Session 10 orders deadline in 27 hours and 25 minutes
If your team was NMR this season please see the rules for NMR forgiveness (Section 14) and email the commish instructions BEFORE the session 10 deadline...
If an age V or higher player would retire at end of season you can convert him to an age I BRB BEFORE the session 10 deadline...
Compo is a kind soul and wants to remind you to use ALL REMAINING GPP this session. They do not carry over...
MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Friday, March 29th, 2024 - 02:34:08 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 47 // Landing
 
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Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
AP Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LINCOLN CITY FC                            LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mousa Boffin           11    2   13     Gk Marcos Cruz            13    2   15
Sw Bryan Wilkins          12    0   12     Df Geoffrey Pilkington    11    2   13
Df William Baker          13    1   14     Df Aaron MacKay           13    0   13
Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug    16    1   17     Df André Bukari           10    0   10
Mf Weston Williamson      12    1   13     Df Shay Given              6    2    8
Mf Seo Tae-uk             11    0   11     Mf Veselin Dudnyk         13    1   14
Mf Michael Reilly          8    2   10     Mf Dries Onana            11    1   12
Fw Jay Hanny              14    2   16     Mf Do-Hyeon Yo-han        10    1   11
Fw Marcel M'Boma          13    2   15     Fw Taylor Stevenson       13    1   14
Fw Sérgio da Rocha        11    2   13     Fw Justice Shorunmu       12    0   12
Fw Patrick Kennedy        10    2   12     Fw Sven De Bruyne         10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 12 31 34 56        ROSTER TOTALS      15  0 44 37 38    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 12 31 34 65         T O T A L S       18  0 44 37 38    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.37 (no red card)

Sw Bryan Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.47 (no red card)

Df William Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.35 (no red card)

Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.45 (no red card)

Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.78 (no red card)

Mf Seo Tae-uk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.48 (no red card)

Mf Michael Reilly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.92 (no red card)

Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.67 (no red card)

Fw Marcel M'Boma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.02 (no red card)

Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.02 (no red card)

Fw Patrick Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.26 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 52.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 27.38 (no red card)

Df Geoffrey Pilkington: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.6 (no red card)

Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.86 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Aaron MacKay new match skill level =  7
      Aaron MacKay new match total level =  7

Df André Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.65 (no red card)

Df Shay Given: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.66 (no red card)

Mf Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.12 (no red card)

Mf Dries Onana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.37 (no red card)

Mf Do-Hyeon Yo-han: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.46 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Do-Hyeon Yo-han new match skill level =  5
      Do-Hyeon Yo-han new match total level =  6

Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.89 (no red card)

Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.3 (no red card)

Fw Sven De Bruyne: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.22 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 32.94 (no injury) 
Sw Bryan Wilkins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.77 (no injury) 
Df William Baker: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.21 (no injury) 
Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.01 (no injury) 
Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.11 (no injury) 
Mf Seo Tae-uk: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.15 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Reilly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.19 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.46 (no injury) 
Fw Marcel M'Boma: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.91 (no injury) 
Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.98 (no injury) 
Fw Patrick Kennedy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.81 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 89.12 (no injury) 
Df Geoffrey Pilkington: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.35 (no injury) 
Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.54 (no injury) 
Df André Bukari: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.86 (no injury) 
Df Shay Given: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.18 (no injury) 
Mf Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.63 (no injury) 
Mf Dries Onana: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.67 (no injury) 
Mf Do-Hyeon Yo-han: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.1 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.39 (no injury) 
Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.07 (no injury) 
Fw Sven De Bruyne: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.91 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jun-Yeong Chong-gug SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Marcos Cruz SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Veselin Dudnyk SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Mousa Boffin SL 11

     intRndPk = 54
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          13  12  31  34  65
  Lewes FC                 18   0  38  32  38

Lewes FC is using Offside Trap!
Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 14 (65 - 38) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((34 - 32) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 38) / 3;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 71.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 71.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 91.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 18.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 51.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 47.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Patrick Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 23.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 29.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 60.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 76.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 68.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 18   0  38  32  38
  Lincoln City FC          13  12  31  34  65

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 7 (38 - 31); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 65) / 5;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Sven De Bruyne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Sven De Bruyne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Sven De Bruyne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 57.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LINCOLN CITY FC 1  -  LEWES FC 0
 
Match Notes
All the leagues, all the time, we play Dynamite Dave whenever we advance.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 02/12 - 5:58 PM
This would be the season in your favor unfortunately
Dave (Lewes FC) 02/15 - 11:06 PM
Dynamite Dave? Because when 10 Hard and 10 GPP isn't enough...
Ian (Preston North End FC) 02/16 - 2:10 AM
Dynamite meaning a mess
Dave (Lewes FC) 02/17 - 1:49 PM
2 red cards is brutal….too much to overcome
Dave (Lewes FC) 02/17 - 7:28 PM
Nice tactics with the OST, Dave, we were lucky to advance
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 02/17 - 7:57 PM
 
 
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