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Watford
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Wycombe Wanderers
Aires Martins Jr.
 
 
FA Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WATFORD                                    WYCOMBE WANDERERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mads Frost             13    0   13     Gk Kyrylo Kononenko       10    0   10
Df Keita Hattori          13    0   13     Sw André Rodríguez        13    0   13
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk       17    0   17     Df Antonio Moreno         13    0   13
Df Shoichi Morita         12    0   12     Df Fank Dahl              13    0   13
Df José Mendes             5    2    7     Df Abel Malacia            9    0    9
Mf Oliwer Säfström         9    0    9     Df Hans Braithwaite        8    0    8
Mf Octavio Barbosa         5    2    7     Mf Joshua Brandt          12    0   12
Fw Djonno De boer         13    0   13     Mf Mats Albrecht          11    0   11
Fw Valerio Paredes        12    0   12     Fw Herman Fazio           13    0   13
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk       10    0   10     Fw Theo Étienne           11    0   11
Fw Yassine Aloui           5    2    7     Fw Aaron Castro           13    0   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13  0 49 16 42        ROSTER TOTALS      10 13 43 23 37    
       0  0  0  1  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  0 49 17 51         T O T A L S       10 13 43 23 37    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.75 (no red card)

Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.11 (no red card)

Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.94 (no red card)

Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.38 (no red card)

Df José Mendes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.02 (no red card)

Mf Oliwer Säfström: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.31 (no red card)

Mf Octavio Barbosa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.45 (no red card)

Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.34 (no red card)

Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.07 (no red card)

Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.41 (no red card)

Fw Yassine Aloui: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.67 (no red card)

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kyrylo Kononenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.9 (no red card)

Sw André Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.69 (no red card)

Df Antonio Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.72 (no red card)

Df Fank Dahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.74 (no red card)

Df Abel Malacia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.7 (no red card)

Df Hans Braithwaite: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.65 (no red card)

Mf Joshua Brandt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.58 (no red card)

Mf Mats Albrecht: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.75 (no red card)

Fw Herman Fazio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.25 (no red card)

Fw Theo Étienne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.78 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Castro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.76 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 54.42 (no injury) 
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.32 (no injury) 
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.93 (no injury) 
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.39 (no injury) 
Df José Mendes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.81 (no injury) 
Mf Oliwer Säfström: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.96 (no injury) 
Mf Octavio Barbosa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.7 (no injury) 
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.75 (no injury) 
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.15 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Valerio Paredes is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Valerio Paredes new match skill level =  6
      Valerio Paredes new match total level =  6
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.42 (no injury) 
Fw Yassine Aloui: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.6 (no injury) 

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kyrylo Kononenko: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 88.5 (no injury) 
Sw André Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.87 (no injury) 
Df Antonio Moreno: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.71 (no injury) 
Df Fank Dahl: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.75 (no injury) 
Df Abel Malacia: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.78 (no injury) 
Df Hans Braithwaite: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.15 (no injury) 
Mf Joshua Brandt: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.51 (no injury) 
Mf Mats Albrecht: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.36 (no injury) 
Fw Herman Fazio: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.72 (no injury) 
Fw Theo Étienne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.39 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Castro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.62 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mykhailo Pavlyuk SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Kyrylo Kononenko SL 10

     intRndPk = 69
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Antonio Moreno SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  13   0  49  17  45
  Wycombe Wanderers        10  13  43  23  37

Watford Fw Attacks = 2 (45 - 43); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 3 ((49 - 37) / 5); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Shoichi Morita
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Wycombe Wanderers        10  13  43  23  37
  Watford                  13   0  49  17  45

Wycombe Wanderers Fw Attacks = 0 (37 - 49)
Wycombe Wanderers Mf Attacks = 3 ((23 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Wycombe Wanderers Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 45) / 3;  rounded up)
Wycombe Wanderers Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Mats Albrecht
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Mats Albrecht
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 84.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Mats Albrecht
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 94.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WATFORD 0  -  WYCOMBE WANDERERS 2
 
Match Notes
Tough one to start the season
Aires (Wycombe Wanderers) 04/22 - 1:09 PM  
This might be a rebuild for us
Aires (Wycombe Wanderers) 04/22 - 1:09 PM  
Clean sheet in the Projections!
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 05/09 - 1:26 PM  
 
 
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