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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 51 // Landing
 
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Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
Leeds United
Abe Hamdali
 
 
FA Cup Quarterfinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         LEEDS UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Per Holmdahl           13    2   15     Gk Gianni Tabarez         16    2   18
Sw Piotr Sobolewski       12   -1   11     Sw Enoch Yahaya            7    2    9
Df Jack Nabbout           13    2   15     Df Pedro Canobbio         13    0   13
Df Edwin O'Doherty        12    2   14     Df Frederik Hansen        13   -1   12
Df Michaël Van der Heyden 10    2   12     Df Servando Verón          8    2   10
Mf Mario Pletikosa        12    2   14     Mf Lucien Alderweireld    10    1   11
Mf Patrice Djemba         10    2   12     Mf David Zurawski          7    2    9
Mf Ivan Jackson            7    2    9     Fw Harouna Niang          16    0   16
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric      15    2   17     Fw Hwangbo Min-sung       16    1   17
Fw Bassem Mkademi         12    2   14     Fw Cesare Nesta           10    2   12
Fw Olivier Havet           7    2    9     Fw Salah Mansour           7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 11 41 35 40        ROSTER TOTALS      18  9 35 20 54    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 11 41 37 47         T O T A L S       18  9 35 20 54    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.41 (no red card)

Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.18 (no red card)

Df Jack Nabbout: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.46 (no red card)

Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.58 (no red card)

Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.78 (no red card)

Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.31 (no red card)

Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.25 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.09 (no red card)

Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.5 (no red card)

Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.02 (no red card)

Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.26 (no red card)

*******  LEEDS UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gianni Tabarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.2 (no red card)

Sw Enoch Yahaya: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.37 (no red card)

Df Pedro Canobbio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.23 (no red card)

Df Frederik Hansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.49 (no red card)

Df Servando Verón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.66 (no red card)

Mf Lucien Alderweireld: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.66 (no red card)

Mf David Zurawski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.22 (no red card)

Fw Harouna Niang: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.7 (no red card)

Fw Hwangbo Min-sung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.54 (no red card)

Fw Cesare Nesta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.9 (no red card)

Fw Salah Mansour: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.31 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 68.5 (no injury) 
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.13 (no injury) 
Df Jack Nabbout: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.78 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.44 (no injury) 
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.47 (no injury) 
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.21 (no injury) 
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.64 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.5 (no injury) 
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.51 (no injury) 
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.05 (no injury) 
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.37 (no injury) 

*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gianni Tabarez: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 22.55 (no injury) 
Sw Enoch Yahaya: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.08 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Canobbio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.71 (no injury) 
Df Frederik Hansen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.6 (no injury) 
Df Servando Verón: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.46 (no injury) 
Mf Lucien Alderweireld: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.37 (no injury) 
Mf David Zurawski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.73 (no injury) 
Fw Harouna Niang: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.33 (no injury) 
Fw Hwangbo Min-sung: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.2 (no injury) 
Fw Cesare Nesta: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.88 (no injury) 
Fw Salah Mansour: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.99 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Zvonimir Bradaric SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Gianni Tabarez SL 16

     intRndPk = 96
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Harouna Niang SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 13

     intRndPk = 40
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       15  11  41  37  47
  Leeds United             18   9  35  20  54

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 12 (47 - 35); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((37 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 18.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 72.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 84.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 98.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  LEEDS UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leeds United             18   9  35  20  54
  Crewe Alexandra FC       15  11  41  37  47

Leeds United Fw Attacks = 13 (54 - 41); result rounded up
Leeds United Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 37) / 2;  rounded up)
Leeds United Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Leeds United Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Fw Harouna Niang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Harouna Niang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Hwangbo Min-sung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Hwangbo Min-sung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Hwangbo Min-sung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Harouna Niang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Hwangbo Min-sung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 27.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Cesare Nesta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Hwangbo Min-sung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 15.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Cesare Nesta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Harouna Niang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Harouna Niang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Harouna Niang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 2  -  LEEDS UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Can we take the slight advantage given by home advantage
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/01 - 9:24 AM  
Home advantage swung that Cup tie
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/08 - 9:08 AM  
The better keeper and better sweeper made a difference in this match!! Well deserved win here Carl!!
Abe (Leeds United) 02/10 - 4:46 PM  
 
 
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