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Wednesday, June 11th, 2025 - 09:50:00 AM (gmt)
 
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Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
 
FA Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLISLE UNITED                            TRANMERE ROVERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Xavier Lambert         11    0   11     Gk Mohammed Zakari        13    0   13
Sw Ramires Jesus          13    0   13     Sw Lloyd Mills             4    2    6
Df Jacob Beynon           13    0   13     Df Martin Morales         10    0   10
Df Eirwyn Davey           10    0   10     Df Santiago Alonso        10    0   10
Df Toshihiro Nakamura     10    0   10     Df Bruno Gomes             5    2    7
Mf Marcus Teulet          12    0   12     Df Joseph Okoro            2    2    4
Mf Aliyu Edet             10    0   10     Mf José Salvio             5    2    7
Fw Javier Gimenez         14    0   14     Mf Mario Arias             3    2    5
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek     10    0   10     Mf Ahmed El Ahmadi         2    2    4
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi      10    0   10     Fw Tim Scholz              6    0    6
Fw Jordan Pérez            5    2    7     Fw Kwadwo Djiku            5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 13 33 22 41        ROSTER TOTALS      13  6 31 16 13    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  2  2  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 13 35 24 46         T O T A L S       13  6 31 16 13    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.27 (no red card)

Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.31 (no red card)

Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.99 (no red card)

Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.19 (no red card)

Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.67 (no red card)

Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.7 (no red card)

Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.9 (no red card)

Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.54 (no red card)

Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.47 (no red card)

Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.11 (no red card)

Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.04 (no red card)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mohammed Zakari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.81 (no red card)

Sw Lloyd Mills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.58 (no red card)

Df Martin Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.91 (no red card)

Df Santiago Alonso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.08 (no red card)

Df Bruno Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.03 (no red card)

Df Joseph Okoro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.54 (no red card)

Mf José Salvio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.03 (no red card)

Mf Mario Arias: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.49 (no red card)

Mf Ahmed El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.26 (no red card)

Fw Tim Scholz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.38 (no red card)

Fw Kwadwo Djiku: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.83 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 93.49 (no injury) 
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.2 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.75 (no injury) 
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.63 (no injury) 
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.62 (no injury) 
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.79 (no injury) 
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.85 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.29 (no injury) 
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.46 (no injury) 
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.83 (no injury) 
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.06 (no injury) 

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mohammed Zakari: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 17.67 (no injury) 
Sw Lloyd Mills: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.95 (no injury) 
Df Martin Morales: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.23 (no injury) 
Df Santiago Alonso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.47 (no injury) 
Df Bruno Gomes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.66 (no injury) 
Df Joseph Okoro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.8 (no injury) 
Mf José Salvio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.72 (no injury) 
Mf Mario Arias: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.0 (no injury) 
Mf Ahmed El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.42 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Ahmed El Ahmadi is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Tim Scholz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.94 (no injury) 
Fw Kwadwo Djiku: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.54 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Javier Gimenez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Mohammed Zakari SL 13

     intRndPk = 40
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Martin Morales SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 11

     intRndPk = 4
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 68% | Random number = 92 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          13  13  35  24  46
  Tranmere Rovers          13   6  31  16  13

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 15 (46 - 31); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 4 ((24 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 8 ((35 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Df Eirwyn Davey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Eirwyn Davey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Eirwyn Davey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Eirwyn Davey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Jacob Beynon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Eirwyn Davey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Jacob Beynon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 75.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Df Eirwyn Davey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Aliyu Edet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Marcus Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Marcus Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Aliyu Edet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 43 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 58.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 22.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 0.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 97.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
27: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 19.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          13   6  31  16  13
  Carlisle United          13  13  35  24  46

Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 35)
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLISLE UNITED 2  -  TRANMERE ROVERS 1
 
Match Notes
Easy win for Diamond Dave G here as the Rovers do not favor the FA Cup...
Allan (Brentford FC) 05/23 - 12:16 AM
We also have a shocking record against Tranmere. Not expecting anything easy.
Dave (Carlisle United) 05/23 - 1:42 AM
 
 
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