(H)

Watford
James Tucker

Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
League Round 6
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S WATFORD BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Noah Viguier 12 2 14 Gk Alfie Symes 14 0 14 Sw Luca Werner 7 2 9 Sw Théo Billard 3 2 5 Df Xavi Garrido 10 1 11 Df Curtis Barker 10 0 10 Df Evan Symes 6 2 8 Df Jørgen Thomsen 10 0 10 Mf Ben Bierhoff 13 2 15 Df Patrick Kelly 7 2 9 Mf Luca Charlton 10 2 12 Df Samuel Simpson 6 2 8 Fw Kai McDonald 12 2 14 Df Niklas Köhler 3 2 5 Fw Max Krause 9 1 10 Mf Diogo Rocha 10 0 10 Fw Ofer Segel 8 2 10 Mf Jack Marshall 6 2 8 Fw Jimmy Wells 7 2 9 Fw Ahmed El Fassi 6 2 8 Fw Samuel Bidault 3 2 5 Fw Sean Turner 3 2 5 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 14 9 19 27 48 ROSTER TOTALS 14 5 42 18 13 0 0 1 0 0 HARDNESS 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 14 9 20 27 57 T O T A L S 14 7 42 18 13 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Noah Viguier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.49 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.27 (no red card) Sw Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 68.1 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 34.2 (no red card) Df Xavi Garrido: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 64.62 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 3.99 (no red card) Df Evan Symes: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 18.78 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 61.68 (no red card) Mf Ben Bierhoff: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 25.81 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 1.34 (no red card) Mf Luca Charlton: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 58.3 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 42.86 (no red card) Fw Kai McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 42.26 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 13.16 (no red card) Fw Max Krause: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 93.91 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 50.74 (no red card) Fw Ofer Segel: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 58.32 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 57.99 (no red card) Fw Jimmy Wells: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 38.42 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 48.77 (no red card) Fw Samuel Bidault: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 80.76 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 58.36 (no red card) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 2 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Alfie Symes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.5 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.01 (no red card) Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 2.37 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 50.41 (no second yellow) Df Curtis Barker: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 43.68 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 5.52 (no red card) Df Jørgen Thomsen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 20.19 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 31.57 (no red card) Df Patrick Kelly: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 67.73 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 80.78 (no red card) Df Samuel Simpson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 70.64 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 74.68 (no red card) Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 56.43 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 16.32 (no red card) Mf Diogo Rocha: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 94.54 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 39.19 (no red card) Mf Jack Marshall: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 3.12 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 1.64 (no second yellow) Fw Ahmed El Fassi: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 75.48 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 7.04 (no red card) Fw Sean Turner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 18.64 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 37.04 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25% - Gk chance of injury = 2.12% Gk Noah Viguier: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 42.83 (no injury) Sw Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 55.42 (no injury) Df Xavi Garrido: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 50.11 (no injury) Df Evan Symes: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 36.71 (no injury) Mf Ben Bierhoff: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 14.83 (no injury) Mf Luca Charlton: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 38.28 (no injury) Fw Kai McDonald: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 20.97 (no injury) Fw Max Krause: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 8.82 (no injury) Fw Ofer Segel: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 71.92 (no injury) Fw Jimmy Wells: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 45.75 (no injury) Fw Samuel Bidault: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 69.02 (no injury) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2 - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.87% Gk Alfie Symes: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 37.4 (no injury) Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 12.91 (no injury) Df Curtis Barker: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 25.28 (no injury) Df Jørgen Thomsen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 78.03 (no injury) Df Patrick Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 29.11 (no injury) Df Samuel Simpson: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 93.69 (no injury) Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 66.48 (no injury) Mf Diogo Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 25.77 (no injury) Mf Jack Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 99.9 (no injury) Fw Ahmed El Fassi: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 51.22 (no injury) Fw Sean Turner: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 75.9 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Ben Bierhoff SL 13 - Defending Gk: Alfie Symes SL 14 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick) ******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Curtis Barker SL 10 - Defending Gk: Noah Viguier SL 12 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 80 (pk blocked) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Watford 14 9 20 27 57 Brighton & Hove Albion 14 7 42 18 13 Watford Fw Attacks = 15 (57 - 42); result rounded up Watford Mf Attacks = 5 ((27 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up Watford Df Attacks = 3 ((20 - 13) / 3); result rounded up Watford Total Attacks = 23 1: Attack for Df Xavi Garrido Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Xavi Garrido Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Df Xavi Garrido Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Mf Ben Bierhoff Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Luca Charlton Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Luca Charlton Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 49.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Mf Ben Bierhoff Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 46.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Mf Ben Bierhoff Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 21.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Ofer Segel Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Ofer Segel Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Kai McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 86.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 13: Attack for Fw Kai McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Ofer Segel Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 30.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Ofer Segel Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Kai McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 97.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 18: Attack for Fw Max Krause Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 74.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 19: Attack for Fw Kai McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 98.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 20: Attack for Fw Ofer Segel Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 66.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 22: Attack for Fw Ofer Segel Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 50 (Shot Off Target) 23: Attack for Fw Max Krause Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 44.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Brighton & Hove Albion 14 7 42 18 13 Watford 14 9 20 27 57 Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 20) Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 27) / 2; rounded up) Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 57) / 3; rounded up) Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 0 =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E WATFORD 4 - BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0
Match Notes

I think we all know how this is going to end.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 04/25 - 2:16 PM