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Saturday, January 31st, 2026 - 09:13:27 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 51 // Landing
 
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Southend United
Colin Scott
 
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
AP Cup Group (3)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            BRISTOL CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Bako Klostermann        2    2    4     Gk Eugene Vasilev         11    1   12
Df Alain Teulet            9    1   10     Sw Atsushi Oshima         14   -1   13
Df Eric Kompany            7    2    9     Df Willy Cerfbeer         13    0   13
Df Aymen Mansour           6    2    8     Df Patrick LecLercq        6    2    8
Df Mario Egli              5    2    7     Mf Isaac Juhlin           14    1   15
Df William Kwadwo          2    2    4     Mf Samim Skov              2    2    4
Mf Quentin Meunier         6    2    8     Fw Julius Nwosu           13    0   13
Mf Leo Gaillot             2    2    4     Fw José Oliveira          11    1   12
Mf Seol Sun                2    2    4     Fw Gavin Wright           14    0   14
Fw Franco Almada           5    2    7     Fw Mislav Caleta-Car       6    2    8
Fw Yvan Thijs              2    2    4     Fw Jacob Jones             6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       4  0 38 16 11        ROSTER TOTALS      12 13 21 19 55    
       3  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  6  1  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       7  0 44 17 11         T O T A L S       12 13 21 19 55    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Bako Klostermann: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 68.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 53.23 (no red card)

Df Alain Teulet: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 34.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 77.79 (no red card)

Df Eric Kompany: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 73.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 45.37 (no red card)

Df Aymen Mansour: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 52.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 63.37 (no red card)

Df Mario Egli: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 3.92 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 43.79 (no second yellow)

Df William Kwadwo: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 6.55 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 68.13 (no second yellow)

Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 37.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 20.27 (no red card)

Mf Leo Gaillot: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 60.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 31.66 (no red card)

Mf Seol Sun: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 19.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 46.03 (no red card)

Fw Franco Almada: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 28.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 68.51 (no red card)

Fw Yvan Thijs: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 91.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 96.35 (no red card)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.52 (no red card)

Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.14 (no red card)

Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.12 (no red card)

Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.86 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.32 (no red card)

Mf Samim Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.62 (no red card)

Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.01 (no red card)

Fw José Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.76 (no red card)

Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.19 (no red card)

Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.52 (no red card)

Fw Jacob Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.53 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 3
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Bako Klostermann: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 85.76 (no injury) 
Df Alain Teulet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.17 (no injury) 
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.49 (no injury) 
Df Aymen Mansour: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.69 (no injury) 
Df Mario Egli: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.3 (no injury) 
Df William Kwadwo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.91 (no injury) 
Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.76 (no injury) 
Mf Leo Gaillot: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.81 (no injury) 
Mf Seol Sun: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.78 (no injury) 
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.86 (no injury) 
Fw Yvan Thijs: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.29 (no injury) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 81.15 (no injury) 
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 11.97 (no injury) 
Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 26.35 (no injury) 
Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 32.94 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 29.91 (no injury) 
Mf Samim Skov: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 46.48 (no injury) 
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 26.24 (no injury) 
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 16.21 (no injury) 
Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 72.98 (no injury) 
Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 34.54 (no injury) 
Fw Jacob Jones: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 4.83 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alain Teulet SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Eugene Vasilev SL 11

     intRndPk = 69
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Isaac Juhlin SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Bako Klostermann SL 2

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          7   0  44  17  11
  Bristol City FC          12  13  21  19  55

Southend United is Playing For A Draw!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (11 - 21)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 19) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 55) / 5;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 0


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          12  13  21  19  55
  Southend United          7   0  44  17  11

Southend United is using Offside Trap!
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 6 (55 - 44) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((19 - 17) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 4 ((21 - 11) / 3); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Df Willy Cerfbeer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 6.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Willy Cerfbeer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 8.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Willy Cerfbeer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 49.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Willy Cerfbeer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Isaac Juhlin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Isaac Juhlin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 20.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 7.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 68.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 94.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 60.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 24.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 0  -  BRISTOL CITY FC 3
 
Match Notes
Southend are out, while Bristol need to win and have the other match not be a high scoring draw.
John (Port Vale FC) 01/11 - 3:41 PM
How high are we talking?
Jason (Bristol City FC) 01/17 - 3:01 PM
Another question is how interested Colin is in playing spoiler.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 01/17 - 3:03 PM
Questions answered… :-))
Colin (Southend United) 01/17 - 11:12 PM
Actually came quite close to getting the draw - drat
Colin (Southend United) 01/17 - 11:13 PM
Thank you for not caring, Colin. It worked out well for you in the league games.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 01/18 - 9:02 PM
 
 
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