(H)

Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson

Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
FA Shield Round 1
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CARDIFF CITY FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Ryan Vukovic 12 2 14 Gk Justin Donfack 12 2 14 Sw Lucien Kalla 12 2 14 Sw David Lemaigre 13 1 14 Df Mohamadou Sy 13 0 13 Df Gregory Robinson 12 2 14 Df Nestor Omlin 10 2 12 Df Eric Campbell 15 1 16 Df Shiro Minamino 3 2 5 Mf Jeong Yong 12 2 14 Mf Faustino Verón 11 0 11 Mf Artur Zalewski 11 1 12 Mf Pedro Vazquez 3 2 5 Fw Gaëtan Chair 13 2 15 Fw Evaristo Masis 13 1 14 Fw Héctor Vasquez 11 1 12 Fw Farzan Vestergaard 12 1 13 Fw Jair Sanchez 11 2 13 Fw Si-Won Min-woo 13 1 14 Fw Carlos Viana 9 0 9 Fw Danylo Morozov 6 2 8 Fw Leonardo Alonso 6 2 8 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 14 14 30 16 49 ROSTER TOTALS 14 14 30 26 57 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 14 14 30 19 55 T O T A L S 14 14 30 26 57 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.11 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.94 (no red card) Sw Lucien Kalla: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.96 (no red card) Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.84 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.43 (no second yellow) Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.09 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.83 (no red card) Df Shiro Minamino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.21 (no red card) Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.15 (no red card) Mf Pedro Vazquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.09 (no red card) Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.08 (no red card) Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.52 (no red card) Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.27 (no red card) Fw Danylo Morozov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.02 (no red card) ******* CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Justin Donfack: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.28 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.44 (no red card) Sw David Lemaigre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.67 (no red card) Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.9 (no red card) Df Eric Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.25 (no red card) Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.84 (no red card) Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.42 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.42 (no red card) Fw Gaëtan Chair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.19 (no red card) Fw Héctor Vasquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.63 (no red card) Fw Jair Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.18 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.94 (no red card) Fw Carlos Viana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.13 (no red card) Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.93 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0 - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 51.8 (no injury) Sw Lucien Kalla: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.69 (no injury) Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.01 (no injury) Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.47 (no injury) Df Shiro Minamino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.3 (no injury) Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.79 (no injury) Mf Pedro Vazquez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.49 (no injury) Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.92 (no injury) Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.2 (no injury) Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.02 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Si-Won Min-woo is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Fw Danylo Morozov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.47 (no injury) ******* CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0 - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Justin Donfack: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 70.12 (no injury) Sw David Lemaigre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.58 (no injury) Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.84 (no injury) Df Eric Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.88 (no injury) Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.88 (no injury) Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.29 (no injury) Fw Gaëtan Chair: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.46 (no injury) Fw Héctor Vasquez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.96 (no injury) Fw Jair Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.78 (no injury) Fw Carlos Viana: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.98 (no injury) Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.66 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Mohamadou Sy SL 13 - Defending Gk: Justin Donfack SL 12 intRndPk = 26 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Eric Campbell SL 15 - Defending Gk: Ryan Vukovic SL 12 intRndPk = 98 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Plymouth Argyle FC 14 14 30 19 55 Cardiff City FC 14 14 30 26 57 Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 25 (55 - 30); result rounded up Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 26) / 2; rounded up) Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 57) / 3; rounded up) Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 25 1: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 77.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 71.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 97.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Fw Danylo Morozov Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 69.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 87.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 15: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 64.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 21.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Danylo Morozov Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 24: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 19.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 25: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) ******* CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Cardiff City FC 14 14 30 26 57 Plymouth Argyle FC 14 14 30 19 55 Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 27 (57 - 30); result rounded up Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((26 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 55) / 3; rounded up) Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 31 1: Attack for Mf Artur Zalewski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Artur Zalewski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 14.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Mf Jeong Yong Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Artur Zalewski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 43.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Carlos Viana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Carlos Viana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 94.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 18: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 26.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Carlos Viana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 13.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 20: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 34.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 22: Attack for Fw Carlos Viana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 22.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 27: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 30: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 31: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 3 - CARDIFF CITY FC 1
Match Notes

Unlucky but didn’t expect to win
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 06/08 - 12:42 PM