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Hereford United FC
Alex Tucker
 
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HEREFORD UNITED FC                         BRENTFORD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Wyn Perry               7    2    9     Gk John Kosowski          14   -2   12
Sw Gabriel Alvarado       10    1   11     Sw Joseph Hadja           10    2   12
Df Jarek Ryan              9    0    9     Df Kazu Fukunishi         14    2   16
Df Arvid Thelin            9    0    9     Df Philippe Fabinho       14    1   15
Mf Filip Kramaric         10   -2    8     Df Christian Hennessey    14    1   15
Mf Josh Jordan             9   -1    8     Df Gildardo Aguilar        5    2    7
Fw Lukasz Dudka            9    0    9     Mf Victor Moreira         14    2   16
Fw Eric Mertens            8    2   10     Mf Paul Mahamat           15    2   17
Fw Denis Dubois            4    2    6     Mf Muhammed Kwadwo         9    2   11
Fw Lloyd Pickford          4    2    6     Fw Miguel Díaz            15    2   17
Fw Moise Enow              4    2    6     Fw Claudio Zappi          14    2   16

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9 11 18 16 37        ROSTER TOTALS      12 12 53 44 33    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9 11 18 16 46         T O T A L S       15 15 53 44 33    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Wyn Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.2 (no red card)

Sw Gabriel Alvarado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.22 (no red card)

Df Jarek Ryan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.04 (no red card)

Df Arvid Thelin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.36 (no red card)

Mf Filip Kramaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.61 (no red card)

Mf Josh Jordan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.76 (no red card)

Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.51 (no red card)

Fw Eric Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.32 (no red card)

Fw Denis Dubois: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.4 (no red card)

Fw Lloyd Pickford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.44 (no red card)

Fw Moise Enow: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.65 (no red card)

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk John Kosowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.23 (no red card)

Sw Joseph Hadja: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.35 (no red card)

Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.87 (no red card)

Df Philippe Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.05 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.37 (no second yellow)

Df Christian Hennessey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.82 (no red card)

Df Gildardo Aguilar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.06 (no red card)

Mf Victor Moreira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.89 (no red card)

Mf Paul Mahamat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.2 (no red card)

Mf Muhammed Kwadwo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.82 (no red card)

Fw Miguel Díaz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.92 (no red card)

Fw Claudio Zappi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.7 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Wyn Perry: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 83.78 (no injury) 
Sw Gabriel Alvarado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.5 (no injury) 
Df Jarek Ryan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.75 (no injury) 
Df Arvid Thelin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.32 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Arvid Thelin is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Filip Kramaric: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.57 (no injury) 
Mf Josh Jordan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.93 (no injury) 
Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.02 (no injury) 
Fw Eric Mertens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.45 (no injury) 
Fw Denis Dubois: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.0 (no injury) 
Fw Lloyd Pickford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.92 (no injury) 
Fw Moise Enow: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.88 (no injury) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk John Kosowski: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 18.12 (no injury) 
Sw Joseph Hadja: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.33 (no injury) 
Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.39 (no injury) 
Df Philippe Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.52 (no injury) 
Df Christian Hennessey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.77 (no injury) 
Df Gildardo Aguilar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.23 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Moreira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.69 (no injury) 
Mf Paul Mahamat: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.5 (no injury) 
Mf Muhammed Kwadwo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.46 (no injury) 
Fw Miguel Díaz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.96 (no injury) 
Fw Claudio Zappi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.54 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Filip Kramaric SL 10
   - Defending Gk: John Kosowski SL 14

     intRndPk = 64
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Paul Mahamat SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Wyn Perry SL 7

     intRndPk = 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       9  11  18  16  46
  Brentford FC             15  15  53  44  33

Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (46 - 53)
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 44) / 2;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 33) / 3;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 0


*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             15  15  53  44  33
  Hereford United FC       9  11  18  16  46

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 15 (33 - 18); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 14 ((44 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 3 ((53 - 46) / 3); result rounded up
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 32

1: Attack for Df Kazu Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Kazu Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Philippe Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Muhammed Kwadwo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Muhammed Kwadwo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Paul Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Victor Moreira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Paul Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 10.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Victor Moreira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Muhammed Kwadwo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Victor Moreira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Paul Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Paul Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Paul Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Paul Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 90.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Mf Victor Moreira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Paul Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Claudio Zappi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 29.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Claudio Zappi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 95.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Claudio Zappi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Claudio Zappi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 29.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
29: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 20.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Claudio Zappi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Claudio Zappi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HEREFORD UNITED FC 0  -  BRENTFORD FC 2
 
Match Notes
Fortunate to win here...
Allan (Brentford FC) 03/14 - 6:46 PM  
 
 
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