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Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PRESTON NORTH END FC                       PORT VALE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Logan Thompson         16    2   18     Gk Edoardo Mariani        16    2   18
Df Daniel Shilton         14    2   16     Sw Luca Cole               7    2    9
Df Roger Owen             10    2   12     Df Cliff Banks            13    0   13
Df Riley Ward              7    2    9     Df Tristan Bardin          9    2   11
Mf Felipe Rocha           14    2   16     Df Alessio Rinaldi         7    2    9
Mf Luke Quinn             17    2   19     Mf Cameron Hill           12    1   13
Mf Harley Brown           10    2   12     Mf Aarron Wilkinson        7    2    9
Fw John Hale              10    1   11     Fw James Hayes            14    1   15
Fw Allan Fleming          10    2   12     Fw Wes Ryan               15    0   15
Fw Itzhak  Bar             7    2    9     Fw Clifton Stevens        11    0   11
Fw Johan Van Zandt         3    2    5     Fw Reece Gray              7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  0 37 47 37        ROSTER TOTALS      18  9 33 22 50    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  0 46 47 37         T O T A L S       19  9 33 22 50    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Logan Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.41 (no red card)

Df Daniel Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.56 (no red card)

Df Roger Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.42 (no red card)

Df Riley Ward: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.6 (no red card)

Mf Felipe Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.72 (no red card)

Mf Luke Quinn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.94 (no red card)

Mf Harley Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.97 (no red card)

Fw John Hale: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.46 (no red card)

Fw Allan Fleming: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.27 (no red card)

Fw Itzhak  Bar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.56 (no red card)

Fw Johan Van Zandt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.05 (no red card)

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Edoardo Mariani: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 57.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 48.01 (no red card)

Sw Luca Cole: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 91.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 18.0 (no red card)

Df Cliff Banks: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 91.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 5.86 (no red card)

Df Tristan Bardin: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 87.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 31.16 (no red card)

Df Alessio Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 38.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 43.84 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 94.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 24.83 (no red card)

Mf Aarron Wilkinson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 57.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 0.62 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Aarron Wilkinson new match skill level =  4
      Aarron Wilkinson new match total level =  6

Fw James Hayes: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 15.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 34.72 (no red card)

Fw Wes Ryan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 99.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 86.12 (no red card)

Fw Clifton Stevens: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 72.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 30.66 (no red card)

Fw Reece Gray: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 97.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 49.24 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Logan Thompson: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 63.0 (no injury) 
Df Daniel Shilton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.65 (no injury) 
Df Roger Owen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.97 (no injury) 
Df Riley Ward: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.24 (no injury) 
Mf Felipe Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.19 (no injury) 
Mf Luke Quinn: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.33 (no injury) 
Mf Harley Brown: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.08 (no injury) 
Fw John Hale: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.06 (no injury) 
Fw Allan Fleming: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.22 (no injury) 
Fw Itzhak  Bar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.16 (no injury) 
Fw Johan Van Zandt: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.8 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Johan Van Zandt is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Johan Van Zandt new match skill level =  2
      Johan Van Zandt new match total level =  4

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Edoardo Mariani: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 70.9 (no injury) 
Sw Luca Cole: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.47 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Banks: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 92.83 (no injury) 
Df Tristan Bardin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.05 (no injury) 
Df Alessio Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.01 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.96 (no injury) 
Mf Aarron Wilkinson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.3 (no injury) 
Fw James Hayes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.21 (no injury) 
Fw Wes Ryan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.28 (no injury) 
Fw Clifton Stevens: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.71 (no injury) 
Fw Reece Gray: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.6 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luke Quinn SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Edoardo Mariani SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Wes Ryan SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Logan Thompson SL 16

     intRndPk = 78
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     18   0  46  47  36
  Port Vale FC             19   9  33  19  50

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 3 (36 - 33); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 14 ((47 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 50) / 5;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Mf Luke Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Luke Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Luke Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Luke Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Felipe Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Luke Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Luke Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Luke Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 10.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Luke Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Harley Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Luke Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 67.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Luke Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 69.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Luke Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Luke Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 15.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw John Hale
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 90.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Allan Fleming
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Allan Fleming
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             19   9  33  19  50
  Preston North End FC     18   0  46  47  36

Preston North End FC is using Offside Trap!
Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 2 (50 - 46) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 47) / 2;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 36) / 3;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Fw Clifton Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 61.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Reece Gray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 87.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 1  -  PORT VALE FC 1
 
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