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Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
AP Cup Group (3)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LINCOLN CITY FC                            BRISTOL CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mousa Boffin           13    0   13     Gk Alberto Flores         13    1   14
Sw Woo Hyun-soo            2    2    4     Sw Atsushi Oshima          6    2    8
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan       10    0   10     Df Eugene Goodwin         11    1   12
Df Mohammed Fosu           8    1    9     Df Martin Rodríguez       10    1   11
Df Oscar Cuadrado          7    1    8     Df Willy Cerfbeer          6    2    8
Df Dante Geromel           6    2    8     Mf Isaac Semenyo          13   -1   12
Mf Akira Nagatomo          5    2    7     Mf Rafal Karas             6    2    8
Mf Fabio Luis              2    2    4     Fw Gavin Wright           14    1   15
Fw Owen Jones             10    0   10     Fw Dafydd Chapman         13    1   14
Fw Martin Jashari          5    2    7     Fw Armand Songo'o         14    1   15
Fw Benedicto Ortega        5    2    7     Fw Julius Nwosu            6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13  4 35 11 24        ROSTER TOTALS      14  8 31 20 52    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  3  0  4  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  7 35 15 24         T O T A L S       14  8 31 20 52    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.82 (no red card)

Sw Woo Hyun-soo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.71 (no red card)

Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.92 (no red card)

Df Mohammed Fosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.96 (no red card)

Df Oscar Cuadrado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.63 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.18 (no second yellow)

Df Dante Geromel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.3 (no red card)

Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.31 (no red card)

Mf Fabio Luis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.05 (no red card)

Fw Owen Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.69 (no red card)

Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.6 (no red card)

Fw Benedicto Ortega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.6 (no red card)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.44 (no red card)

Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.65 (no red card)

Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.23 (no red card)

Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.96 (no red card)

Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.29 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.04 (no red card)

Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.5 (no red card)

Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.2 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.64 (no second yellow)

Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.44 (no red card)

Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.88 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.71 (no second yellow)

Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.32 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 47.9 (no injury) 
Sw Woo Hyun-soo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.55 (no injury) 
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.91 (no injury) 
Df Mohammed Fosu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.4 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Cuadrado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.17 (no injury) 
Df Dante Geromel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.82 (no injury) 
Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.78 (no injury) 
Mf Fabio Luis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.13 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.13 (no injury) 
Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.34 (no injury) 
Fw Benedicto Ortega: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.72 (no injury) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 49.45 (no injury) 
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.09 (no injury) 
Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.39 (no injury) 
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.02 (no injury) 
Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.51 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.65 (no injury) 
Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.1 (no injury) 
Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.76 (no injury) 
Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.02 (no injury) 
Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.85 (no injury) 
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.12 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Si-Yun Jung-hwan SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 13

     intRndPk = 54
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gavin Wright SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Mousa Boffin SL 13

     intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          13   7  35  15  24
  Bristol City FC          14   8  31  20  52

Lincoln City FC is Playing For A Draw!
Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 31)
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 20) / 2;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 0


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          14   8  31  20  52
  Lincoln City FC          13   7  35  15  24

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 17 (52 - 35); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((20 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 3 ((31 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Df Martin Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Martin Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Martin Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 68.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Isaac Semenyo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 74.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Isaac Semenyo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 43.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Rafal Karas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 95.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 97.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 92.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 21.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 50 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 61.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 52.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LINCOLN CITY FC 0  -  BRISTOL CITY FC 4
 
Match Notes
Winner take all with the spoils going to Bristol in a draw.
John (Port Vale FC) 01/05 - 3:15 AM
I don't usually come out ahead against Mike in U2. We'll see if that's any different in U1.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 01/11 - 4:59 PM
Good luck, Jason, may the best TMVLer win!
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 01/11 - 5:05 PM
 
 
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