(H)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
FA Cup Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NOTTINGHAM FOREST DERBY COUNTY
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Kurt Östman 15 2 17 Gk Muhammed Asamoah 13 0 13
Sw Thiago Boniek 14 2 16 Sw Artur Boniek 8 0 8
Df Gualberto Burgos 12 1 13 Df Mikkel Iversen 12 1 13
Df Mbaye Dieng 10 2 12 Df Rodrigo de Corona 11 0 11
Df Nicomedes Martino 6 2 8 Df Federico Sorin 6 2 8
Mf Bruno Freda 10 1 11 Df Kwadwo Danlad 6 2 8
Mf Abel Peeters 10 2 12 Mf Henry Rowles 11 0 11
Fw Atef Omar 13 1 14 Mf Muziano Doni 6 2 8
Fw Paul Dumont 16 1 17 Mf Ezequiel Araujo 6 2 8
Fw Keiron Chamberlain 10 1 11 Fw Stefan Ake 6 2 8
Fw Ederson Fabinho 6 2 8 Fw Roque Ramos 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
17 16 33 23 50 ROSTER TOTALS 13 8 40 27 16
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 2 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 3 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
20 19 33 23 59 T O T A L S 13 8 40 29 16
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.22 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.41 (no red card)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.74 (no red card)
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.63 (no red card)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.28 (no red card)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.07 (no red card)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.1 (no red card)
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.07 (no red card)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.22 (no red card)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.38 (no red card)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.93 (no red card)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.19 (no red card)
******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.96 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.41 (no red card)
Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 19.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 21.3 (no red card)
Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 16.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 85.72 (no red card)
Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 44.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 72.14 (no red card)
Df Federico Sorin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 33.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 98.95 (no red card)
Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 17.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 89.78 (no red card)
Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 95.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 68.65 (no red card)
Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 38.04 (no red card)
Mf Ezequiel Araujo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 88.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 4.7 (no red card)
Fw Stefan Ake: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 37.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 2.56 (no red card)
Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 22.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 58.36 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Derby County Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 22.25 (no injury)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 21.99 (no injury)
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 52.28 (no injury)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 13.8 (no injury)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 93.47 (no injury)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 49.23 (no injury)
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 46.75 (no injury)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 45.97 (no injury)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 45.42 (no injury)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 16.37 (no injury)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 85.71 (no injury)
******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Derby County Team Hardness = 2
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 15.51 (no injury)
Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 0.46 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Artur Boniek is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Artur Boniek new match skill level = 4
Artur Boniek new match total level = 4
Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 83.06 (no injury)
Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 36.66 (no injury)
Df Federico Sorin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 0.62 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 3
Federico Sorin is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Federico Sorin new match skill level = 3
Federico Sorin new match total level = 5
Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 84.18 (no injury)
Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 92.41 (no injury)
Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 12.05 (no injury)
Mf Ezequiel Araujo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 15.22 (no injury)
Fw Stefan Ake: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 79.08 (no injury)
Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 13.15 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Paul Dumont SL 16
- Defending Gk: Muhammed Asamoah SL 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mikkel Iversen SL 12
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 15
intRndPk = 35
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 20 19 33 23 59
Derby County 13 4 37 29 16
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 22 (59 - 37); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 29) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 6 ((33 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 28
1: Attack for Df Nicomedes Martino
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Gualberto Burgos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Nicomedes Martino
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Gualberto Burgos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 50.64 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Df Mbaye Dieng
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 53.66 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Df Gualberto Burgos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 3.39 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 45.83 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 39.29 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 15.04 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 45.44 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 79.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
22: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 82.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
25: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 16.28 (Shot Saved by Gk)
28: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 42 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 46.29 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Derby County 13 4 37 29 16
Nottingham Forest 20 19 33 23 59
Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 33)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 3 ((29 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 59) / 3; rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 3
1: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Ezequiel Araujo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Ezequiel Araujo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 2 - DERBY COUNTY 0
Match Notes
Rivals in real life. Ilkeston is midway between Derby and Nottigham, which are connected by the A52 renamed as Brian Clough Way. Cloughie managed Derby to the Div 1 title in 1972 and Forest in 1978.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 06/01 - 12:48 PM