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Saturday, January 31st, 2026 - 10:41:43 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 51 // Landing
 
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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
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Carl Oakes
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk John Kosowski          11    1   12     Gk Per Holmdahl           12    1   13
Sw Joseph Hadja            6    2    8     Sw Piotr Sobolewski       11    1   12
Df Martyn Owen             7    0    7     Df Jack Nabbout           13    0   13
Df Haris Seferovic         6    2    8     Df Edwin O'Doherty        12    1   13
Df Gildardo Aguilar        2    2    4     Df Magnus Waering          6    2    8
Df Mats Krafth             2    2    4     Mf Mario Pletikosa        12    1   13
Mf Muhammed Kwadwo         6    2    8     Mf Smahi Youssef           9    1   10
Mf Luke Phillips           2    2    4     Mf Ivan Jackson            6    2    8
Fw Lance James             6    2    8     Fw Zvonimir Bradaric      15    1   16
Fw Lilian Cazenave         6    1    7     Fw Slava Levchenko        10    1   11
Fw Ben Hamadou             2    2    4     Fw Olivier Havet           6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  8 23 12 19        ROSTER TOTALS      13 12 34 31 35    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12  8 23 12 19         T O T A L S       13 12 34 31 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk John Kosowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.71 (no red card)

Sw Joseph Hadja: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.31 (no red card)

Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.52 (no red card)

Df Haris Seferovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.1 (no red card)

Df Gildardo Aguilar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.97 (no red card)

Df Mats Krafth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.35 (no red card)

Mf Muhammed Kwadwo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.9 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.91 (no second yellow)

Mf Luke Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.01 (no red card)

Fw Lance James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.96 (no red card)

Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.16 (no red card)

Fw Ben Hamadou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.17 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.28 (no red card)

Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.84 (no red card)

Df Jack Nabbout: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.2 (no red card)

Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.39 (no red card)

Df Magnus Waering: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.42 (no red card)

Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.04 (no red card)

Mf Smahi Youssef: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.37 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.6 (no red card)

Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.38 (no red card)

Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.91 (no red card)

Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.04 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk John Kosowski: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 72.17 (no injury) 
Sw Joseph Hadja: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.01 (no injury) 
Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.04 (no injury) 
Df Haris Seferovic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.94 (no injury) 
Df Gildardo Aguilar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.73 (no injury) 
Df Mats Krafth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.12 (no injury) 
Mf Muhammed Kwadwo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.21 (no injury) 
Mf Luke Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.59 (no injury) 
Fw Lance James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.78 (no injury) 
Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.81 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Hamadou: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.27 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 10.84 (no injury) 
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.78 (no injury) 
Df Jack Nabbout: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.4 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.97 (no injury) 
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.12 (no injury) 
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.75 (no injury) 
Mf Smahi Youssef: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.33 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Smahi Youssef is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Smahi Youssef new match skill level =  5
      Smahi Youssef new match total level =  6
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.49 (no injury) 
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.32 (no injury) 
Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.26 (no injury) 
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.96 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Martyn Owen SL 7
   - Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 12

     intRndPk = 50
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Zvonimir Bradaric SL 15
   - Defending Gk: John Kosowski SL 11

     intRndPk = 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             12   8  23  12  19
  Crewe Alexandra FC       13  12  34  27  35

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 34)
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((12 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 35) / 3;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 0


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       13  12  34  27  35
  Brentford FC             12   8  23  12  19

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 12 (35 - 23); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((27 - 12) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 5 ((34 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Df Jack Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Magnus Waering
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Jack Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Jack Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 97.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Edwin O'Doherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 10.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 32.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 22.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Smahi Youssef
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 1.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 39.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 73.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 42.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 41.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 52.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 0  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 2
 
Match Notes
Only a miracle will see us qualify now
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/11 - 2:22 PM
Tough matchup against the most talented team in this group.
Allan (Brentford FC) 01/11 - 3:03 PM
Not that much of a miracle - just a big win and a Lincoln loss. Brentford are out
John (Port Vale FC) 01/11 - 3:46 PM
No chance for our Poor Bees today. Well done Carl!
Allan (Brentford FC) 01/17 - 10:35 PM
Not enough but a win is a win
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/18 - 8:49 AM
 
 
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