(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLISLE UNITED WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Dara Hays 15 2 17 Gk Wayne Carroll 16 2 18
Sw Cristhian Dybala 14 2 16 Df Freddie Harris 16 2 18
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck 15 1 16 Df Hugo Simons 15 2 17
Df Owen Sansom 12 1 13 Df Waly Ka 10 2 12
Df Toshihiro Nakamura 9 2 11 Df Martin Rodríguez 5 2 7
Mf Peter Bengtsson 15 2 17 Mf Yahia El idrissi 13 2 15
Mf Ben Ince 13 2 15 Mf Melvin Carmona 13 1 14
Fw Salem Bejaoui 14 2 16 Mf Nii Mingle 14 2 16
Fw Noah Zimmermann 16 2 18 Fw Krystian Zewlakow 14 2 16
Fw Giorgian Fagundez 11 1 12 Mf Kenneth Milligan 15 2 17
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi 9 2 11 Fw José Sánchez 10 2 12
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 16 40 32 57 ROSTER TOTALS 18 0 54 62 28
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 4 5 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 16 40 36 62 T O T A L S 21 0 54 62 28
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dara Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.25 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.41 (no red card)
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.13 (no red card)
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.32 (no red card)
Df Owen Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.94 (no red card)
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.35 (no red card)
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.58 (no red card)
Mf Ben Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.09 (no red card)
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.74 (no red card)
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.76 (no red card)
Fw Giorgian Fagundez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.66 (no red card)
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.6 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.23 (no second yellow)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 65.8 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 69.73 (no red card)
Df Freddie Harris: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.57 (no red card)
Df Hugo Simons: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.16 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.63 (no second yellow)
Df Waly Ka: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.32 (no red card)
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.81 (no red card)
Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.38 (no red card)
Mf Melvin Carmona: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.73 (no red card)
Mf Nii Mingle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.13 (no red card)
Fw Krystian Zewlakow: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.14 (no red card)
Mf Kenneth Milligan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.94 (no red card)
Fw José Sánchez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.39 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Dara Hays: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 24.99 (no injury)
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.36 (no injury)
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.09 (no injury)
Df Owen Sansom: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.95 (no injury)
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.62 (no injury)
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.01 (no injury)
Mf Ben Ince: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.58 (no injury)
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.19 (no injury)
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.17 (no injury)
Fw Giorgian Fagundez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.28 (no injury)
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.41 (no injury)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 19.68 (no injury)
Df Freddie Harris: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.54 (no injury)
Df Hugo Simons: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.02 (no injury)
Df Waly Ka: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.55 (no injury)
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.51 (no injury)
Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.27 (no injury)
Mf Melvin Carmona: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.69 (no injury)
Mf Nii Mingle: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.6 (no injury)
Fw Krystian Zewlakow: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.93 (no injury)
Mf Kenneth Milligan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.04 (no injury)
Fw José Sánchez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.05 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Noah Zimmermann SL 16
- Defending Gk: Wayne Carroll SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Freddie Harris SL 16
- Defending Gk: Dara Hays SL 15
intRndPk = 43
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 17 16 40 36 62
Weston-super-Mare AFC 21 0 54 62 28
Weston-super-Mare AFC is using Offside Trap!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 4 (62 - 54) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((36 - 62) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 4 ((40 - 28) / 3); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Df Toshihiro Nakamura
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Owen Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 5.22 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Toshihiro Nakamura
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 74.04 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Toshihiro Nakamura
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 11.97 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 75.94 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 85.25 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 22.28 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Weston-super-Mare AFC 21 0 54 62 28
Carlisle United 17 16 40 36 62
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 40)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 13 ((62 - 36) / 2) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((54 - 62) / 5; rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 13
1: Attack for Mf Kenneth Milligan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Mf Melvin Carmona
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Nii Mingle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 93.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Mf Kenneth Milligan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Melvin Carmona
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Nii Mingle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Nii Mingle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Nii Mingle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Kenneth Milligan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Kenneth Milligan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Mf Yahia El idrissi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 72.62 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Mf Kenneth Milligan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Mf Melvin Carmona
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLISLE UNITED 0 - WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 2
Match Notes
our fellow managers agree it will be tough to get anything out of this match away from home.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 03/28 - 12:27 PM
But they aren't always correct, Vick.
Dave (Carlisle United) 03/30 - 10:51 AM
Congratulations on your promotion Vick. Look forward to playing you next season
Roger (Bristol City FC) 03/31 - 7:32 AM
Congratulations on your promotion, Vick. Look forward to NOT playing you next season after this result!
Dave (Carlisle United) 03/31 - 9:32 AM