(H)

Watford
James Tucker

Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
FA Shield Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S WATFORD BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Riccardo Di matteo 16 2 18 Gk Jonas Lien 12 2 14 Sw Saul Aquino 15 2 17 Sw Bradley Perry 14 2 16 Df Felipe Pérez 15 1 16 Df Jaap De wit 13 2 15 Df Walter McGree 10 2 12 Df Eric Aidoo 13 2 15 Mf Breno Freda 11 0 11 Mf Yuriy Taran 13 2 15 Mf Federico Machado 10 1 11 Mf Raouf Salem 13 2 15 Fw Edgar Jimenez 15 2 17 Mf William Gomez 11 2 13 Fw Julien De Boeck 13 1 14 Fw Takao Soma 13 2 15 Fw Hakim Aboukhlal 10 2 12 Fw Elliot Wilkins 16 2 18 Fw Valerio Paredes 10 2 12 Fw Marcus Cole 10 2 12 Fw Matty Begum 9 2 11 Fw Khalilou Konaté 9 2 11 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 17 28 22 66 ROSTER TOTALS 14 16 30 43 56 0 0 1 0 0 HARDNESS 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 18 17 38 22 66 T O T A L S 17 19 30 43 56 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.1 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.54 (no red card) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.5 (no red card) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.29 (no red card) Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.3 (no red card) Mf Breno Freda: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.45 (no red card) Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.53 (no red card) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.08 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.88 (no second yellow) Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.8 (no red card) Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.75 (no red card) Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.19 (no red card) Fw Matty Begum: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.36 (no red card) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.73 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.6 (no red card) Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.63 (no red card) Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.49 (no red card) Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.42 (no red card) Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.18 (no red card) Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.1 (no red card) Mf William Gomez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.64 (no red card) Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.3 (no red card) Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.09 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.09 (no red card) Fw Marcus Cole: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.99 (no red card) Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.27 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.75% Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 80.59 (no injury) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.79 (no injury) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 97.53 (no injury) Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 82.2 (no injury) Mf Breno Freda: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 41.98 (no injury) Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 60.36 (no injury) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 61.04 (no injury) Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 97.63 (no injury) Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 32.85 (no injury) Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 2.96 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 6 Valerio Paredes is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Valerio Paredes new match skill level = 5 Valerio Paredes new match total level = 7 Fw Matty Begum: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 27.91 (no injury) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1 - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.75% Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 19.57 (no injury) Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 19.36 (no injury) Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 57.61 (no injury) Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 50.22 (no injury) Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 89.15 (no injury) Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 33.99 (no injury) Mf William Gomez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 26.83 (no injury) Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 78.33 (no injury) Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 61.73 (no injury) Fw Marcus Cole: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 82.33 (no injury) Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 86.18 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Felipe Pérez SL 15 - Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 12 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick) ******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Elliot Wilkins SL 16 - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Watford 18 17 38 22 61 Brighton & Hove Albion 17 19 30 43 56 Watford Fw Attacks = 31 (61 - 30); result rounded up Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 43) / 2; rounded up) Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 56) / 3; rounded up) Watford Total Attacks = 31 1: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 91.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 75.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 93.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 22: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 22.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 26: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 16.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 28: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 30: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 31: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 61.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Brighton & Hove Albion 17 19 30 43 56 Watford 18 17 38 22 61 Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 18 (56 - 38); result rounded up Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 11 ((43 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 61) / 3; rounded up) Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 29 1: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 22.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Mf William Gomez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Mf William Gomez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 26.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 12.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 5.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Marcus Cole Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Fw Marcus Cole Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 60.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 18: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Marcus Cole Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 24: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 25: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 2.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 27: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 45.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E WATFORD 2 - BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0
Match Notes

We desperately need to advance in the remaining cups.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 02/02 - 7:54 PM


Not our season. No cups combined with relegation make for one of the worst seasons in Brighton’s long history. ☹️
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 02/09 - 8:25 PM

Even game - we got the luck of goals! Hard luck Brian
James (Watford) 02/10 - 10:54 AM