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Hereford United FC
Alex Tucker
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HEREFORD UNITED FC                         CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mauricio Higuain       10    1   11     Gk Per Holmdahl            6    2    8
Sw Victor Cruz             9    2   11     Sw Piotr Sobolewski        2    2    4
Df Pius Haman             12    1   13     Df Jilani Amara           11    1   12
Df Alan Cole              11    1   12     Df Santiago Castillo      11   -1   10
Df Tyler Long              9    0    9     Df Emir Sellimi            6    1    7
Df Ceri Kelly              7    0    7     Mf Ian Tejeda             10    1   11
Df Hans LecLercq           6    0    6     Mf Mario Pletikosa         6    2    8
Mf Nasiru Kabiru          10    1   11     Mf Elkin Molina            3    2    5
Mf Benito Apuzzo           9    1   10     Fw Yusuf Kalu              9    0    9
Fw Lukasz Dudka           10    1   11     Fw Damien Sanchez          7    1    8
Fw Kaj Jensen             10    1   11     Fw Zvonimir Bradaric       6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 11 47 21 22        ROSTER TOTALS       8  4 29 24 25    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 11 47 21 22         T O T A L S        8  4 29 24 25    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.07 (no red card)

Sw Victor Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.07 (no red card)

Df Pius Haman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.12 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.12 (no second yellow)

Df Alan Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.54 (no red card)

Df Tyler Long: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.77 (no red card)

Df Ceri Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.68 (no red card)

Df Hans LecLercq: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.6 (no red card)

Mf Nasiru Kabiru: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.88 (no red card)

Mf Benito Apuzzo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.57 (no red card)

Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.59 (no red card)

Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.65 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.56 (no red card)

Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.09 (no red card)

Df Jilani Amara: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.12 (no red card)

Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.64 (no red card)

Df Emir Sellimi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.05 (no red card)

Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.64 (no red card)

Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.69 (no red card)

Mf Elkin Molina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.75 (no red card)

Fw Yusuf Kalu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.79 (no red card)

Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.29 (no red card)

Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.45 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 31.31 (no injury) 
Sw Victor Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.24 (no injury) 
Df Pius Haman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.99 (no injury) 
Df Alan Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.34 (no injury) 
Df Tyler Long: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.4 (no injury) 
Df Ceri Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.37 (no injury) 
Df Hans LecLercq: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.43 (no injury) 
Mf Nasiru Kabiru: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.3 (no injury) 
Mf Benito Apuzzo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.63 (no injury) 
Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.96 (no injury) 
Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.25 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 17.56 (no injury) 
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.63 (no injury) 
Df Jilani Amara: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.33 (no injury) 
Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.13 (no injury) 
Df Emir Sellimi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.43 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.2 (no injury) 
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.24 (no injury) 
Mf Elkin Molina: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.04 (no injury) 
Fw Yusuf Kalu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.14 (no injury) 
Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.18 (no injury) 
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.46 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Pius Haman SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 6

     intRndPk = 75
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jilani Amara SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Mauricio Higuain SL 10

     intRndPk = 55
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       11  11  47  21  22
  Crewe Alexandra FC       8   4  29  24  25

Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 29)
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 8 ((47 - 25) / 3); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Df Alan Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Tyler Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Hans LecLercq
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 77.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Tyler Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Tyler Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Pius Haman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Pius Haman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 32.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Alan Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       8   4  29  24  25
  Hereford United FC       11  11  47  21  22

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 47)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((24 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 3 ((29 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Jilani Amara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 76.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HEREFORD UNITED FC 1  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1
 
Match Notes
Hereford are out. Crewe need a point to advance. A large loss puts Crewe at risk of falling behind Plymouth or Carlisle, but a Plymouth win will advance Crewe regardless.
John (Port Vale FC) 01/05 - 3:14 AM
Refreshing not to be playing either Carlisle or Swansea
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/05 - 8:21 AM
Qualified but hardly a crowd pleaser
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/12 - 7:15 AM
 
 
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