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Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Manuel Zakaria         12    2   14     Gk Logan McKennie         11    2   13
Sw Mitsuo Soma            10    2   12     Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han         14    2   16
Df Herman Lambert         15    2   17     Df Josip Sommer           15    2   17
Df Zinedine Castex        13    2   15     Df Andre Ngwa             13    2   15
Df Faryd Cuadrado         12    2   14     Df Hugo Quintero          13    2   15
Mf Mats Larsson           12    2   14     Df Pedro Romero            5    2    7
Mf Manuel Alves           13    2   15     Mf Nazariy Gusak          14    2   16
Fw Alhassan Baffoe        14   -1   13     Mf Bastiaan de Jong       13    2   15
Fw Jakub Fabianski        14    2   16     Mf Dragan Shvets           9    2   11
Fw Wladimir Groen         13    2   15     Fw Teun Van der berg      15    1   16
Fw Marouane Peeters       10    2   12     Fw Boris Rudenko          13    2   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 12 46 29 56        ROSTER TOTALS      13 16 54 42 31    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 12 46 29 65         T O T A L S       16 17 61 42 31    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.09 (no red card)

Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.89 (no red card)

Df Herman Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.77 (no red card)

Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.22 (no red card)

Df Faryd Cuadrado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.48 (no red card)

Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.98 (no red card)

Mf Manuel Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.66 (no red card)

Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.7 (no red card)

Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.94 (no red card)

Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.16 (no red card)

Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.98 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 73.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 91.74 (no red card)

Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 5.62 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 63.67 (no second yellow)

Df Josip Sommer: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 71.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 4.45 (no red card)

Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 37.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 19.9 (no red card)

Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 68.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 82.76 (no red card)

Df Pedro Romero: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 3.81 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 49.39 (no second yellow)

Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 76.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 81.51 (no red card)

Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 13.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 25.79 (no red card)

Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 75.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 89.08 (no red card)

Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 77.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 66.42 (no red card)

Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 73.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 25.85 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.07 (no injury) 
Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 74.39 (no injury) 
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 28.26 (no injury) 
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 28.71 (no injury) 
Df Faryd Cuadrado: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 37.24 (no injury) 
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 50.46 (no injury) 
Mf Manuel Alves: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 60.36 (no injury) 
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 90.41 (no injury) 
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 60.6 (no injury) 
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 81.53 (no injury) 
Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 78.16 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 62.16 (no injury) 
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 11.6 (no injury) 
Df Josip Sommer: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 63.67 (no injury) 
Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 27.96 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 16.89 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Romero: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 95.43 (no injury) 
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 86.39 (no injury) 
Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 16.13 (no injury) 
Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 49.98 (no injury) 
Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 99.9 (no injury) 
Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 90.89 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Herman Lambert SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Logan McKennie SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Josip Sommer SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Manuel Zakaria SL 12

     intRndPk = 73
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      14  12  46  29  65
  Dorchester Town          16  17  61  42  31

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 4 (65 - 61); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 5 ((46 - 31) / 3); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Herman Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 10.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Herman Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Herman Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Herman Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Zinedine Castex
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          16  17  61  42  31
  Oldham Athletic AFC      14  12  46  29  65

Dorchester Town is Playing For A Draw!
Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 0 (31 - 46)
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 3 ((42 - 29) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((61 - 65) / 3;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Dragan Shvets
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 87.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 0  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 1
 
Match Notes
A tough away game to finish with. Antoine is looking for promotion.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 07/24 - 9:48 PM
I'm not looking for promotion. That would be nice. But my team isn't developed well enough to stay in Ligue 1. Staying up is already a good result! We're still going to try to win this match!
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 07/26 - 7:09 AM
We finished the season with a lucky win.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 07/29 - 7:12 PM
 
 
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