(N)
Oldham Athletic AFC
Pierre van Rossum
Southend United
Colin Scott
AP Cup Group (2)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC SOUTHEND UNITED Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Thomas Anderson 12 0 12 Gk Toby Brides 12 0 12 Sw Mohammed Cherkaoui 11 0 11 Sw Jordan Bukari 2 2 4 Df Gabriel Correia 13 0 13 Df Manuel Ortiz 10 0 10 Df Ciaran Fitzgerald 9 0 9 Df Archie Rowe 13 0 13 Df Herman Lambert 2 2 4 Mf Troy Juric 12 0 12 Mf Božo Rebic 10 0 10 Mf Nico Schär 10 0 10 Mf Agustin Duarte 9 0 9 Mf Emil Kristoffersen 10 0 10 Mf Kristijan Karacic 5 2 7 Mf Francis Bukari 5 2 7 Fw Curtis Carr 13 0 13 Fw Kenzie McDonald 12 0 12 Fw Heorhiy Kozlov 10 0 10 Fw Harry Brudenell 9 0 9 Fw Wladimir Groen 2 2 4 Fw Rónald Aguilera 5 2 7 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 12 11 26 26 27 ROSTER TOTALS 12 4 23 39 28 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 12 11 26 26 27 T O T A L S 13 4 23 39 28 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.69 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.5 (no red card) Sw Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.41 (no red card) Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.2 (no red card) Df Ciaran Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.38 (no red card) Df Herman Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.89 (no red card) Mf Božo Rebic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.52 (no red card) Mf Agustin Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.12 (no red card) Mf Kristijan Karacic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.28 (no red card) Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.36 (no red card) Fw Heorhiy Kozlov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.32 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.43 (no red card) Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.77 (no red card) ******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Toby Brides: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 2.56 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 1.08 (no red card) Sw Jordan Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.82 (no red card) Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.25 (no red card) Df Archie Rowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.82 (no red card) Mf Troy Juric: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.86 (no red card) Mf Nico Schär: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.84 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.2 (no red card) Mf Emil Kristoffersen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.76 (no red card) Mf Francis Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.08 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.15 (no red card) Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.41 (no red card) Fw Harry Brudenell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.0 (no red card) Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.25 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0 - Southend United Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 96.84 (no injury) Sw Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.49 (no injury) Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.36 (no injury) Df Ciaran Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.76 (no injury) Df Herman Lambert: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.34 (no injury) Mf Božo Rebic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.2 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 3 Božo Rebic is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Božo Rebic new match skill level = 5 Božo Rebic new match total level = 5 Mf Agustin Duarte: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.92 (no injury) Mf Kristijan Karacic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.27 (no injury) Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.69 (no injury) Fw Heorhiy Kozlov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.07 (no injury) Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.41 (no injury) ******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Southend United Team Hardness = 1 - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Toby Brides: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 71.38 (no injury) Sw Jordan Bukari: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.01 (no injury) Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.22 (no injury) Df Archie Rowe: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.66 (no injury) Mf Troy Juric: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.05 (no injury) Mf Nico Schär: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.58 (no injury) Mf Emil Kristoffersen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.28 (no injury) Mf Francis Bukari: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.42 (no injury) Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.57 (no injury) Fw Harry Brudenell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.77 (no injury) Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.19 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Gabriel Correia SL 13 - Defending Gk: Toby Brides SL 12 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick) ******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Archie Rowe SL 13 - Defending Gk: Thomas Anderson SL 12 intRndPk = 48 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Oldham Athletic AFC 12 11 26 21 27 Southend United 13 4 23 39 28 Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 4 (27 - 23); result rounded up Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 39) / 2; rounded up) Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 28) / 3; rounded up) Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 4 1: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 20.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozlov Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 32.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozlov Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 60.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozlov Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 80.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) ******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Southend United 13 4 23 39 28 Oldham Athletic AFC 12 11 26 21 27 Southend United Fw Attacks = 2 (28 - 26); result rounded up Southend United Mf Attacks = 9 ((39 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 27) / 3; rounded up) Southend United Total Attacks = 11 1: Attack for Mf Troy Juric Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Emil Kristoffersen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Emil Kristoffersen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Mf Troy Juric Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Troy Juric Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 73.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Mf Troy Juric Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Mf Emil Kristoffersen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Mf Nico Schär Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Mf Emil Kristoffersen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 78.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 10: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 2.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Harry Brudenell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 57.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 1 - SOUTHEND UNITED 2
Match Notes
Could Oldham win for the 18th time against Southend?
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 01/27 - 10:04 AM
Happy with that.
Colin (Southend United) 01/28 - 2:17 AM
Southend was much better, but at least we have scored a goal.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 02/03 - 5:57 AM