(H)
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
Southend United
Colin Scott
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC SOUTHEND UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Per Holmdahl 14 2 16 Gk Yassine Amara 15 2 17
Sw Piotr Sobolewski 9 2 11 Sw Gilbert Tchato 10 2 12
Df Edwin O'Doherty 14 2 16 Df Vincent Hamidou 16 2 18
Df Michaël Van der Heyden 13 2 15 Df Mauricio López 13 2 15
Df Festus Abubakar 9 2 11 Df Alain Teulet 11 2 13
Mf Mario Pletikosa 14 0 14 Mf Ludwig Troell 14 2 16
Mf Óscar Cota 9 2 11 Mf Cyril Chadli 9 2 11
Mf Ivan Jackson 5 2 7 Fw Cássio Lemos 20 2 22
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric 14 2 16 Fw Percy Maguire 15 2 17
Fw Joel Zamora 15 2 17 Fw Pedro Viera 14 2 16
Fw Bassem Mkademi 9 2 11 Fw Jamie Behich 13 2 15
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
16 11 42 32 44 ROSTER TOTALS 17 12 46 27 70
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 3 0 3 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
16 14 42 35 53 T O T A L S 18 12 46 27 70
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.83 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.78 (no red card)
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.25 (no red card)
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.2 (no red card)
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.79 (no red card)
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.51 (no red card)
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.12 (no red card)
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.7 (no red card)
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.68 (no red card)
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.39 (no red card)
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.36 (no red card)
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.4 (no red card)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 42.72 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 26.6 (no red card)
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.05 (no red card)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.32 (no red card)
Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.88 (no red card)
Df Alain Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.87 (no red card)
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.25 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.43 (no second yellow)
Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.71 (no red card)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.2 (no red card)
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.27 (no red card)
Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.46 (no red card)
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.37 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 43.44 (no injury)
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.08 (no injury)
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.17 (no injury)
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.53 (no injury)
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.22 (no injury)
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.14 (no injury)
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.46 (no injury)
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.5 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Ivan Jackson is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Ivan Jackson new match skill level = 3
Ivan Jackson new match total level = 5
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.25 (no injury)
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.15 (no injury)
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.76 (no injury)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 46.14 (no injury)
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.56 (no injury)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.58 (no injury)
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.3 (no injury)
Df Alain Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.97 (no injury)
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.49 (no injury)
Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.65 (no injury)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.75 (no injury)
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.94 (no injury)
Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.61 (no injury)
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.79 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Joel Zamora SL 15
- Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Cássio Lemos SL 20
- Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 14
intRndPk = 22
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Crewe Alexandra FC 16 14 42 33 53
Southend United 18 12 46 27 70
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 7 (53 - 46); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((33 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 70) / 3; rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 10
1: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 8.66 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 18 12 46 27 70
Crewe Alexandra FC 16 14 42 33 53
Southend United Fw Attacks = 28 (70 - 42); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 33) / 2; rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 53) / 3; rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 28
1: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 57.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 96.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 9.01 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 13.08 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 54.01 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 9.03 (Shot Saved by Gk)
25: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 32.82 (Shot Saved by Gk)
27: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
28: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1 - SOUTHEND UNITED 1
Match Notes
My mate Carl
Colin (Southend United) 07/19 - 6:27 PM
Southend have the distraction of a cup final but need to ensure they get a point for promotion. A tough end to the season.
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 07/20 - 10:31 AM
Remember what Hitchhiker’s says - Don’t Panic.
Colin (Southend United) 07/22 - 5:27 AM
Avoided the drop - well done Carl
Colin (Southend United) 07/26 - 6:29 PM
The draw which kept them up!
John (Port Vale FC) 07/26 - 10:49 PM
We were very lucky that a point here kept us in Division 2
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 07/28 - 7:35 AM