(H)
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
League Round 17
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
DORCHESTER TOWN CARLISLE UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Kris Vermant 13 2 15 Gk Dani Cassio 15 2 17
Df Bozidar Šimic 15 2 17 Sw Alistair Robinson 9 2 11
Df Sim Young-gwon 13 2 15 Df Marco Sa 13 1 14
Df Luca Simons 12 2 14 Df Jonas Schäfer 12 2 14
Df Abdoul N'day 9 2 11 Df Kyria Brozovic 9 2 11
Mf Óscar Rivero 15 2 17 Df Minato Morishima 12 2 14
Mf Peter Roldan 15 2 17 Mf Marco D'amato 13 2 15
Mf Dragan Shvets 13 2 15 Mf Ousmane Laforest 9 2 11
Mf Nazariy Gusak 14 2 16 Mf Alexander Dolberg 4 2 6
Fw Luís Oliveira 15 2 17 Fw Agustin Martinez 9 2 11
Fw Messaoud Diop 5 2 7 Fw Liam Harries 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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15 0 57 65 24 ROSTER TOTALS 17 11 53 32 17
3 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 2 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 2 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
=======================================================================
18 0 57 65 35 T O T A L S 17 13 60 32 17
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 3
- Gk Hardness = 3
Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 43.34 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 15.42 (no red card)
Df Bozidar Šimic: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 67.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 99.06 (no red card)
Df Sim Young-gwon: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 51.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 46.02 (no red card)
Df Luca Simons: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 72.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 68.14 (no red card)
Df Abdoul N'day: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 51.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 25.13 (no red card)
Mf Óscar Rivero: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 95.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 47.69 (no red card)
Mf Peter Roldan: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 74.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 96.58 (no red card)
Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 91.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 20.83 (no red card)
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 52.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 39.12 (no red card)
Fw Luís Oliveira: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 89.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 62.11 (no red card)
Fw Messaoud Diop: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 65.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 42.66 (no red card)
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.01 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.56 (no red card)
Sw Alistair Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.88 (no red card)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.16 (no red card)
Df Jonas Schäfer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.17 (no red card)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.64 (no red card)
Df Minato Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.58 (no red card)
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.25 (no red card)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.04 (no red card)
Mf Alexander Dolberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.67 (no red card)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.82 (no red card)
Fw Liam Harries: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.21 (no red card)
============================================================================
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 3
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 44.03 (no injury)
Df Bozidar Šimic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.39 (no injury)
Df Sim Young-gwon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.48 (no injury)
Df Luca Simons: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.35 (no injury)
Df Abdoul N'day: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.95 (no injury)
Mf Óscar Rivero: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.08 (no injury)
Mf Peter Roldan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.82 (no injury)
Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.68 (no injury)
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.01 (no injury)
Fw Luís Oliveira: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.89 (no injury)
Fw Messaoud Diop: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.64 (no injury)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 3
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 34.18 (no injury)
Sw Alistair Robinson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 19.4 (no injury)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 25.59 (no injury)
Df Jonas Schäfer: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 71.66 (no injury)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 94.21 (no injury)
Df Minato Morishima: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 30.63 (no injury)
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 41.89 (no injury)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 30.56 (no injury)
Mf Alexander Dolberg: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 41.79 (no injury)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 64.13 (no injury)
Fw Liam Harries: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 47.14 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Bozidar Šimic SL 15
- Defending Gk: Dani Cassio SL 15
intRndPk = 75
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
******* DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Marco Sa SL 13
- Defending Gk: Kris Vermant SL 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Dorchester Town 18 0 57 65 35
Carlisle United 17 13 60 32 17
Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 0 (35 - 60)
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 17 ((65 - 32) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 8 ((57 - 17) / 5); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 25
1: Attack for Df Abdoul N'day
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Sim Young-gwon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Sim Young-gwon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Abdoul N'day
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 6.09 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Df Luca Simons
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Df Luca Simons
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Df Abdoul N'day
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 56.17 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Df Luca Simons
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 33.43 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Mf Óscar Rivero
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Dragan Shvets
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 49.0 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Mf Óscar Rivero
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Peter Roldan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Mf Óscar Rivero
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Mf Óscar Rivero
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Mf Óscar Rivero
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 6.44 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Mf Óscar Rivero
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 78.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
17: Attack for Mf Óscar Rivero
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Mf Óscar Rivero
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 18.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Mf Dragan Shvets
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Mf Peter Roldan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Mf Dragan Shvets
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 0.82 (Shot Saved by Gk)
23: Attack for Mf Óscar Rivero
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Mf Dragan Shvets
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 28.03 (Shot Saved by Gk)
25: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 17 13 60 32 17
Dorchester Town 18 0 57 65 35
Dorchester Town is using Offside Trap!
Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 57)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 65) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 5 ((60 - 35) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 5
1: Attack for Df Minato Morishima
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 78.67 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Marco Sa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 90.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Df Marco Sa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 94.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Df Minato Morishima
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 85.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Df Jonas Schäfer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 88.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
DORCHESTER TOWN 1 - CARLISLE UNITED 4
Match Notes
We aren’t safe just yet.
~ Andy ~ Jul 6 (Dorchester Town)
Andy Shaw setting up shop at the back again. One-nil and done is his game. Carlisle better bring patience — this won't be pretty.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ Jul 8 (Blyth Spartans AFC)
I’m not quite sure that was a fair result.
~ Andy ~ Jul 12 (Dorchester Town)