(N)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
AP Cup Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NOTTINGHAM FOREST CARDIFF CITY FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kurt Östman 14 1 15 Gk John Kosowski 5 2 7
Sw Thiago Boniek 13 1 14 Sw David Lemaigre 13 1 14
Df Martin Persson 13 1 14 Df Eric Campbell 15 1 16
Df Mbaye Dieng 10 2 12 Df Gregory Robinson 11 1 12
Mf Bruno Freda 10 1 11 Mf Jeong Yong 12 1 13
Mf Abel Peeters 10 2 12 Mf Artur Zalewski 11 1 12
Fw Atef Omar 13 1 14 Fw Gaëtan Chair 13 1 14
Fw Paul Dumont 16 1 17 Fw Jair Sanchez 11 1 12
Fw Keiron Chamberlain 10 1 11 Fw Héctor Vasquez 10 1 11
Fw Óscar Vargas 9 0 9 Fw Leonardo Alonso 6 2 8
Fw Fredrik Engberg 7 1 8 Fw Fabrice Ndi 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
15 14 26 23 59 ROSTER TOTALS 7 14 28 25 53
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
15 14 26 23 59 T O T A L S 7 14 28 25 53
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.06 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.77 (no red card)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.06 (no red card)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.05 (no red card)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.79 (no red card)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.95 (no red card)
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.64 (no red card)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.57 (no red card)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.42 (no red card)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.6 (no red card)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.59 (no red card)
Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.59 (no red card)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk John Kosowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.73 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.65 (no red card)
Sw David Lemaigre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.12 (no red card)
Df Eric Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.37 (no red card)
Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.21 (no red card)
Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.42 (no red card)
Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.01 (no red card)
Fw Gaëtan Chair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.85 (no red card)
Fw Jair Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.17 (no red card)
Fw Héctor Vasquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.06 (no red card)
Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.07 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Leonardo Alonso new match skill level = 3
Leonardo Alonso new match total level = 5
Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.42 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 10.47 (no injury)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.12 (no injury)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.56 (no injury)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.78 (no injury)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.32 (no injury)
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.31 (no injury)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.89 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Atef Omar is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Atef Omar new match skill level = 7
Atef Omar new match total level = 8
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.06 (no injury)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.53 (no injury)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.18 (no injury)
Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.33 (no injury)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk John Kosowski: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 69.47 (no injury)
Sw David Lemaigre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.28 (no injury)
Df Eric Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.8 (no injury)
Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.35 (no injury)
Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.6 (no injury)
Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.23 (no injury)
Fw Gaëtan Chair: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.16 (no injury)
Fw Jair Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.08 (no injury)
Fw Héctor Vasquez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.23 (no injury)
Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.66 (no injury)
Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.49 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Paul Dumont SL 16
- Defending Gk: John Kosowski SL 5
intRndPk = 21
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Eric Campbell SL 15
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 14
intRndPk = 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 15 14 26 23 53
Cardiff City FC 7 14 28 25 50
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 25 (53 - 28); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 25) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 50) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 25
1: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 63.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 6.62 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 28.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 23.25 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 39.19 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 91.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
23: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Cardiff City FC 7 14 28 25 50
Nottingham Forest 15 14 26 23 53
Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 24 (50 - 26); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((25 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 53) / 3; rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 25
1: Attack for Mf Jeong Yong
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 93.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 41.88 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 11.69 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 58.93 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 55.99 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 12.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
23: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 29.2 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 2 - CARDIFF CITY FC 1
Match Notes
Cardiff thru with a draw or better unless Weston-super-Mare break the goal scoring algorithm. Nottingham Forest thru in a win unless WSM also win by three more goals than Forest.
John (Port Vale FC) 05/25 - 10:26 PM
Let’s see how many tim3s we can play the same team in the same session this season
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 05/30 - 7:47 PM
Double forest win
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 05/31 - 8:52 PM
Only 50% on target but at least we won.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 05/31 - 9:23 PM
And sneak into the knockout stages as 15th seed.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 05/31 - 9:34 PM