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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
FA Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Samir Bouaziz          10    0   10     Gk Muhammed Asamoah       12    0   12
Sw Bradley Perry          13    0   13     Sw Artur Boniek            8    0    8
Df Jaap De wit            13    0   13     Df Rodrigo de Corona      11    0   11
Df Joshua Partey          10    0   10     Df Alex Hassan            11    0   11
Df Óscar Cespedes          9    0    9     Df Johnny Müller          10    0   10
Mf Yuriy Taran            12    0   12     Mf Cédric Kenne           10    0   10
Mf Jacques Mefire         10    0   10     Mf Krystian Sobolewski    10    0   10
Mf William Gomez           8    0    8     Mf Ezequiel Araujo         5    2    7
Fw Bastien Troussier      15    0   15     Mf Yahia El mostafa       12    0   12
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko       10    0   10     Fw Eligio Palacios        10    0   10
Fw Elias Mayer             5    2    7     Fw Erik Christiansen      10    0   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 13 32 30 32        ROSTER TOTALS      12  8 32 39 20    
       0  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10 14 32 30 41         T O T A L S       12  8 32 41 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.01 (no red card)

Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.93 (no red card)

Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.43 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.27 (no second yellow)

Df Joshua Partey: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.9 (no red card)

Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.73 (no red card)

Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.56 (no red card)

Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.96 (no red card)

Mf William Gomez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.2 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.1 (no second yellow)

Fw Bastien Troussier: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.81 (no red card)

Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.35 (no red card)

Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.23 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.41 (no red card)

Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 80.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 24.88 (no red card)

Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 91.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 87.62 (no red card)

Df Alex Hassan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 86.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 35.35 (no red card)

Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 22.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 92.52 (no red card)

Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 10.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 17.04 (no red card)

Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 50.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 11.59 (no red card)

Mf Ezequiel Araujo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 52.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 36.69 (no red card)

Mf Yahia El mostafa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 59.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 65.8 (no red card)

Fw Eligio Palacios: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 39.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 73.84 (no red card)

Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 79.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 68.87 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 82.74 (no injury) 
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 98.04 (no injury) 
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 95.03 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Partey: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 27.36 (no injury) 
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 82.01 (no injury) 
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 5.46 (no injury) 
Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 77.07 (no injury) 
Mf William Gomez: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 34.86 (no injury) 
Fw Bastien Troussier: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 95.23 (no injury) 
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 69.31 (no injury) 
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 74.01 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 13.79 (no injury) 
Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 36.49 (no injury) 
Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 35.03 (no injury) 
Df Alex Hassan: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 7.03 (no injury) 
Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 89.87 (no injury) 
Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 10.95 (no injury) 
Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 20.95 (no injury) 
Mf Ezequiel Araujo: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 91.53 (no injury) 
Mf Yahia El mostafa: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 70.52 (no injury) 
Fw Eligio Palacios: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 27.26 (no injury) 
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 94.14 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Bastien Troussier SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Muhammed Asamoah SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Yahia El mostafa SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   10  14  32  30  41
  Derby County             12   8  32  41  20

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 9 (41 - 32); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 4 ((32 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Df Joshua Partey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Óscar Cespedes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Óscar Cespedes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Joshua Partey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Vukmir Kovalenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Vukmir Kovalenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 47.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Vukmir Kovalenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Vukmir Kovalenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Vukmir Kovalenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 16.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 43.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Vukmir Kovalenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             12   8  32  41  20
  Brighton & Hove Albion   10  14  32  30  41

Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 32)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 6 ((41 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 41) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Krystian Sobolewski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 52.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Ezequiel Araujo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Ezequiel Araujo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Ezequiel Araujo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Ezequiel Araujo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0  -  DERBY COUNTY 0
 
Match Notes
This is in no way false modesty: I don't expect our 'Gulls to have a much better season than last, i.e. no long cup runs. :(
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/20 - 1:19 PM
Are BHA the favorites to win all the cups in Season 50?
Allan (Brentford FC) 05/22 - 1:10 AM
If ten teams would trade me their best player for one of our worst, then yes, we'd possibly be a candidate to dominate.

Any takers out there?
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/23 - 12:17 PM
Meh.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/26 - 4:04 PM
I tried to warn the league not to vote for our side.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/28 - 12:21 PM
 
 
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