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Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
 
Watford
James Tucker
 
 
FA Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        WATFORD

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Manuel Zakaria         13    0   13     Gk Riccardo Di matteo     13    0   13
Sw Mitsuo Soma            13    0   13     Sw Saul Aquino            13    0   13
Df Faryd Cuadrado         13    0   13     Df Felipe Pérez           15    0   15
Df Herman Lambert         10    0   10     Df Walter McGree          10    0   10
Df Ichiro Oh               9    0    9     Df Meliton Martinez        5    2    7
Mf Manuel Alves           16    0   16     Mf Federico Machado       10    0   10
Mf Vibeke Skov            10    0   10     Mf Seth Sibley             5    2    7
Fw Marouane Peeters       12    0   12     Fw Edgar Jimenez          13    0   13
Fw Curtis Carr            12    0   12     Fw Julien De Boeck        13    0   13
Fw Wladimir Groen         10    0   10     Fw Valerio Paredes        10    0   10
Fw Heorhiy Kozlov         10    0   10     Fw Claudio Prado           5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 13 32 26 44        ROSTER TOTALS      13 13 32 17 43    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 13 32 35 44         T O T A L S       16 13 32 17 43    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.9 (no red card)

Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.57 (no red card)

Df Faryd Cuadrado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.55 (no red card)

Df Herman Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.02 (no red card)

Df Ichiro Oh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.97 (no red card)

Mf Manuel Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.27 (no red card)

Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.78 (no red card)

Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.42 (no red card)

Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.35 (no red card)

Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.15 (no red card)

Fw Heorhiy Kozlov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.25 (no red card)

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.38 (no red card)

Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.16 (no red card)

Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.97 (no red card)

Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.22 (no red card)

Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.89 (no red card)

Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.13 (no red card)

Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.64 (no red card)

Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.78 (no red card)

Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.91 (no red card)

Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.25 (no red card)

Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.94 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 62.22 (no injury) 
Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.06 (no injury) 
Df Faryd Cuadrado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.47 (no injury) 
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.57 (no injury) 
Df Ichiro Oh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.98 (no injury) 
Mf Manuel Alves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.94 (no injury) 
Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.73 (no injury) 
Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.27 (no injury) 
Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.76 (no injury) 
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.65 (no injury) 
Fw Heorhiy Kozlov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.61 (no injury) 

*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 67.35 (no injury) 
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.07 (no injury) 
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.61 (no injury) 
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.3 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Walter McGree is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Walter McGree new match skill level =  5
      Walter McGree new match total level =  5
Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.03 (no injury) 
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.32 (no injury) 
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.5 (no injury) 
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.73 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Edgar Jimenez is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Edgar Jimenez new match skill level =  7
      Edgar Jimenez new match total level =  7
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.44 (no injury) 
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.28 (no injury) 
Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.54 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Manuel Alves SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 13

     intRndPk = 21
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Felipe Pérez SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Manuel Zakaria SL 13

     intRndPk = 31
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      13  13  32  35  44
  Watford                  16  13  27  17  37

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 17 (44 - 27); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 9 ((35 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 37) / 3;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 26

1: Attack for Mf Vibeke Skov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Manuel Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 47.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Manuel Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Manuel Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Vibeke Skov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Manuel Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Vibeke Skov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Manuel Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Manuel Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 98.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozlov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 81.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozlov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 44.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 72.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 60.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozlov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  16  13  27  17  37
  Oldham Athletic AFC      13  13  32  35  44

Watford Fw Attacks = 5 (37 - 32); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 44) / 3;  rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 28.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 82.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 2  -  WATFORD 1
 
Match Notes
Tough draw. Would like at least a replay.
James (Watford) 01/04 - 11:49 AM
Almost a heist. The players will have to train in front of the goal
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 01/04 - 10:20 PM
 
 
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