(H)
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
League Round 17
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Per Holmdahl 13 1 14 Gk Timothy James 14 2 16
Sw Tommy McGree 8 2 10 Sw Randall Gutiérrez 13 1 14
Df Edwin O'Doherty 12 2 14 Df Ado Di matteo 16 -1 15
Df Magnus Waering 9 2 11 Df Herman Lambert 13 1 14
Df Dominique Coltorti 5 2 7 Df Zinedine Castex 12 2 14
Mf Marko Zabel 11 2 13 Mf Mats Larsson 13 2 15
Mf Ivan Jackson 9 2 11 Mf Acario Finizio 9 0 9
Mf Clement Harouna 5 2 7 Fw Alhassan Baffoe 14 2 16
Fw Gonzalo Lopez 14 2 16 Fw Jakub Fabianski 14 1 15
Fw Olivier Havet 9 2 11 Fw Wladimir Groen 10 1 11
Fw Joel Zamora 8 2 10 Fw Salvatore De luca 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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14 10 32 31 37 ROSTER TOTALS 16 14 43 24 53
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 3
0 0 0 2 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
14 10 32 33 44 T O T A L S 16 14 43 24 56
============================================================================
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.13 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.55 (no red card)
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.16 (no red card)
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.99 (no red card)
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.45 (no red card)
Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.3 (no red card)
Mf Marko Zabel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.38 (no red card)
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.6 (no red card)
Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.72 (no red card)
Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.13 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.25 (no second yellow)
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.73 (no red card)
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.62 (no red card)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 3
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Timothy James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.8 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.12 (no red card)
Sw Randall Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 99.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 15.87 (no red card)
Df Ado Di matteo: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 55.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 90.78 (no red card)
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 25.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 44.72 (no red card)
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 39.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 83.73 (no red card)
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 29.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 38.88 (no red card)
Mf Acario Finizio: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 99.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 65.4 (no red card)
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 70.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 82.27 (no red card)
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 95.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 40.19 (no red card)
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 95.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 17.08 (no red card)
Fw Salvatore De luca: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 53.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 65.58 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 3
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 32.73 (no injury)
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 33.68 (no injury)
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 4.61 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 3
Edwin O'Doherty is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Edwin O'Doherty new match skill level = 6
Edwin O'Doherty new match total level = 8
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 12.05 (no injury)
Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 38.03 (no injury)
Mf Marko Zabel: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 86.19 (no injury)
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 28.83 (no injury)
Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 89.41 (no injury)
Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 27.95 (no injury)
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 39.01 (no injury)
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 35.56 (no injury)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 3
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Timothy James: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 50.71 (no injury)
Sw Randall Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.62 (no injury)
Df Ado Di matteo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.6 (no injury)
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.54 (no injury)
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.75 (no injury)
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.95 (no injury)
Mf Acario Finizio: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.41 (no injury)
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.11 (no injury)
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.14 (no injury)
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.1 (no injury)
Fw Salvatore De luca: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.67 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Gonzalo Lopez SL 14
- Defending Gk: Timothy James SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ado Di matteo SL 16
- Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 13
intRndPk = 4
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Crewe Alexandra FC 14 10 26 33 44
Oldham Athletic AFC 16 14 43 24 56
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 1 (44 - 43); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((33 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 56) / 3; rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Mf Marko Zabel
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Marko Zabel
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 10.63 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 14.42 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 60.96 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Oldham Athletic AFC 16 14 43 24 56
Crewe Alexandra FC 14 10 26 33 44
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 30 (56 - 26); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 33) / 2; rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 44) / 3; rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 30
1: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 82.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 64.2 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 36.2 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 73.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
12: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 61.2 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 0.46 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 92.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
21: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 23.31 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
25: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
26: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target)
27: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0 - OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 4
Match Notes
A draw might just be enough to keep us in Division 2
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 03/08 - 8:46 AM
I think aiming for a draw is realistic!
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 03/14 - 7:45 AM
A point might well have guaranteed us Div 2 next season
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 03/15 - 9:56 AM