(N)

Watford
James Tucker

Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
AP Cup Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WATFORD CHESTERFIELD FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Mads Frost 11 2 13 Gk Héctor Medrano 14 1 15
Sw Nico Lehmann 5 2 7 Sw Ricardo Gomes 6 2 8
Df Florian Ramelow 8 0 8 Df Saul Arteaga 10 0 10
Df Oskar Qvist 5 2 7 Df Edilberto Moreno 10 0 10
Df José Mendes 2 2 4 Df Kevin Flachat 6 2 8
Mf Seth Sibley 8 1 9 Df Bozidar Rakitic 2 2 4
Mf Oliwer Säfström 5 2 7 Mf Alfie Campbell 6 2 8
Mf Octavio Barbosa 2 2 4 Mf Fabián Araujo 2 2 4
Fw Claudio Prado 8 1 9 Fw Marcos Talavera 6 2 8
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk 5 2 7 Fw Minsung Woo-young 2 2 4
Fw Trefor Lloyd 2 2 4 Fw Masaki Nagatomo 2 2 4
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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13 7 19 20 20 ROSTER TOTALS 15 8 32 12 16
0 0 1 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 7 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
13 7 27 20 20 T O T A L S 15 8 32 12 16
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.35 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.94 (no red card)
Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.03 (no red card)
Df Florian Ramelow: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.17 (no red card)
Df Oskar Qvist: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.21 (no red card)
Df José Mendes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.63 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.66 (no second yellow)
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.32 (no red card)
Mf Oliwer Säfström: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.18 (no red card)
Mf Octavio Barbosa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.89 (no red card)
Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.09 (no red card)
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.52 (no red card)
Fw Trefor Lloyd: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.49 (no red card)
******* CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.13 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.49 (no red card)
Sw Ricardo Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.49 (no red card)
Df Saul Arteaga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.24 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.0 (no second yellow)
Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.16 (no red card)
Df Kevin Flachat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.01 (no red card)
Df Bozidar Rakitic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.54 (no red card)
Mf Alfie Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.67 (no red card)
Mf Fabián Araujo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.5 (no red card)
Fw Marcos Talavera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.86 (no red card)
Fw Minsung Woo-young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.18 (no red card)
Fw Masaki Nagatomo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.72 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 86.52 (no injury)
Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.65 (no injury)
Df Florian Ramelow: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.38 (no injury)
Df Oskar Qvist: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.36 (no injury)
Df José Mendes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.19 (no injury)
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.92 (no injury)
Mf Oliwer Säfström: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.23 (no injury)
Mf Octavio Barbosa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.89 (no injury)
Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.95 (no injury)
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.64 (no injury)
Fw Trefor Lloyd: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.68 (no injury)
******* CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 53.1 (no injury)
Sw Ricardo Gomes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.21 (no injury)
Df Saul Arteaga: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.21 (no injury)
Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.33 (no injury)
Df Kevin Flachat: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.66 (no injury)
Df Bozidar Rakitic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.72 (no injury)
Mf Alfie Campbell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.41 (no injury)
Mf Fabián Araujo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.76 (no injury)
Fw Marcos Talavera: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.99 (no injury)
Fw Minsung Woo-young: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.61 (no injury)
Fw Masaki Nagatomo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.48 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Florian Ramelow SL 8
- Defending Gk: Héctor Medrano SL 14
intRndPk = 66
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Saul Arteaga SL 10
- Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 11
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 13 7 27 20 20
Chesterfield FC 15 8 32 12 16
Watford is Playing For A Draw!
Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 32)
Watford Mf Attacks = 2 ((20 - 12) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Watford Df Attacks = 2 ((27 - 16) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 4
1: Attack for Df Oskar Qvist
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Florian Ramelow
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Seth Sibley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Seth Sibley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 6.26 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Chesterfield FC 15 8 32 12 16
Watford 13 7 27 20 20
Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 27)
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((12 - 20) / 2; rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 4 ((32 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 4
1: Attack for Df Edilberto Moreno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Saul Arteaga
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 27.73 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Saul Arteaga
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Kevin Flachat
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 86.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WATFORD 0 - CHESTERFIELD FC 1
Match Notes
Both teams need to win and make up the goal difference on the loser in the other game. It'll be tough.
John (Port Vale FC) 01/11 - 3:48 PM
I believe the OLMEC gods call this a "must win & needs help."
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/12 - 1:55 PM