(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Watford
James Tucker
FA Cup Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLISLE UNITED WATFORD
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Gregory Reyna 12 2 14 Gk Mads Frost 6 2 8
Sw Ramires Jesus 13 0 13 Df Saul Aquino 11 0 11
Df Jacob Beynon 13 1 14 Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk 14 1 15
Df Eirwyn Davey 12 2 14 Df Walter McGree 12 0 12
Df Marco Sa 6 2 8 Df Keita Hattori 10 2 12
Mf Marcus Teulet 12 1 13 Df Shoichi Morita 6 2 8
Mf Marco D'amato 6 2 8 Mf Tin Perisic 15 1 16
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 12 2 14 Mf Seth Sibley 10 2 12
Fw Javier Gimenez 14 1 15 Fw Valerio Paredes 14 1 15
Fw Ki Seon-min 12 0 12 Fw Edgar Jimenez 13 0 13
Fw Jordan Pérez 6 2 8 Fw Claudio Prado 10 2 12
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
14 13 36 21 49 ROSTER TOTALS 8 0 58 28 40
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 1
0 0 0 4 5 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
14 13 36 25 54 T O T A L S 8 0 58 28 41
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.38 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.98 (no red card)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.4 (no red card)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.33 (no red card)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.06 (no red card)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.64 (no red card)
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.08 (no red card)
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.95 (no red card)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.39 (no red card)
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.4 (no red card)
Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.84 (no red card)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.77 (no red card)
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.42 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.91 (no red card)
Df Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.61 (no red card)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.28 (no red card)
Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.02 (no red card)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.34 (no red card)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.23 (no red card)
Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.71 (no red card)
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.35 (no red card)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.3 (no red card)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.3 (no red card)
Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.59 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 26.52 (no injury)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.46 (no injury)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.86 (no injury)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.64 (no injury)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.12 (no injury)
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.7 (no injury)
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.12 (no injury)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.86 (no injury)
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.74 (no injury)
Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.38 (no injury)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.0 (no injury)
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 30.58 (no injury)
Df Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.43 (no injury)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.45 (no injury)
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.61 (no injury)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.89 (no injury)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.91 (no injury)
Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.76 (no injury)
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.06 (no injury)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.76 (no injury)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.89 (no injury)
Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.96 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Javier Gimenez SL 14
- Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 6
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Tin Perisic SL 15
- Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 12
intRndPk = 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 14 13 36 25 54
Watford 8 0 58 28 41
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (54 - 58)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 28) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 41) / 3; rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 0
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 8 0 58 28 41
Carlisle United 14 13 36 25 54
Watford Fw Attacks = 5 (41 - 36); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 2 ((28 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Watford Df Attacks = 1 ((58 - 54) / 5); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Df Shoichi Morita
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 7.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Seth Sibley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Tin Perisic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 67.38 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 58.22 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLISLE UNITED 0 - WATFORD 0
Match Notes
I imagine we'll need more than a slice of luck in the replay.
Dave (Carlisle United) 06/07 - 10:07 PM