(H)

Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay

Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
FA Shield Round 1
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S PRESTON NORTH END FC DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Valentin Lugn 16 2 18 Gk Alex M'Boma 13 0 13 Df Abdul Otu 11 1 12 Sw Jun-Seo Min 12 1 13 Df Joel Calvo 10 2 12 Df Marcel Pechet 12 0 12 Df Harry Martyn 6 2 8 Df Sebastien Barbet 6 2 8 Df Joan Hierro 3 2 5 Mf Gareth Smith 13 0 13 Mf Arthur Goodwin 13 2 15 Mf Lyn Rogers 6 2 8 Mf Bahaeeddine Ait 10 2 12 Fw Clement Kenne 15 0 15 Mf Issa Daouda 6 2 8 Fw David Dziekanowski 12 0 12 Mf Kazuo Kawashima 3 2 5 Fw Douglas Vargas 10 0 10 Fw Victor Pino 6 2 8 Fw José Borges 10 0 10 Fw Atsushi Morioka 6 2 8 Fw Luiz Fabinho 6 2 8 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 0 37 40 16 ROSTER TOTALS 13 13 20 21 55 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 18 0 46 40 16 T O T A L S 13 13 20 21 55 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.26 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.17 (no red card) Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.79 (no red card) Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.65 (no red card) Df Harry Martyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.46 (no red card) Df Joan Hierro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.32 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.29 (no red card) Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.09 (no red card) Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.87 (no red card) Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.31 (no red card) Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.98 (no red card) Fw Victor Pino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.55 (no red card) Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.25 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.19 (no red card) ******* DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Alex M'Boma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.96 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.12 (no red card) Sw Jun-Seo Min: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.42 (no red card) Df Marcel Pechet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.04 (no red card) Df Sebastien Barbet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.82 (no red card) Mf Gareth Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.67 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.89 (no red card) Mf Lyn Rogers: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.89 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.49 (no red card) Fw Clement Kenne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.47 (no red card) Fw David Dziekanowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.77 (no red card) Fw Douglas Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.43 (no red card) Fw José Borges: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.41 (no red card) Fw Luiz Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.52 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0 - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 70.44 (no injury) Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.91 (no injury) Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.29 (no injury) Df Harry Martyn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.21 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 2 Harry Martyn is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Harry Martyn new match skill level = 3 Harry Martyn new match total level = 5 Df Joan Hierro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.22 (no injury) Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.55 (no injury) Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.75 (no injury) Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.91 (no injury) Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.88 (no injury) Fw Victor Pino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.02 (no injury) Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.75 (no injury) ******* DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0 - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Alex M'Boma: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 58.57 (no injury) Sw Jun-Seo Min: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.53 (no injury) Df Marcel Pechet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.24 (no injury) Df Sebastien Barbet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.71 (no injury) Mf Gareth Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.57 (no injury) Mf Lyn Rogers: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.97 (no injury) Fw Clement Kenne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.46 (no injury) Fw David Dziekanowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.02 (no injury) Fw Douglas Vargas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.15 (no injury) Fw José Borges: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.64 (no injury) Fw Luiz Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.12 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Arthur Goodwin SL 13 - Defending Gk: Alex M'Boma SL 13 intRndPk = 75 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Clement Kenne SL 15 - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 16 intRndPk = 2 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 11 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Preston North End FC 18 0 43 40 16 Dagenham & Redbridge 13 13 20 21 55 Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 20) Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((40 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 55) / 5; rounded up) Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 10 1: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Kazuo Kawashima Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Mf Issa Daouda Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 13.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 18.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Mf Kazuo Kawashima Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 1.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Mf Bahaeeddine Ait Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Mf Bahaeeddine Ait Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 63.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Dagenham & Redbridge 13 13 20 21 55 Preston North End FC 18 0 43 40 16 Preston North End FC is using Offside Trap! Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 6 (55 - 43) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 40) / 2; rounded up) Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 2 ((20 - 16) / 3); result rounded up Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 8 1: Attack for Df Marcel Pechet Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 55.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Df Sebastien Barbet Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Fw Luiz Fabinho Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 63.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Fw José Borges Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw José Borges Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 13.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Douglas Vargas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 7.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw David Dziekanowski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 64.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E PRESTON NORTH END FC 0 - DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 1
Match Notes

Unfortunate PK here goes against the I man
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/07 - 8:49 PM