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Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHESTERFIELD FC                            LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Héctor Medrano         15    2   17     Gk Ethan Maddison         16    2   18
Sw Ibou Sene              12    2   14     Df Cássio Alisson         15    2   17
Df Yuriy Polishchuk       15    1   16     Df Rodrygo Paulinho       13    2   15
Df Edilberto Moreno       14    1   15     Df Javi Flores             9    2   11
Df William Roldan         12    2   14     Mf Imed Ahmed             14    2   16
Mf Dani Paqueta           15    1   16     Mf Damian Nabbout          9    2   11
Mf Edwin O'Kelly          15    1   16     Mf Roberto Bonano         13    2   15
Mf Jonatan López          12    2   14     Fw Shinya Soma            14    2   16
Fw Julio Morales          15    1   16     Fw Jean Diouf             15    1   16
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho    14    0   14     Fw Amadou Wagué            9    2   11
Fw Alfonso Mesén          16    0   16     Fw Gregorio Caballero      9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 14 45 46 46        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 43 42 54    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  3  0  0  4  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 17 45 46 59         T O T A L S       21  0 43 42 54    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.04 (no red card)

Sw Ibou Sene: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.75 (no red card)

Df Yuriy Polishchuk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.37 (no red card)

Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.33 (no red card)

Df William Roldan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.59 (no red card)

Mf Dani Paqueta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.51 (no red card)

Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.02 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.17 (no second yellow)

Mf Jonatan López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.71 (no red card)

Fw Julio Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.26 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.16 (no second yellow)

Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.7 (no red card)

Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.74 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 67.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 29.65 (no red card)

Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.0 (no red card)

Df Rodrygo Paulinho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.74 (no red card)

Df Javi Flores: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.33 (no red card)

Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.28 (no red card)

Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.31 (no red card)

Mf Roberto Bonano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.98 (no red card)

Fw Shinya Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.71 (no red card)

Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.87 (no red card)

Fw Amadou Wagué: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.5 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.37 (no second yellow)

Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.8 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 77.38 (no injury) 
Sw Ibou Sene: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.56 (no injury) 
Df Yuriy Polishchuk: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.27 (no injury) 
Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.39 (no injury) 
Df William Roldan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.1 (no injury) 
Mf Dani Paqueta: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.1 (no injury) 
Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.48 (no injury) 
Mf Jonatan López: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.77 (no injury) 
Fw Julio Morales: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.37 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.21 (no injury) 
Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.9 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 6.16 (no injury) 
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.16 (no injury) 
Df Rodrygo Paulinho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.86 (no injury) 
Df Javi Flores: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.78 (no injury) 
Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.26 (no injury) 
Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.89 (no injury) 
Mf Roberto Bonano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.67 (no injury) 
Fw Shinya Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.33 (no injury) 
Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.77 (no injury) 
Fw Amadou Wagué: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.32 (no injury) 
Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.28 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alfonso Mesén SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cássio Alisson SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Héctor Medrano SL 15

     intRndPk = 48
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          20  17  45  46  59
  Lewes FC                 21   0  43  42  54

Lewes FC is using Offside Trap!
Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 8 (59 - 43) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((46 - 42) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Mf Jonatan López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Dani Paqueta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 29.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Jonatan López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 68.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 83.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 95.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 39.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 9.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 86.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 60.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 21   0  43  42  54
  Chesterfield FC          20  17  45  46  59

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 9 (54 - 45); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((42 - 46) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 59) / 5;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Fw Amadou Wagué
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Amadou Wagué
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 56.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHESTERFIELD FC 1  -  LEWES FC 0
 
Match Notes
Phil has 9 lives, we have no chance here. Rumor has it Lewes vets are staying back home and they will lean on the youth team to get in some work.
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/23 - 12:43 PM
Dave lies.
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 07/26 - 7:32 AM
Congrats Phil…well played
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/26 - 6:15 PM
That's a promotion-gaining win
John (Port Vale FC) 07/26 - 10:49 PM
Inconceivable that we are promoting. I thought it was lights out after session 8.
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 07/27 - 3:01 AM
Great season Mr. Lewes!
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 07/27 - 3:01 AM
Phil….i was lying again
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/27 - 2:12 PM
Great league campaign by Lewes
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 07/28 - 7:43 AM
 
 
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