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Wednesday, June 11th, 2025 - 09:26:43 AM (gmt)
 
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Southend United
Colin Scott
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
AP Cup Group (3)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Yassine Amara          11    2   13     Gk Per Holmdahl           11    1   12
Sw Gilbert Tchato          6    2    8     Sw Piotr Sobolewski        5    2    7
Df Alain Teulet           10    1   11     Df Edwin O'Doherty        10    1   11
Df Johan Teulet            6    2    8     Df Santiago Castillo       7    1    8
Mf Cyril Chadli            6    2    8     Df Festus Abubakar         6    2    8
Mf Janek Pawlak            5    2    7     Mf Mario Pletikosa        10    1   11
Mf Quentin Meunier         2    2    4     Mf Óscar Cota              6    2    8
Fw Jamie Behich           13    1   14     Mf Ivan Jackson            2    2    4
Fw Cássio Lemos           17    2   19     Fw Zvonimir Bradaric      10    1   11
Fw Pedro Viera            10    1   11     Fw Bassem Mkademi          6    2    8
Fw Rónald Aguilera         9    1   10     Fw Olivier Havet           2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13  8 19 19 54        ROSTER TOTALS      12  7 27 23 23    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14  8 19 19 54         T O T A L S       12 10 31 23 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 88.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 81.81 (no red card)

Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.69 (no red card)

Df Alain Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.9 (no red card)

Df Johan Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.34 (no red card)

Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.7 (no red card)

Mf Janek Pawlak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.76 (no red card)

Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.49 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.02 (no red card)

Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.42 (no red card)

Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.11 (no red card)

Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.99 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.74 (no red card)

Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.58 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.42 (no second yellow)

Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.91 (no red card)

Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.94 (no red card)

Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.83 (no red card)

Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.22 (no red card)

Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.67 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.85 (no red card)

Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.0 (no red card)

Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.06 (no red card)

Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.95 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 70.14 (no injury) 
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.11 (no injury) 
Df Alain Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.42 (no injury) 
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.8 (no injury) 
Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.53 (no injury) 
Mf Janek Pawlak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.18 (no injury) 
Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.95 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.01 (no injury) 
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.1 (no injury) 
Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.57 (no injury) 
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.86 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 27.49 (no injury) 
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.08 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.28 (no injury) 
Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.57 (no injury) 
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.97 (no injury) 
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.61 (no injury) 
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.82 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.89 (no injury) 
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.73 (no injury) 
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.04 (no injury) 
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.62 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Olivier Havet is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Olivier Havet new match skill level =  1
      Olivier Havet new match total level =  3
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cássio Lemos SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 11

     intRndPk = 27
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Edwin O'Doherty SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          14   8  19  19  54
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  10  31  23  22

Southend United Fw Attacks = 23 (54 - 31); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 22) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 53.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 43.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 48.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 49.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 42.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 91.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 33.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 3.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 61.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 67.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  10  31  23  22
  Southend United          14   8  19  19  54

Crewe Alexandra FC is Playing For A Draw!
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 2 (22 - 19) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((23 - 19) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 2  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0
 
Match Notes
Crewe are eliminated. Southend needs Wycombe to lose, and to win by multiple goals to ensure victory (or for Wycombe to lose by multiple goals.)
John (Port Vale FC) 05/25 - 10:28 PM
A season struggling is on the cards
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 05/26 - 8:13 AM
Leicester.
Colin (Southend United) 05/29 - 9:41 AM
I can see this as practice match for the Youth Cup.
Colin (Southend United) 05/29 - 9:42 AM
Only playing for the extra CP.
Cheers Carl
Colin (Southend United) 05/31 - 7:55 PM
Ouch!
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/02 - 7:33 AM
 
 
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