(H)
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
League Round 17
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
DORCHESTER TOWN BRENTFORD FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Logan McKennie 11 2 13 Gk John Kosowski 9 2 11
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han 14 2 16 Sw Ricardo Xavier 13 0 13
Df Josip Sommer 15 2 17 Df Christian Hennessey 16 2 18
Df Andre Ngwa 13 2 15 Df Maciek Szymanski 14 2 16
Df Hugo Quintero 13 2 15 Df Martyn Owen 14 1 15
Df Tobias Kimmich 12 2 14 Df Haris Seferovic 5 2 7
Mf Nazariy Gusak 14 2 16 Mf Balla Diouf 14 0 14
Mf Bastiaan de Jong 13 2 15 Mf Muhammed Kwadwo 5 2 7
Mf Peter Roldan 5 2 7 Fw Ye-jun Ji 14 1 15
Fw Teun Van der berg 15 1 16 Fw Per Seuffert 12 1 13
Fw Boris Rudenko 13 2 15 Fw Lilian Cazenave 10 2 12
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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13 16 61 38 31 ROSTER TOTALS 11 13 56 21 40
2 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 2 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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15 16 61 40 38 T O T A L S 14 13 56 21 40
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 2
Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 73.48 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 28.34 (no red card)
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 56.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 40.46 (no red card)
Df Josip Sommer: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 76.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 44.28 (no red card)
Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 70.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 34.27 (no red card)
Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 17.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 86.66 (no red card)
Df Tobias Kimmich: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 55.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 45.73 (no red card)
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 42.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 81.31 (no red card)
Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 57.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 58.0 (no red card)
Mf Peter Roldan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 68.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 99.36 (no red card)
Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 19.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 95.74 (no red card)
Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 98.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 71.99 (no red card)
******* BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk John Kosowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.24 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.23 (no red card)
Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.42 (no red card)
Df Christian Hennessey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.83 (no red card)
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.24 (no red card)
Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.2 (no red card)
Df Haris Seferovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.87 (no red card)
Mf Balla Diouf: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.81 (no red card)
Mf Muhammed Kwadwo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.38 (no red card)
Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.33 (no red card)
Fw Per Seuffert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.15 (no red card)
Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.35 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
- Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 13.54 (no injury)
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 35.93 (no injury)
Df Josip Sommer: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 43.27 (no injury)
Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 73.56 (no injury)
Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 91.1 (no injury)
Df Tobias Kimmich: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 3.55 (no injury)
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 49.8 (no injury)
Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 22.27 (no injury)
Mf Peter Roldan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 2.46 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 6
Peter Roldan is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Peter Roldan new match skill level = 3
Peter Roldan new match total level = 5
Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 22.93 (no injury)
Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 63.32 (no injury)
******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
- Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk John Kosowski: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 77.61 (no injury)
Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 56.6 (no injury)
Df Christian Hennessey: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 52.05 (no injury)
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 21.56 (no injury)
Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 92.22 (no injury)
Df Haris Seferovic: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 67.09 (no injury)
Mf Balla Diouf: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.26 (no injury)
Mf Muhammed Kwadwo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 83.22 (no injury)
Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 16.48 (no injury)
Fw Per Seuffert: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 43.55 (no injury)
Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 70.39 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Josip Sommer SL 15
- Defending Gk: John Kosowski SL 9
intRndPk = 41
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
******* DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Christian Hennessey SL 16
- Defending Gk: Logan McKennie SL 11
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Dorchester Town 15 16 61 38 38
Brentford FC 14 13 56 21 40
Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 0 (38 - 56)
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 9 ((38 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 7 ((61 - 40) / 3); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 16
1: Attack for Df Andre Ngwa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Tobias Kimmich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Andre Ngwa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Df Tobias Kimmich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 47.25 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Df Hugo Quintero
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Df Hugo Quintero
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Df Josip Sommer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 63.89 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 35.26 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brentford FC 14 13 56 21 40
Dorchester Town 15 16 61 38 38
Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 0 (40 - 61)
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 38) / 2; rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 6 ((56 - 38) / 3); result rounded up
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Df Maciek Szymanski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 18.43 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Martyn Owen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Christian Hennessey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 25.85 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Christian Hennessey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Haris Seferovic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Df Christian Hennessey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
DORCHESTER TOWN 0 - BRENTFORD FC 0
Match Notes
We need a point to confirm our safety. Easy surely against the bottom team?
Andy (Dorchester Town) 07/24 - 9:47 PM
Has Allan gone off the boil not seen such a poor team at the bees for years
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 07/25 - 8:06 PM
This is what happens to your team when management pours all resources into Prediction League.
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 07/26 - 7:33 AM
Ian predicts the draw!
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 07/27 - 2:58 AM
Ian was right. A goalless draw.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 07/29 - 7:10 PM