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MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Saturday, January 31st, 2026 - 09:16:41 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 51 // Landing
 
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Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLISLE UNITED                            SWINDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Dani Cassio             5    2    7     Gk Federico Curbelo        5    2    7
Sw Philippe Manago        11    1   12     Df Yahaya Etim            11    0   11
Df Jacob Beynon           10    0   10     Df Secundino López        11    0   11
Df Lloyd Cole              7    1    8     Df Quentin Mertens         5    2    7
Df Nicola Panucci          5    2    7     Mf Cameron Gates          10    0   10
Df Kyria Brozovic          2    2    4     Mf Virgil Hoekstra         9    0    9
Mf Minato Morishima        5    2    7     Mf Etienne Willems         6    1    7
Mf Ousmane Laforest        2    2    4     Mf Toby Llewellyn          5    2    7
Fw Javier Gimenez         11    0   11     Fw Yuto Kawashima          9    0    9
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue     5    2    7     Fw Maxi Olivera            8    0    8
Fw Agustin Martinez        2    2    4     Fw Francois Abdou          5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       7 12 29 11 22        ROSTER TOTALS       7  0 29 33 24    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       7 12 29 11 22         T O T A L S        7  0 29 33 24    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.46 (no red card)

Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.63 (no red card)

Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.25 (no red card)

Df Lloyd Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.53 (no red card)

Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.47 (no red card)

Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.08 (no red card)

Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.24 (no red card)

Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.56 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Ousmane Laforest new match skill level =  1
      Ousmane Laforest new match total level =  3

Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.46 (no red card)

Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.78 (no red card)

Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.95 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.34 (no red card)

Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.96 (no red card)

Df Secundino López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.88 (no red card)

Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.07 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.34 (no red card)

Mf Virgil Hoekstra: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.65 (no red card)

Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.9 (no red card)

Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.58 (no red card)

Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.82 (no red card)

Fw Maxi Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.54 (no red card)

Fw Francois Abdou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.62 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 51.26 (no injury) 
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.97 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.36 (no injury) 
Df Lloyd Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.57 (no injury) 
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.43 (no injury) 
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.18 (no injury) 
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.5 (no injury) 
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.09 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Ousmane Laforest is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Ousmane Laforest new match skill level =  1
      Ousmane Laforest new match total level =  3
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.88 (no injury) 
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.25 (no injury) 
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.23 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 99.79 (no injury) 
Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.57 (no injury) 
Df Secundino López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.73 (no injury) 
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.06 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.13 (no injury) 
Mf Virgil Hoekstra: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.35 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Virgil Hoekstra loses 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Virgil Hoekstra new match skill level =  5
      Virgil Hoekstra new match total level =  5
Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.78 (no injury) 
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.74 (no injury) 
Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.62 (no injury) 
Fw Maxi Olivera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.38 (no injury) 
Fw Francois Abdou: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.55 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Javier Gimenez SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Federico Curbelo SL 5

     intRndPk = 54
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Yahaya Etim SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Dani Cassio SL 5

     intRndPk = 47
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          7  12  29  10  22
  Swindon Town FC          7   0  29  29  24

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 29)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((10 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 2 ((29 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Nicola Panucci
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 76.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Lloyd Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 62.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          7   0  29  29  24
  Carlisle United          7  12  29  10  22

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 29)
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((29 - 10) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((29 - 22) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Df Secundino López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Secundino López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Toby Llewellyn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 53.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 66.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Toby Llewellyn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 62.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Toby Llewellyn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 37.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Virgil Hoekstra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Virgil Hoekstra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Toby Llewellyn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLISLE UNITED 2  -  SWINDON TOWN FC 2
 
Match Notes
Both teams have already been eliminated.
John (Port Vale FC) 01/11 - 3:47 PM
And both teams' selections were made accordingly.
Dave (Carlisle United) 01/18 - 1:52 AM
 
 
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