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Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
 
FA Cup Quarterfinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEWES FC                                   SWINDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ethan Maddison         16    2   18     Gk Bo Norlén              12    0   12
Sw Oisin Lundin            3    2    5     Df Secundino López        13   -1   12
Df Cássio Alisson         13    2   15     Df Yahaya Etim            12    0   12
Df Rodrygo Paulinho       13    0   13     Df Martin Toivonen        12    1   13
Df Javi Flores             7    2    9     Mf Cameron Gates          12    0   12
Mf Imed Ahmed             12    2   14     Mf Etienne Willems        10    1   11
Mf Luis Jarquin           10    1   11     Mf Artem Fedorov           8    2   10
Fw Jean Diouf             15    2   17     Mf Virgil Hoekstra         5    2    7
Fw Shinya Soma            10    2   12     Fw Valeriy Yastenko       13    0   13
Fw Gregorio Caballero      7    2    9     Fw Yuto Kawashima         12    0   12
Fw Justice Shorunmu        7    2    9     Fw Bartosz Frankowski      8    1    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  5 37 25 47        ROSTER TOTALS      12  0 37 40 34    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21  5 37 25 56         T O T A L S       12  0 37 40 34    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 33.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 48.65 (no red card)

Sw Oisin Lundin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.19 (no red card)

Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.63 (no red card)

Df Rodrygo Paulinho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.52 (no red card)

Df Javi Flores: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.32 (no red card)

Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.3 (no red card)

Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.76 (no red card)

Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.76 (no red card)

Fw Shinya Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.63 (no red card)

Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.91 (no red card)

Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.5 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.06 (no red card)

Df Secundino López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.72 (no red card)

Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.2 (no red card)

Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.26 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.55 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.33 (no second yellow)

Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.79 (no red card)

Mf Artem Fedorov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.16 (no red card)

Mf Virgil Hoekstra: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.3 (no red card)

Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.45 (no red card)

Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.06 (no red card)

Fw Bartosz Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.59 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 22.13 (no injury) 
Sw Oisin Lundin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.37 (no injury) 
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.98 (no injury) 
Df Rodrygo Paulinho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.37 (no injury) 
Df Javi Flores: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.45 (no injury) 
Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.17 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.7 (no injury) 
Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.3 (no injury) 
Fw Shinya Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.22 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Shinya Soma is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Shinya Soma new match skill level =  5
      Shinya Soma new match total level =  7
Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.49 (no injury) 
Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.3 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 76.96 (no injury) 
Df Secundino López: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.22 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Secundino López loses 0 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Secundino López new match skill level =  7
      Secundino López new match total level =  6
Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.49 (no injury) 
Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.11 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.37 (no injury) 
Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.65 (no injury) 
Mf Artem Fedorov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.32 (no injury) 
Mf Virgil Hoekstra: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.48 (no injury) 
Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.82 (no injury) 
Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.94 (no injury) 
Fw Bartosz Frankowski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.53 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jean Diouf SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Bo Norlén SL 12

     intRndPk = 36
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Valeriy Yastenko SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 21   5  37  25  51
  Swindon Town FC          12   0  31  40  34

Swindon Town FC is using Offside Trap!
Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 10 (51 - 31) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 1 ((37 - 34) / 3); result rounded up
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Rodrygo Paulinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 88.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 30.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 87.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 49.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 93.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 49.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 55.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          12   0  31  40  34
  Lewes FC                 21   5  37  25  51

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (34 - 37)
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((40 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 51) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Virgil Hoekstra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 53.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 36.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Virgil Hoekstra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 66.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEWES FC 3  -  SWINDON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Swindon to spring a surprise win
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 06/17 - 4:54 PM
Got a little lucky did you Dave
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 06/21 - 10:43 PM
Well...twice as many shots and better GK.....luck?
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/26 - 12:56 PM
 
 
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