(H)
Watford
James Tucker
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
FA Cup Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S WATFORD PRESTON NORTH END FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Riccardo Di matteo 12 2 14 Gk Anton Rogic 14 2 16 Sw Luca Werner 10 1 11 Sw Ilija Livaja 13 0 13 Df Evan Symes 13 -1 12 Df Oribe Vega 14 2 16 Df Felipe Pérez 10 2 12 Df Kim Yong 10 2 12 Df Victor Bach 6 2 8 Mf Angus McKay 13 2 15 Mf Hirving Borgetti 13 2 15 Mf Leif Andersen 6 2 8 Mf Oribe Arellano 15 0 15 Fw Quique Diez 14 2 16 Fw Matty Begum 13 2 15 Fw Owen Bennett 16 2 18 Fw Samuel Bidault 12 2 14 Fw Johan Van Zandt 11 2 13 Fw Julien De Boeck 11 2 13 Fw Hong Jung 10 2 12 Fw Kai McDonald 10 1 11 Fw Eduardo Luna 6 2 8 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 14 11 32 30 53 ROSTER TOTALS 16 13 28 23 67 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 17 11 41 30 53 T O T A L S 16 13 28 23 67 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.0 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.78 (no red card) Sw Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.97 (no red card) Df Evan Symes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.59 (no red card) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.49 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.29 (no second yellow) Df Victor Bach: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.4 (no red card) Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.09 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.68 (no second yellow) Mf Oribe Arellano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.45 (no red card) Fw Matty Begum: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.79 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.72 (no second yellow) Fw Samuel Bidault: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.34 (no red card) Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.65 (no red card) Fw Kai McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.07 (no red card) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Anton Rogic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.24 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.18 (no red card) Sw Ilija Livaja: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.86 (no red card) Df Oribe Vega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.77 (no red card) Df Kim Yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.08 (no red card) Mf Angus McKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.32 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.82 (no red card) Mf Leif Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.01 (no red card) Fw Quique Diez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.89 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.68 (no red card) Fw Owen Bennett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.46 (no red card) Fw Johan Van Zandt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.79 (no red card) Fw Hong Jung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.77 (no red card) Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.82 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Watford Team Hardness = 0 - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 27.12 (no injury) Sw Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.05 (no injury) Df Evan Symes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.33 (no injury) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.66 (no injury) Df Victor Bach: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.78 (no injury) Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.65 (no injury) Mf Oribe Arellano: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.89 (no injury) Fw Matty Begum: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.06 (no injury) Fw Samuel Bidault: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.78 (no injury) Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.48 (no injury) Fw Kai McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.66 (no injury) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0 - Watford Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Anton Rogic: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 61.02 (no injury) Sw Ilija Livaja: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.15 (no injury) Df Oribe Vega: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.43 (no injury) Df Kim Yong: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.94 (no injury) Mf Angus McKay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.94 (no injury) Mf Leif Andersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.62 (no injury) Fw Quique Diez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.76 (no injury) Fw Owen Bennett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.34 (no injury) Fw Johan Van Zandt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.43 (no injury) Fw Hong Jung: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.03 (no injury) Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.11 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Oribe Arellano SL 15 - Defending Gk: Anton Rogic SL 14 intRndPk = 49 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick) ******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Owen Bennett SL 16 - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 12 intRndPk = 79 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Watford 17 11 41 30 53 Preston North End FC 16 13 28 23 67 Watford Fw Attacks = 25 (53 - 28); result rounded up Watford Mf Attacks = 4 ((30 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 67) / 3; rounded up) Watford Total Attacks = 29 1: Attack for Mf Oribe Arellano Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Hirving Borgetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Mf Oribe Arellano Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 3.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Mf Oribe Arellano Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 28.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Kai McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Kai McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 4.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 87.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 11: Attack for Fw Kai McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 76.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 12: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Kai McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 19.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw Kai McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Kai McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 59.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 20: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 77.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 21: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Kai McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 40.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 26: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 28: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Preston North End FC 16 13 28 23 67 Watford 17 11 41 30 53 Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 26 (67 - 41); result rounded up Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 30) / 2; rounded up) Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 53) / 3; rounded up) Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 26 1: Attack for Fw Hong Jung Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Fw Hong Jung Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Johan Van Zandt Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 30.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw Johan Van Zandt Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 36.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Johan Van Zandt Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 52.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Quique Diez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Hong Jung Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Owen Bennett Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Johan Van Zandt Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 72.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Quique Diez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Quique Diez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Owen Bennett Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Owen Bennett Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Hong Jung Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Fw Johan Van Zandt Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Quique Diez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Quique Diez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 59.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Hong Jung Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 4.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 20: Attack for Fw Hong Jung Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 52.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Owen Bennett Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Quique Diez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 58.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 23: Attack for Fw Quique Diez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Owen Bennett Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Johan Van Zandt Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 15.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 26: Attack for Fw Quique Diez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E WATFORD 3 - PRESTON NORTH END FC 0