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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk John Kosowski          16    1   17     Gk Carlos Ferreto         10    2   12
Sw Joseph Hadja           14    1   15     Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo  15    1   16
Df Haris Seferovic        14    0   14     Df Kwadwo Danlad          14    1   15
Df Kazu Fukunishi         12    2   14     Df Andrew Vaughan         10    2   12
Df Gildardo Aguilar        9    2   11     Df Jan Janssens            5    2    7
Df Mats Krafth             9    2   11     Df Lionel Torres           5    1    6
Mf Muhammed Kwadwo        14    1   15     Mf Enoch Gyan             14    1   15
Mf Francois Fournier      12    1   13     Mf Muziano Doni           16    0   16
Fw Lance James            15    1   16     Fw Jose Leao               9   -1    8
Fw Solomon Obi            16    1   17     Fw Meliton Molina          5    2    7
Fw Ben Hamadou             9    2   11     Fw Ray Kelly               5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 50 28 44        ROSTER TOTALS      12 16 40 31 22    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  3  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 50 28 53         T O T A L S       12 16 40 36 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk John Kosowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.41 (no red card)

Sw Joseph Hadja: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.32 (no red card)

Df Haris Seferovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.33 (no red card)

Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.75 (no red card)

Df Gildardo Aguilar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.2 (no red card)

Df Mats Krafth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.22 (no red card)

Mf Muhammed Kwadwo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.97 (no red card)

Mf Francois Fournier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.92 (no red card)

Fw Lance James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.45 (no red card)

Fw Solomon Obi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.18 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.18 (no second yellow)

Fw Ben Hamadou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.51 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Carlos Ferreto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.39 (no red card)

Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 38.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 58.28 (no red card)

Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 95.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 55.07 (no red card)

Df Andrew Vaughan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 48.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 51.06 (no red card)

Df Jan Janssens: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 44.36 (no red card)

Df Lionel Torres: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 48.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 64.23 (no red card)

Mf Enoch Gyan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 10.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 86.16 (no red card)

Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 98.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 88.66 (no red card)

Fw Jose Leao: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 23.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 1.83 (no red card)

Fw Meliton Molina: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 44.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 52.13 (no red card)

Fw Ray Kelly: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 74.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 20.58 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk John Kosowski: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 22.71 (no injury) 
Sw Joseph Hadja: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 3.35 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Joseph Hadja is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Joseph Hadja new match skill level =  7
      Joseph Hadja new match total level =  8
Df Haris Seferovic: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 37.58 (no injury) 
Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 92.39 (no injury) 
Df Gildardo Aguilar: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 52.49 (no injury) 
Df Mats Krafth: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 97.32 (no injury) 
Mf Muhammed Kwadwo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 4.67 (no injury) 
Mf Francois Fournier: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 71.2 (no injury) 
Fw Lance James: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 21.64 (no injury) 
Fw Solomon Obi: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 19.52 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Hamadou: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 21.38 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Carlos Ferreto: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 25.38 (no injury) 
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 9.18 (no injury) 
Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 21.03 (no injury) 
Df Andrew Vaughan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 19.85 (no injury) 
Df Jan Janssens: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 28.65 (no injury) 
Df Lionel Torres: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 59.56 (no injury) 
Mf Enoch Gyan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 85.37 (no injury) 
Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 14.94 (no injury) 
Fw Jose Leao: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 41.17 (no injury) 
Fw Meliton Molina: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 29.28 (no injury) 
Fw Ray Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 42.44 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Solomon Obi SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Carlos Ferreto SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Muziano Doni SL 16
   - Defending Gk: John Kosowski SL 16

     intRndPk = 91
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             17   8  50  28  53
  Derby County             12  16  40  36  22

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 13 (53 - 40); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 10 ((50 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Df Mats Krafth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Haris Seferovic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Kazu Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Haris Seferovic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 98.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Gildardo Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 78.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Df Haris Seferovic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Haris Seferovic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Haris Seferovic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df Gildardo Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Df Gildardo Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Solomon Obi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Solomon Obi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Lance James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Lance James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Lance James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Lance James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 14.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Ben Hamadou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Solomon Obi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Solomon Obi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Solomon Obi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Solomon Obi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 49.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Ben Hamadou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Lance James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             12  16  40  36  22
  Brentford FC             17   8  50  28  53

Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 50)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 4 ((36 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 2  -  DERBY COUNTY 0
 

Match Notes

Bees need two wins and for either Dorchester or Crewe not to win to consolidate their promotion last season
~ John ~ Jul 4 (Port Vale FC)  
Sellers needs a big one here. Derby travel well and they'll be no pushovers. Brentford better be ready from the first whistle.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ Jul 6 (Blyth Spartans AFC)  
Fortunate to get the win. Still a bit of a goal differential issue. Good game Mr. H!
~ Allan ~ Jul 11 (Brentford FC)  
 
 
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