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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

COVENTRY CITY                              SWINDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kyle Godwin            10    0   10     Gk Federico Curbelo        9    0    9
Df Djibril Édouard        13    0   13     Df Hajime Tanaka          13    0   13
Df Per Olsen              11    0   11     Df Quentin Mertens        10    0   10
Df Malcolm Pickford       10    0   10     Df Yahaya Etim             8    0    8
Mf Wilmer Klaassen        11    0   11     Df Joël Van den berg       7    0    7
Mf Asbjorn Mathiasen      11    0   11     Mf Gustavo Moreno         13    0   13
Mf Aeron Moore             7    0    7     Mf Toby Llewellyn         10    0   10
Mf Cathal Holland          6    2    8     Mf Virgil Hoekstra         9    0    9
Mf Johan Larsson           2    0    2     Fw Conway Roberts         15    0   15
Fw Boško Levchenko        12    0   12     Fw Maxi Olivera            9    0    9
Fw Adrian Fullkrug        10    0   10     Fw Valeriy Yastenko        8    0    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10  0 34 39 22        ROSTER TOTALS       9  0 38 32 32    
       0  1  2  2  2          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  2  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10  1 39 43 26         T O T A L S        9  0 38 32 32    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  COVENTRY CITY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 7
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kyle Godwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.31 (no red card)

Df Djibril Édouard: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 84.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 35.86 (no red card)

Df Per Olsen: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 82.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 90.57 (no red card)

Df Malcolm Pickford: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 13.61 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 79.46 (no second yellow)

Mf Wilmer Klaassen: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 27.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 84.98 (no red card)

Mf Asbjorn Mathiasen: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 30.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 93.37 (no red card)

Mf Aeron Moore: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 15.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 19.17 (no red card)

Mf Cathal Holland: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 62.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 17.33 (no red card)

Mf Johan Larsson: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 47.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 30.68 (no red card)

Fw Boško Levchenko: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 17.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 14.47 (no red card)

Fw Adrian Fullkrug: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 10.45 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 67.77 (no second yellow)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.22 (no red card)

Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.12 (no red card)

Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.31 (no red card)

Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.45 (no red card)

Df Joël Van den berg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.34 (no red card)

Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.5 (no red card)

Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.52 (no red card)

Mf Virgil Hoekstra: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.05 (no red card)

Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.02 (no red card)

Fw Maxi Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.84 (no red card)

Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.59 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  COVENTRY CITY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Coventry City Team Hardness = 7
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Kyle Godwin: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 3.46 (no injury) 
Df Djibril Édouard: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 12.16 (no injury) 
Df Per Olsen: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 37.33 (no injury) 
Df Malcolm Pickford: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 29.78 (no injury) 
Mf Wilmer Klaassen: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 38.3 (no injury) 
Mf Asbjorn Mathiasen: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 67.5 (no injury) 
Mf Aeron Moore: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 86.55 (no injury) 
Mf Cathal Holland: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 94.45 (no injury) 
Mf Johan Larsson: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 65.25 (no injury) 
Fw Boško Levchenko: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 48.74 (no injury) 
Fw Adrian Fullkrug: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 97.92 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Coventry City Team Hardness = 7
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.87%
Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of injury = 3.87% | Random number = 84.17 (no injury) 
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 22.71 (no injury) 
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 48.86 (no injury) 
Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 68.38 (no injury) 
Df Joël Van den berg: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 13.94 (no injury) 
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 67.01 (no injury) 
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 38.5 (no injury) 
Mf Virgil Hoekstra: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 12.7 (no injury) 
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 49.1 (no injury) 
Fw Maxi Olivera: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 0.66 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Maxi Olivera loses 6 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Maxi Olivera new match skill level =  5
      Maxi Olivera new match total level =  5
Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 76.48 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Djibril Édouard SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Federico Curbelo SL 9

     intRndPk = 39
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)

*******  COVENTRY CITY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 7; (7 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Conway Roberts SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Kyle Godwin SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 99 (pk blocked)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 63 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  COVENTRY CITY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Coventry City            10   0  39  43  26
  Swindon Town FC          9   0  38  32  28

Coventry City Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 38)
Coventry City Mf Attacks = 6 ((43 - 32) / 2) ; result rounded up
Coventry City Df Attacks = 3 ((39 - 28) / 5); result rounded up
Coventry City Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Per Olsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 23.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Djibril Édouard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 92.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Djibril Édouard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 1.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Cathal Holland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Wilmer Klaassen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 93.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Wilmer Klaassen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 54.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Wilmer Klaassen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 54.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Wilmer Klaassen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 40.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Asbjorn Mathiasen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          9   0  38  32  28
  Coventry City            10   0  39  43  26

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 39)
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 43) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 3 ((38 - 26) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Hajime Tanaka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Hajime Tanaka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Hajime Tanaka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
COVENTRY CITY 2  -  SWINDON TOWN FC 1
 
Match Notes
And Matt moves on to the second round
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/04 - 11:54 AM  
Swindon visit. Statistically, home advantage matters less when the quality gap is this significant.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/04 - 8:14 PM  
Swindon made it interesting for about 60 minutes. They didn't make it interesting after that.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/09 - 2:45 PM  1
Both NL teams advancing out of the first round?!
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/18 - 1:58 PM  
Swindon made it marginally interesting late on, which I suppose is the polite way of saying we allowed them a consolation. Second round secured. Moving on.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/18 - 6:31 PM  
 
 
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