(N)
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
AP Cup Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION SWANSEA CITY AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ethan Maddison 14 1 15 Gk Pathé Ndong 12 0 12
Sw DongHyun Young-min 5 2 7 Df Jordan Cummings 13 1 14
Df Marc-Vivien Djemba 10 0 10 Df Bonturo Ferrari 11 1 12
Df Jaap De wit 10 0 10 Df Miguel de la Cruz 10 1 11
Df Eric Aidoo 7 1 8 Df Munir Hamdallah 9 1 10
Mf Minki Sung-yeung 10 1 11 Mf Mikkel Hedegaard 9 0 9
Mf Yuriy Taran 9 1 10 Mf Walid Sellimi 8 0 8
Mf Jacques Mefire 8 0 8 Fw Yeltsin Venegas 13 1 14
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez 16 1 17 Fw Renato Cabanas 16 1 17
Fw Bastien Troussier 13 0 13 Fw Dario Vasilj 11 0 11
Fw Elias Mayer 11 2 13 Fw Gerry Maclaren 9 0 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
15 7 28 29 43 ROSTER TOTALS 12 0 47 17 51
1 1 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
16 8 28 29 43 T O T A L S 12 0 47 17 51
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 76.14 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 63.17 (no red card)
Sw DongHyun Young-min: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 90.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 30.58 (no red card)
Df Marc-Vivien Djemba: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 3.88 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 32.47 (no second yellow)
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 89.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 23.23 (no red card)
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 3.13 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 64.47 (no second yellow)
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 99.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 65.72 (no red card)
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 36.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 36.69 (no red card)
Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 70.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 32.83 (no red card)
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 81.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 23.84 (no red card)
Fw Bastien Troussier: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 73.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 2.56 (no red card)
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 41.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 7.89 (no red card)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.52 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.04 (no red card)
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.41 (no red card)
Df Bonturo Ferrari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.0 (no red card)
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.95 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.9 (no second yellow)
Df Munir Hamdallah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.14 (no red card)
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.8 (no red card)
Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.71 (no red card)
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.24 (no red card)
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.24 (no red card)
Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.11 (no red card)
Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.54 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2
- Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 16.36 (no injury)
Sw DongHyun Young-min: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 84.28 (no injury)
Df Marc-Vivien Djemba: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 30.05 (no injury)
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 39.8 (no injury)
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 62.27 (no injury)
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 21.14 (no injury)
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 28.58 (no injury)
Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 68.45 (no injury)
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 71.64 (no injury)
Fw Bastien Troussier: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 19.48 (no injury)
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 3.16 (no injury)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 86.02 (no injury)
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 67.82 (no injury)
Df Bonturo Ferrari: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 65.1 (no injury)
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 59.1 (no injury)
Df Munir Hamdallah: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 72.56 (no injury)
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 62.67 (no injury)
Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 90.78 (no injury)
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.36 (no injury)
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 88.14 (no injury)
Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 67.83 (no injury)
Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 72.94 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ruben Gutiérrez SL 16
- Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 12
intRndPk = 86
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Renato Cabanas SL 16
- Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brighton & Hove Albion 16 8 28 29 43
Swansea City AFC 12 0 47 17 51
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (43 - 47)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 6 ((29 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 51) / 3; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Mf Jacques Mefire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 46.06 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Jacques Mefire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 44.95 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Minki Sung-yeung
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Mf Jacques Mefire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 43.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swansea City AFC 12 0 47 17 51
Brighton & Hove Albion 16 8 28 29 43
Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 23 (51 - 28); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 29) / 2; rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 1 ((47 - 43) / 5); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 24
1: Attack for Df Jordan Cummings
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 18.34 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 27.47 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 86.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
21: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 68.43 (Shot Saved by Gk)
22: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 9.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
23: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0 - SWANSEA CITY AFC 1
Match Notes
Both teams through if Bristol don't win, but if they do, the winner qualifies, and both may still qualify in a high scoring tie
John (Port Vale FC) 01/11 - 3:41 PM
John, I'm not sure "high scoring" is something that will happen here.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/13 - 4:01 PM
Rooting for nil-nil, I guess.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 01/17 - 3:07 PM
Ugh, the worst session we’ve had in years. I hate 4-match weekends.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/17 - 10:39 PM