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Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
 
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARDIFF CITY FC                            BRISTOL CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos     14    2   16     Gk Eugene Vasilev         15    2   17
Sw Lewis Kane             11    2   13     Df Patrick LecLercq       15    2   17
Df Mark O'Byrne           13    2   15     Df Mouhamed Kamal         14    2   16
Df Nick Jacobs            10    2   12     Df Yahya Cheddira         13    2   15
Mf Emil Jeppesen          13    0   13     Df Jeppe Bach              9    2   11
Mf Ricardo Salcedo        10    2   12     Mf Valentin Gavranovic    14    2   16
Mf Antonio Muñoz           5    2    7     Mf Samim Skov              9    2   11
Fw Edson Blanco           14    2   16     Fw Mislav Caleta-Car      15    2   17
Fw Fabrice Ndi            16    2   18     Fw Jacob Jones            14    2   16
Fw Leonardo Alonso        13    2   15     Fw José Oliveira          13    2   15
Fw Eddy Perez              9    2   11     Fw Thomas Williams         9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 13 27 32 60        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 59 27 59    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  5  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 13 27 32 69         T O T A L S       17  0 64 27 59    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.26 (no red card)

Sw Lewis Kane: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.0 (no red card)

Df Mark O'Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.33 (no red card)

Df Nick Jacobs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.51 (no red card)

Mf Emil Jeppesen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.1 (no red card)

Mf Ricardo Salcedo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.1 (no red card)

Mf Antonio Muñoz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.4 (no red card)

Fw Edson Blanco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.43 (no red card)

Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.13 (no red card)

Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.26 (no red card)

Fw Eddy Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.27 (no red card)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.28 (no red card)

Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.19 (no red card)

Df Mouhamed Kamal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.43 (no red card)

Df Yahya Cheddira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.21 (no red card)

Df Jeppe Bach: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.08 (no red card)

Mf Valentin Gavranovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.7 (no red card)

Mf Samim Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.59 (no red card)

Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.38 (no red card)

Fw Jacob Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.78 (no red card)

Fw José Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.65 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.53 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 11.85 (no injury) 
Sw Lewis Kane: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.65 (no injury) 
Df Mark O'Byrne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.67 (no injury) 
Df Nick Jacobs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.48 (no injury) 
Mf Emil Jeppesen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.62 (no injury) 
Mf Ricardo Salcedo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.95 (no injury) 
Mf Antonio Muñoz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.39 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Antonio Muñoz is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Antonio Muñoz new match skill level =  3
      Antonio Muñoz new match total level =  5
Fw Edson Blanco: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.1 (no injury) 
Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.4 (no injury) 
Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.26 (no injury) 
Fw Eddy Perez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.91 (no injury) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 60.51 (no injury) 
Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.17 (no injury) 
Df Mouhamed Kamal: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.42 (no injury) 
Df Yahya Cheddira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.23 (no injury) 
Df Jeppe Bach: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.01 (no injury) 
Mf Valentin Gavranovic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.12 (no injury) 
Mf Samim Skov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.8 (no injury) 
Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.08 (no injury) 
Fw Jacob Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.62 (no injury) 
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.45 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.97 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fabrice Ndi SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Eugene Vasilev SL 15

     intRndPk = 48
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Patrick LecLercq SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Ronaldo Marquinhos SL 14

     intRndPk = 22
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Cardiff City FC          19  13  27  30  69
  Bristol City FC          17   0  64  27  59

Bristol City FC is using Offside Trap!
Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 3 (69 - 64) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((30 - 27) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 59) / 3;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Emil Jeppesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Ricardo Salcedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Ricardo Salcedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 90.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 94.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          17   0  64  27  59
  Cardiff City FC          19  13  27  30  69

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 32 (59 - 27); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((64 - 69) / 5;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 32

1: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 21.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 39.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 23.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 97.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 47.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 92.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 46.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 43.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 25.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 9.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 38.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 42.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
29: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 18.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 61.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
32: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARDIFF CITY FC 2  -  BRISTOL CITY FC 2
 

Match Notes

Halpin flew in from New Jersey to turn a four-time champion into a Division 2 side — now he's taking on Cardiff's identity crisis. Should be a right mess. Get the popcorn out.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ Jul 4 (Blyth Spartans AFC)  
Cardiff away could kill our promotion hopes.
~ Jason ~ Jul 11 (Bristol City FC)  
Yet again, my GK comes up small
~ Jason ~ Jul 11 (Bristol City FC)  
Halpin's lot go to Cardiff and nick a point. Typical bounce-back Cardiff — two up then hand it back. Wilkes needs his side to decide what they are.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ Jul 11 (Blyth Spartans AFC)  
 
 
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