(H)
Watford
James Tucker
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
FA Cup Round 2 Replay
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WATFORD CARLISLE UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mads Frost 13 2 15 Gk Dani Cassio 6 2 8
Sw Nico Lehmann 6 2 8 Sw Ramires Jesus 13 1 14
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk 14 1 15 Df Jacob Beynon 10 0 10
Df Keita Hattori 13 2 15 Df Toshihiro Nakamura 6 2 8
Mf Kevin Castex 16 2 18 Df Kyria Brozovic 3 2 5
Mf Callum Rowles 10 0 10 Df Marco D'amato 9 2 11
Fw Valerio Paredes 14 2 16 Mf Minato Morishima 6 2 8
Fw Takao Soma 13 1 14 Mf Ousmane Laforest 3 -1 2
Fw Djonno De boer 12 2 14 Mf Jordan Pérez 10 2 12
Fw Edgar Jimenez 9 2 11 Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue 6 2 8
Fw Yassine Aloui 3 2 5 Fw Agustin Martinez 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
15 8 30 28 60 ROSTER TOTALS 8 14 34 22 13
0 0 0 0 1 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
=======================================================================
15 8 30 28 70 T O T A L S 8 14 41 22 13
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.41 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.82 (no red card)
Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.06 (no red card)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.49 (no red card)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.98 (no red card)
Mf Kevin Castex: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.28 (no red card)
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.13 (no red card)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.09 (no red card)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.71 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.12 (no second yellow)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.87 (no red card)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.06 (no red card)
Fw Yassine Aloui: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.59 (no red card)
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.07 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.69 (no red card)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.1 (no red card)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.91 (no red card)
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.79 (no red card)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.56 (no red card)
Df Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.45 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.47 (no second yellow)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.95 (no red card)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.43 (no red card)
Mf Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.97 (no red card)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.29 (no red card)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.14 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 80.04 (no injury)
Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.49 (no injury)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.91 (no injury)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.46 (no injury)
Mf Kevin Castex: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.27 (no injury)
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.62 (no injury)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.34 (no injury)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 92.31 (no injury)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.5 (no injury)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.05 (no injury)
Fw Yassine Aloui: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.81 (no injury)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 94.84 (no injury)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.04 (no injury)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.87 (no injury)
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.88 (no injury)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.72 (no injury)
Df Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.89 (no injury)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.17 (no injury)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.89 (no injury)
Mf Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.39 (no injury)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.55 (no injury)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.08 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Kevin Castex SL 16
- Defending Gk: Dani Cassio SL 6
intRndPk = 5
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 15 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jacob Beynon SL 10
- Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 15 8 30 28 70
Carlisle United 8 14 41 22 13
Watford Fw Attacks = 29 (70 - 41); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 3 ((28 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Watford Df Attacks = 6 ((30 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 38
1: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Kevin Castex
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Kevin Castex
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Kevin Castex
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 34.43 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Yassine Aloui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 92.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
16: Attack for Fw Yassine Aloui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 55.65 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 7.79 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 51.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 41.82 (Shot Saved by Gk)
25: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target)
26: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Yassine Aloui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 60.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
29: Attack for Fw Yassine Aloui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
32: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
33: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
34: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
35: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 85.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
36: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
37: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 78.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
38: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 8 14 41 22 13
Watford 15 8 30 28 70
Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 30)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 28) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 70) / 3; rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 0
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WATFORD 5 - CARLISLE UNITED 0
Match Notes
Diamond Dave and JT. Good luck gentlemen! No shenanigans here!
Allan (Brentford FC) 01/28 - 11:46 PM
Carlisle 7th on Watfords most played fixtures. Hope to benefit from the lucky draw.
James (Watford) 01/31 - 9:02 AM
One of your easier wins against us I'm sure, James. Good luck going forward.
Dave (Carlisle United) 02/01 - 12:12 AM