(H)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
FA Cup Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NOTTINGHAM FOREST DORCHESTER TOWN
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Kurt Östman 16 2 18 Gk Logan McKennie 12 2 14
Sw Thiago Boniek 13 2 15 Sw Esteban Martin 13 2 15
Df Gualberto Burgos 13 1 14 Df Vieira Mendes 13 1 14
Df Nour Zaroury 13 2 15 Df Jonathan Acosta 12 1 13
Df Vagner Marcelo 12 2 14 Df Grégory Lloris 10 2 12
Mf Noah Martinez 11 2 13 Df Josip Sommer 7 2 9
Mf Johnny Rieder 9 2 11 Mf Bertus De leeuw 13 2 15
Fw Paul Dumont 13 2 15 Mf Nazariy Gusak 7 2 9
Fw Óscar Vargas 16 2 18 Fw Aaron Jones 14 2 16
Fw Atef Omar 12 2 14 Fw Torben Thygesen 13 1 14
Fw Kian Clarke 9 1 10 Fw Boris Rudenko 16 2 18
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 15 43 24 57 ROSTER TOTALS 14 15 48 24 48
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 3 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 3 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 4 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
21 18 43 24 66 T O T A L S 17 15 48 28 48
============================================================================
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.78 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.08 (no red card)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.6 (no red card)
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.76 (no red card)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.12 (no red card)
Df Vagner Marcelo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.17 (no red card)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.8 (no red card)
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.31 (no red card)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.44 (no red card)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.85 (no red card)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.18 (no red card)
Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.78 (no red card)
******* DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 3
- Gk Hardness = 3
Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 2.83 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 58.05 (no red card)
Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 37.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 55.6 (no red card)
Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 17.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 84.43 (no red card)
Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 73.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 7.18 (no red card)
Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 83.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 72.31 (no red card)
Df Josip Sommer: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 61.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 7.17 (no red card)
Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 72.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 96.15 (no red card)
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 15.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 17.18 (no red card)
Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 5.56 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 11.45 (no second yellow)
Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 97.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 5.1 (no red card)
Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 84.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 6.44 (no red card)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 3
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 71.42 (no injury)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 34.38 (no injury)
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 21.39 (no injury)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 1.97 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Nour Zaroury is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Nour Zaroury new match skill level = 7
Nour Zaroury new match total level = 9
Df Vagner Marcelo: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 40.22 (no injury)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 68.07 (no injury)
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 92.89 (no injury)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 63.58 (no injury)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 15.42 (no injury)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 76.27 (no injury)
Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 93.64 (no injury)
******* DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 3
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 80.55 (no injury)
Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.53 (no injury)
Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.36 (no injury)
Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.31 (no injury)
Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.39 (no injury)
Df Josip Sommer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.52 (no injury)
Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.33 (no injury)
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.48 (no injury)
Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.4 (no injury)
Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.65 (no injury)
Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.76 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Óscar Vargas SL 16
- Defending Gk: Logan McKennie SL 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Boris Rudenko SL 16
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 16
intRndPk = 30
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 21 18 37 24 66
Dorchester Town 17 15 48 28 48
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 18 (66 - 48); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 28) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 48) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 18
1: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 53.47 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 67.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 94.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 32.41 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
******* DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Dorchester Town 17 15 48 28 48
Nottingham Forest 21 18 37 24 66
Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 11 (48 - 37); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 2 ((28 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((48 - 66) / 3; rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 13
1: Attack for Mf Bertus De leeuw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 3.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 0.09 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1 - DORCHESTER TOWN 0
Match Notes
Not a game we would have picked. Forest have just spent big. We need a big performance.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 02/01 - 12:59 PM
Relieved to be through
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/01 - 6:24 PM
Unlucky to lose but Forest had the better of a close game.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 02/03 - 3:25 PM