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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 47 // Landing
 
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Bristol City FC
Roger Mendonça
 
Southend United
Colin Scott
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alberto Flores         12    2   14     Gk Alonso Lopez           12    2   14
Sw Reece Gregory          14    2   16     Df Manuel Ortiz           10    1   11
Df Marcus Bergman         13    2   15     Df Archie Rowe            13    2   15
Df Cadwaladr Lewis         6    2    8     Df Vincent Hamidou         6    0    6
Mf Tyler Page             13    2   15     Mf Troy Juric             12    2   14
Mf Isaac Semenyo           6    2    8     Mf Hywel Cross            11    1   12
Fw John Jackson           12    2   14     Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri      3    2    5
Fw Jørn Nielsen           12    2   14     Fw Kenzie McDonald        13    2   15
Fw Bryan Deshayes         14    2   16     Fw Cássio Lemos           11    0   11
Fw Domingo Crespo         10    2   12     Fw Roman Radomski          6    1    7
Fw Ulf Helander            3    2    5     Fw Rónald Aguilera         6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 16 23 23 61        ROSTER TOTALS      14  0 32 31 41    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  1  0  8       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 16 24 23 69         T O T A L S       15  0 32 31 41    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 22.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 58.63 (no red card)

Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.05 (no red card)

Df Marcus Bergman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.82 (no red card)

Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.07 (no red card)

Mf Tyler Page: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.31 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.41 (no second yellow)

Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.51 (no red card)

Fw John Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.91 (no red card)

Fw Jørn Nielsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.31 (no red card)

Fw Bryan Deshayes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.01 (no red card)

Fw Domingo Crespo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.89 (no red card)

Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.2 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 16.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 7.33 (no red card)

Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.99 (no red card)

Df Archie Rowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.81 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.84 (no red card)

Mf Troy Juric: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.57 (no red card)

Mf Hywel Cross: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.7 (no red card)

Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.78 (no red card)

Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.13 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.68 (no second yellow)

Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.41 (no red card)

Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.74 (no red card)

Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.57 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 35.01 (no injury) 
Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 4.62 (no injury) 
Df Marcus Bergman: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 65.92 (no injury) 
Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 66.12 (no injury) 
Mf Tyler Page: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 18.23 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 87.5 (no injury) 
Fw John Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 84.43 (no injury) 
Fw Jørn Nielsen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 98.67 (no injury) 
Fw Bryan Deshayes: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 52.44 (no injury) 
Fw Domingo Crespo: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 50.12 (no injury) 
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 23.16 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 69.41 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 50.29 (no injury) 
Df Archie Rowe: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 78.18 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 42.04 (no injury) 
Mf Troy Juric: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 95.83 (no injury) 
Mf Hywel Cross: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 13.48 (no injury) 
Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 84.04 (no injury) 
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 84.17 (no injury) 
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 75.4 (no injury) 
Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 8.74 (no injury) 
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 38.08 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Bryan Deshayes SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Archie Rowe SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          15  16  24  23  69
  Southend United          15   0  32  31  41

Southend United is using Offside Trap!
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 19 (69 - 32) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 41) / 3;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Domingo Crespo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 51.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Domingo Crespo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 96.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 57.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Bryan Deshayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 88.03 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 58.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw John Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Domingo Crespo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 58.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 4.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Bryan Deshayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw John Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Bryan Deshayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 11.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 15.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Bryan Deshayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 92.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          15   0  32  31  41
  Bristol City FC          15  16  24  23  69

Southend United Fw Attacks = 17 (41 - 24); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 4 ((31 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 69) / 5;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Mf Troy Juric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 28.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Troy Juric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Troy Juric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 12.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 88.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 2.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 72.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 9.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 83.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 3  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 2
 
Match Notes
Unlucky Colin, good tactics
Roger (Bristol City FC) 02/10 - 7:59 PM
A fair result in the end
Colin (Southend United) 02/13 - 12:10 AM
 
 
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