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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 52 // Landing
 
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UNITED!
(H)
Leeds United
Abe Hamdali
 
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
 
FA Cup Quarterfinals
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEEDS UNITED                               BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gianni Tabarez         14    0   14     Gk Ethan Maddison         12    0   12
Sw Roel De vries           3    2    5     Df DongHyun Young-min     12    2   14
Df Julien Sonko           12    1   13     Df Matheus Robinho        14    2   16
Df Tunahan Horta           7    2    9     Df Jason McDiarmid        13    2   15
Df Cesar Vela              7    2    9     Df Federico Zanetti       13    1   14
Mf David Zurawski         10    0   10     Mf Renato Ortega          12    1   13
Fw Iain Pratt             16    0   16     Df Minki Sung-yeung        8    1    9
Fw Harouna Niang          13    0   13     Fw Ruben Gutiérrez        19    2   21
Mf Danny Rose             10    2   12     Fw Elias Mayer            13    2   15
Fw Kevin De Smet          14    1   15     Fw Ji-Hun Min             12    2   14
Fw Giliard Ramos           7    2    9     Mf Bastien Troussier      10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14  5 31 22 53        ROSTER TOTALS      12  0 68 25 50    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  1    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  3    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14  5 31 22 62         T O T A L S       14  0 68 25 54    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEEDS UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gianni Tabarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.2 (no red card)

Sw Roel De vries: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.92 (no red card)

Df Julien Sonko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.42 (no red card)

Df Tunahan Horta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.37 (no red card)

Df Cesar Vela: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.05 (no red card)

Mf David Zurawski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.44 (no red card)

Fw Iain Pratt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.72 (no red card)

Fw Harouna Niang: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.29 (no red card)

Mf Danny Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.24 (no red card)

Fw Kevin De Smet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.57 (no red card)

Fw Giliard Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.66 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.98 (no second yellow)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.65 (no red card)

Df DongHyun Young-min: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.63 (no red card)

Df Matheus Robinho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.09 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.59 (no second yellow)

Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.11 (no red card)

Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.56 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.54 (no second yellow)

Mf Renato Ortega: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.6 (no red card)

Df Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.2 (no red card)

Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.94 (no red card)

Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.88 (no red card)

Fw Ji-Hun Min: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.24 (no red card)

Mf Bastien Troussier: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.26 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Gianni Tabarez: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 68.86 (no injury) 
Sw Roel De vries: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.82 (no injury) 
Df Julien Sonko: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.22 (no injury) 
Df Tunahan Horta: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.0 (no injury) 
Df Cesar Vela: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.78 (no injury) 
Mf David Zurawski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.36 (no injury) 
Fw Iain Pratt: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.68 (no injury) 
Fw Harouna Niang: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.95 (no injury) 
Mf Danny Rose: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.2 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Danny Rose is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Kevin De Smet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.27 (no injury) 
Fw Giliard Ramos: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.69 (no injury) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 41.7 (no injury) 
Df DongHyun Young-min: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.24 (no injury) 
Df Matheus Robinho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.98 (no injury) 
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.41 (no injury) 
Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.73 (no injury) 
Mf Renato Ortega: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.27 (no injury) 
Df Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.31 (no injury) 
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.56 (no injury) 
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.96 (no injury) 
Fw Ji-Hun Min: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.95 (no injury) 
Mf Bastien Troussier: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.98 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Iain Pratt SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ruben Gutiérrez SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Gianni Tabarez SL 14

     intRndPk = 49
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEEDS UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leeds United             14   5  31  22  62
  Brighton & Hove Albion   14   0  68  25  54

Brighton & Hove Albion is using Offside Trap!
Leeds United Fw Attacks = 0 (62 - 68)
Leeds United Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
Leeds United Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
Leeds United Total Attacks = 0


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   14   0  68  25  54
  Leeds United             14   5  31  22  62

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 23 (54 - 31); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 2 ((25 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 2 ((68 - 62) / 5); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Df Matheus Robinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Jason McDiarmid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Bastien Troussier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 37.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Renato Ortega
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 29.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 19.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 22.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 29.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 26.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 84.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 50.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 11.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 89.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 10.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEEDS UNITED 0  -  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 2
 

Match Notes

The FA Cup is my thing, but this looks to be where the ride ends this season.
~ Brian ~ May 30 (Brighton & Hove Albion)  
Beerman at Elland Road chasing another FA Cup run — fair play, it's all he cares about. Just when you think Brighton are done, they probably are. His words, not mine.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ Jun 1 (Blyth Spartans AFC)  
Well played, OLMEC. Well played.
~ Brian ~ Jun 4 (Brighton & Hove Albion)  
A surprising lineup Abe. We’re happy to advance.
~ Brian ~ Jun 6 (Brighton & Hove Albion)  
Beerman doing what Beerman does — goes to Elland Road and leaves with three points. B-Squared and his water tactics, you never see it coming.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ Jun 6 (Blyth Spartans AFC)  
Good game and a well deserved win Brian
~ Abe ~ Jun 7 (Leeds United)  
A brace for Min.
~ Brian ~ Jun 8 (Brighton & Hove Albion)  
 
 
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