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Southend United
Colin Scott
 
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
 
FA Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Yassine Amara          13    0   13     Gk Ryan Vukovic           13    0   13
Sw Bastien Rami            9    0    9     Df Robert Bak             13    0   13
Df Mauricio López         10    0   10     Df Gustavo García         11    0   11
Df Eric Kompany            7    2    9     Df Shiro Minamino          5    2    7
Df Aymen Mansour           5    2    7     Mf Faustino Verón         13    0   13
Mf Ludwig Troell          13    0   13     Mf Luca da Silva          10    0   10
Mf Janek Pawlak            8    0    8     Mf Oscar Bremer           10    0   10
Fw Percy Maguire          13    0   13     Mf Pedro Vazquez           5    2    7
Fw Cássio Lemos           16    0   16     Mf Min-Jun Sung            2    2    4
Fw Jamie Behich           10    0   10     Fw Marek Carsley          12    0   12
Fw Franco Almada           5    2    7     Fw Danylo Morozov         10    0   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13  9 26 21 46        ROSTER TOTALS      13  0 31 44 22    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  9 26 21 55         T O T A L S       13  0 31 44 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 48.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 97.78 (no red card)

Sw Bastien Rami: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.48 (no red card)

Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.21 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Mauricio López new match skill level =  5
      Mauricio López new match total level =  5

Df Eric Kompany: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.56 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.07 (no second yellow)

Df Aymen Mansour: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.72 (no red card)

Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.66 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.57 (no second yellow)

Mf Janek Pawlak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.08 (no red card)

Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.31 (no red card)

Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.4 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.24 (no red card)

Fw Franco Almada: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.69 (no red card)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.02 (no red card)

Df Robert Bak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.13 (no red card)

Df Gustavo García: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.81 (no red card)

Df Shiro Minamino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.44 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.34 (no second yellow)

Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.66 (no red card)

Mf Luca da Silva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.2 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.18 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Vazquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.0 (no red card)

Mf Min-Jun Sung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.77 (no red card)

Fw Marek Carsley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.41 (no red card)

Fw Danylo Morozov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.14 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 3.82 (no injury) 
Sw Bastien Rami: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.51 (no injury) 
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.05 (no injury) 
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.7 (no injury) 
Df Aymen Mansour: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.05 (no injury) 
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.68 (no injury) 
Mf Janek Pawlak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.79 (no injury) 
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.22 (no injury) 
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.16 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.82 (no injury) 
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.33 (no injury) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 23.61 (no injury) 
Df Robert Bak: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.35 (no injury) 
Df Gustavo García: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.25 (no injury) 
Df Shiro Minamino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.88 (no injury) 
Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.87 (no injury) 
Mf Luca da Silva: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.43 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.23 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Vazquez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.82 (no injury) 
Mf Min-Jun Sung: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.99 (no injury) 
Fw Marek Carsley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.45 (no injury) 
Fw Danylo Morozov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.67 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cássio Lemos SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Vukovic SL 13

     intRndPk = 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Robert Bak SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          16   9  21  21  55
  Plymouth Argyle FC       13   0  31  44  22

Plymouth Argyle FC is using Offside Trap!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 12 (55 - 31) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 44) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 22) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 79.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 39.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 68.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 5.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 56.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 72.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 78.2 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       13   0  31  44  22
  Southend United          16   9  21  21  55

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 1 (22 - 21); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 12 ((44 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 55) / 5;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Mf Faustino Verón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 40.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Faustino Verón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 58.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Pedro Vazquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 20.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Faustino Verón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Faustino Verón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Luca da Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Luca da Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Luca da Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Oscar Bremer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Marek Carsley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 3  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 0
 
Match Notes
What luck, we get the defending champions. Yay us.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/09 - 8:59 PM
Good luck Colin!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/09 - 8:59 PM
Closer than the score suggests
Colin (Southend United) 01/11 - 4:48 PM
 
 
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