(H)
Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
FA Shield Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
TRANMERE ROVERS NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alexander Bach 15 2 17 Gk Jonathan Kome 16 2 18
Sw Blerim Omlin 16 2 18 Sw Victor Rui 8 2 10
Df Martin Morales 10 2 12 Df Phil Connolly 10 2 12
Df Kachi Kubo 8 2 10 Df Martin Persson 9 2 11
Df Joan Leon 5 2 7 Df Pieter Willems 8 2 10
Mf Ahmed El Ahmadi 10 2 12 Df Russell Taylor 3 2 5
Mf Branko Kovac 9 2 11 Mf Marwan Sforza 10 2 12
Fw Kwadwo Djiku 15 2 17 Mf Taha Tagnaouti 8 2 10
Fw Robbie Murphy 9 2 11 Mf Paul Simons 7 2 9
Fw Ireneusz Michniewicz 8 2 10 Fw Bruno Freda 3 2 5
Fw Miroslav Pynchuk 8 2 10 Fw Ghaith Abid 8 2 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 18 29 23 48 ROSTER TOTALS 18 10 38 31 15
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 18 29 23 57 T O T A L S 18 10 38 31 15
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.59 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.08 (no red card)
Sw Blerim Omlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.06 (no red card)
Df Martin Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.66 (no red card)
Df Kachi Kubo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.41 (no red card)
Df Joan Leon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.52 (no red card)
Mf Ahmed El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.28 (no red card)
Mf Branko Kovac: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.9 (no red card)
Fw Kwadwo Djiku: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.84 (no red card)
Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.51 (no red card)
Fw Ireneusz Michniewicz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.91 (no red card)
Fw Miroslav Pynchuk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.05 (no red card)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.5 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.78 (no red card)
Sw Victor Rui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.18 (no red card)
Df Phil Connolly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.76 (no red card)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.2 (no red card)
Df Pieter Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.53 (no red card)
Df Russell Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.55 (no red card)
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.3 (no red card)
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.72 (no red card)
Mf Paul Simons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.22 (no red card)
Fw Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.26 (no red card)
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.68 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 0
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 10.05 (no injury)
Sw Blerim Omlin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.0 (no injury)
Df Martin Morales: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.1 (no injury)
Df Kachi Kubo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.6 (no injury)
Df Joan Leon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.89 (no injury)
Mf Ahmed El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.58 (no injury)
Mf Branko Kovac: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.54 (no injury)
Fw Kwadwo Djiku: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.31 (no injury)
Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.57 (no injury)
Fw Ireneusz Michniewicz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.88 (no injury)
Fw Miroslav Pynchuk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.49 (no injury)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 67.97 (no injury)
Sw Victor Rui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.42 (no injury)
Df Phil Connolly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.26 (no injury)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.65 (no injury)
Df Pieter Willems: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.26 (no injury)
Df Russell Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.13 (no injury)
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.63 (no injury)
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.73 (no injury)
Mf Paul Simons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.17 (no injury)
Fw Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.62 (no injury)
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.64 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Kwadwo Djiku SL 15
- Defending Gk: Jonathan Kome SL 16
intRndPk = 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
******* TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Phil Connolly SL 10
- Defending Gk: Alexander Bach SL 15
intRndPk = 78
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Tranmere Rovers 17 18 29 23 57
Nottingham Forest 18 10 38 31 15
Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 19 (57 - 38); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 31) / 2; rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 5 ((29 - 15) / 3); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 24
1: Attack for Df Martin Morales
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 63.19 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Martin Morales
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Martin Morales
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Joan Leon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 87.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Df Martin Morales
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Ireneusz Michniewicz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 54.12 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Ireneusz Michniewicz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 45.05 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 10.64 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 24.87 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Miroslav Pynchuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 26.12 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Miroslav Pynchuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 73.52 (Shot Saved by Gk)
22: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
23: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 18 10 38 31 15
Tranmere Rovers 17 18 29 23 57
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 29)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 4 ((31 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 57) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 4
1: Attack for Mf Paul Simons
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 59.29 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Taha Tagnaouti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Marwan Sforza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Marwan Sforza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
TRANMERE ROVERS 1 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
Match Notes
Olmec Steve rolling into Tranmere thinking confidence is a game plan. It occasionally is. Occasionally.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/06 - 6:31 PM
I think Nottingham pull this one out in a close 90 minutes.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/11 - 12:15 AM
Tranmere do the job quietly, which is the best way to do it. Olmec Steve will have a spreadsheet full of reasons why this happened — none of them will include the word accountability.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/13 - 6:30 PM
I think I put PFD in the wrong match (vs Chesterfield)
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 06/13 - 6:49 PM