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Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
 
FA Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC                         BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Finlay Palmer          12    0   12     Gk Jonas Lien             12    0   12
Sw Bryn Gough             13    0   13     Sw Théo Billard           12    0   12
Df Nestor Omlin           13    0   13     Df Eric Aidoo             13    0   13
Df Gustavo García         11    0   11     Df Óscar Cespedes         12    0   12
Df Robert Bak              5    2    7     Df Michael Addo            9    0    9
Mf Jorge Perez            13    0   13     Mf Raouf Salem            13    0   13
Mf Faustino Verón          5    2    7     Mf William Gomez          11    0   11
Fw Syam Arfaoui           16    0   16     Mf Ibrahim Yusuf           9    0    9
Fw Evaristo Masis         10    0   10     Fw Elliot Wilkins         16    0   16
Fw Nenad Kovtun           10    0   10     Fw Khalilou Konaté         9    0    9
Fw Charles Sweeney         9    0    9     Fw Hideaki Endo            9    0    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 13 31 20 45        ROSTER TOTALS      12 12 34 33 34    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 13 31 20 54         T O T A L S       13 12 34 33 34    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.55 (no red card)

Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.51 (no red card)

Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.25 (no red card)

Df Gustavo García: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.45 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.38 (no second yellow)

Df Robert Bak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.03 (no red card)

Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.65 (no red card)

Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.93 (no red card)

Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.23 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.38 (no second yellow)

Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.58 (no red card)

Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.82 (no red card)

Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.73 (no red card)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 98.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 42.64 (no red card)

Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.52 (no red card)

Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.66 (no red card)

Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.13 (no red card)

Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.6 (no red card)

Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.35 (no red card)

Mf William Gomez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.43 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.08 (no second yellow)

Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.88 (no red card)

Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.55 (no red card)

Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.81 (no red card)

Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.31 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 1.38 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Finlay Palmer is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Finlay Palmer new match skill level =  6
      Finlay Palmer new match total level =  6
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.44 (no injury) 
Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.6 (no injury) 
Df Gustavo García: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.8 (no injury) 
Df Robert Bak: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.25 (no injury) 
Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.55 (no injury) 
Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.72 (no injury) 
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.6 (no injury) 
Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.7 (no injury) 
Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.52 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.73 (no injury) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 88.09 (no injury) 
Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.83 (no injury) 
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.54 (no injury) 
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.03 (no injury) 
Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.58 (no injury) 
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.84 (no injury) 
Mf William Gomez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.78 (no injury) 
Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.79 (no injury) 
Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.41 (no injury) 
Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.6 (no injury) 
Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.15 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Syam Arfaoui SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Elliot Wilkins SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 6

     intRndPk = 32
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       6  13  31  20  54
  Brighton & Hove Albion   13  12  34  33  34

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 20 (54 - 34); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 34) / 3;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 95.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 70.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 55.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 1.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 3.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 36.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   13  12  34  33  34
  Plymouth Argyle FC       6  13  31  20  54

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 3 (34 - 31); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 7 ((33 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 82.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 44.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 2  -  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 1
 
Match Notes
Uh oh, this is a big clash to start the FA Cup. Someone who could make a run is going home incredibly early.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 12/18 - 6:33 PM
MASSIVE fixture...its almost like this was scheduled intentionally by the "random" scheduler...
Allan (Brentford FC) 12/28 - 10:09 PM
Match of the Week.
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 12/29 - 6:04 AM
Plymouth look a bit too strong for our side.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 12/29 - 4:20 PM
have to favor the home side
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 01/01 - 9:00 AM
especially without the other Ro no longer managing the side.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 01/01 - 9:01 AM
If a manager were so inclined to chase shiny trophies, he might be motivated to put out a strong lineup here.

If a manager were so inclined of course... me? I'm definitely not...
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/04 - 3:18 PM
A comment wall breaker right here in Week One!
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 01/04 - 4:03 PM
Will this be a clean match or will we see some carnage?
Dave (Lewes FC) 01/04 - 4:35 PM
Unhappy result
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/04 - 7:18 PM
You're unhappy?! Your dirty team took out my #1 GK! You deserved a red card for sure!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/05 - 2:55 AM
Injuries to gk's are always a tricky area. When in doubt, never throw a card.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/06 - 6:34 PM
 
 
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