: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.87 (no red card)

Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.41 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 52.81 (no injury) 
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.51 (no injury) 
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.46 (no injury) 
Df Harry Martyn: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.8 (no injury) 
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.41 (no injury) 
Mf Tobias Graf: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.66 (no injury) 
Mf Milt Alvarez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.9 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.02 (no injury) 
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.46 (no injury) 
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.5 (no injury) 
Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.23 (no injury) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 99.59 (no injury) 
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.92 (no injury) 
Df Robert Bak: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.63 (no injury) 
Df Gustavo García: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.29 (no injury) 
Df Shiro Minamino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.0 (no injury) 
Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.01 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Vazquez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.99 (no injury) 
Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.81 (no injury) 
Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.15 (no injury) 
Fw Yann Basset: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.72 (no injury) 
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.96 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Hayden Goodwin SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Vukovic SL 15

     intRndPk = 94
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Evaristo Masis SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     20   0  46  48  59
  Plymouth Argyle FC       17  16  38  23  61

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 21 (59 - 38); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 13 ((48 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 61) / 5;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 34

1: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 3.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Milt Alvarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Milt Alvarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Tobias Graf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Tobias Graf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Milt Alvarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Tobias Graf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Tobias Graf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Tobias Graf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 98.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Mf Milt Alvarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Tobias Graf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Tobias Graf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 64.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 59.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 50.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 64.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       17  16  38  23  61
  Preston North End FC     20   0  46  48  59

Preston North End FC is using Offside Trap!
Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 8 (61 - 46) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 48) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 59) / 3;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 77.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 24.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Yann Basset
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 53.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 87.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Yann Basset
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 21.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 12.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 1  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 1
 
Match Notes
PNE undefeated in their last 7.....have they been flying under the radar? Can their knicked up defense hold?
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/23 - 12:40 PM
Ian doesn't have any other matches, so maybe he'll play all youth in this one.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 07/25 - 8:28 PM
These two managers really do not like each other.
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 07/26 - 7:31 AM
Olmec truly did not like us today
Ian (Preston North End FC) 07/26 - 6:12 PM
Not to prove him right but Ian had a +1.28xG
John (Port Vale FC) 07/26 - 10:47 PM
I hate to agree with Ian, but yeah.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 07/27 - 3:56 PM
Plymouth got super lucky here and we're thrilled to come out with a point!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 07/27 - 3:56 PM
 
 
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