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Southend United
Colin Scott
 
Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            CHESTERFIELD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Yassine Amara          15    2   17     Gk Héctor Medrano         15    2   17
Df Vincent Hamidou        16    2   18     Df Yuriy Polishchuk       15    1   16
Df Mauricio López         13    2   15     Df Saul Arteaga            9   -2    7
Df Alain Teulet           11    2   13     Mf Dani Paqueta           15    1   16
Mf Ludwig Troell          14    2   16     Mf Sung Yong              10    1   11
Mf Cyril Chadli            9    2   11     Mf Steen Clausen           9    2   11
Mf Quentin Meunier         5    2    7     Mf Alfie Campbell          5    2    7
Fw Cássio Lemos           20    2   22     Fw Julio Morales          15    1   16
Fw Percy Maguire          15    2   17     Fw Alfonso Mesén          16    0   16
Fw Pedro Viera            14    2   16     Fw Mario Barrios           9    2   11
Fw Marek Grabara           9    2   11     Fw Marcos Talavera         5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 46 34 66        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 23 45 50    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  4  0  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  7  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  0 50 34 71         T O T A L S       20  0 23 52 50    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 76.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 10.23 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.96 (no red card)

Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.87 (no red card)

Df Alain Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.24 (no red card)

Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.4 (no red card)

Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.26 (no red card)

Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.7 (no red card)

Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.36 (no red card)

Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.17 (no red card)

Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.8 (no red card)

Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.2 (no red card)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.27 (no red card)

Df Yuriy Polishchuk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.25 (no red card)

Df Saul Arteaga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.97 (no red card)

Mf Dani Paqueta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.53 (no red card)

Mf Sung Yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.07 (no red card)

Mf Steen Clausen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.46 (no red card)

Mf Alfie Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.26 (no red card)

Fw Julio Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.86 (no red card)

Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.4 (no red card)

Fw Mario Barrios: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.04 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Talavera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.97 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 21.67 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.34 (no injury) 
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.91 (no injury) 
Df Alain Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.67 (no injury) 
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.78 (no injury) 
Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.74 (no injury) 
Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.54 (no injury) 
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.68 (no injury) 
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.95 (no injury) 
Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.26 (no injury) 
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.51 (no injury) 

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 97.26 (no injury) 
Df Yuriy Polishchuk: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.33 (no injury) 
Df Saul Arteaga: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.49 (no injury) 
Mf Dani Paqueta: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.06 (no injury) 
Mf Sung Yong: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.46 (no injury) 
Mf Steen Clausen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.73 (no injury) 
Mf Alfie Campbell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.68 (no injury) 
Fw Julio Morales: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.34 (no injury) 
Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.95 (no injury) 
Fw Mario Barrios: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.6 (no injury) 
Fw Marcos Talavera: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.67 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cássio Lemos SL 20
   - Defending Gk: Héctor Medrano SL 15

     intRndPk = 68
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alfonso Mesén SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          18   0  50  34  71
  Chesterfield FC          20   0  23  52  50

Chesterfield FC is using Offside Trap!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 24 (71 - 23) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 52) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((50 - 50) / 5;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 24.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 54.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 5.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 4.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 2.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 74.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 27.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 46.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 10.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 96.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 52.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 78.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 46.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 7.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          20   0  23  52  50
  Southend United          18   0  50  34  71

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 0 (50 - 50)
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((52 - 34) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 71) / 5;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Mf Sung Yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 45.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Alfie Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 97.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Sung Yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 26.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Alfie Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 89.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Sung Yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 11.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Dani Paqueta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Sung Yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 87.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Mf Dani Paqueta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 48.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 1  -  CHESTERFIELD FC 3
 
Match Notes
Was it my last minute tinkering - removing the SW - that cost us or something else…
Colin (Southend United) 07/26 - 6:31 PM
The main take is that my mate Phil will be in Div 1 next season - BRAVO
Colin (Southend United) 07/26 - 6:31 PM
 
 
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