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Wednesday, June 11th, 2025 - 09:21:35 AM (gmt)
 
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Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DORCHESTER TOWN                            CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kris Vermant            6    2    8     Gk Per Holmdahl           11    2   13
Df Andre Ngwa             13    2   15     Sw Piotr Sobolewski        6    2    8
Df Hugo Quintero          13    2   15     Df Michaël Van der Heyden 13    0   13
Df Grégory Lloris          9    2   11     Df Sion Davey             10    2   12
Df Sim Young-gwon          6    2    8     Df Magnus Waering          3    2    5
Mf Bastiaan de Jong       13    2   15     Mf Patrice Djemba         13    0   13
Mf Nazariy Gusak          11    1   12     Mf Smahi Youssef          13    0   13
Mf Dragan Shvets           6    2    8     Mf Ivan Jackson            3    2    5
Fw Aaron Jones            14    2   16     Fw Slava Levchenko        13    1   14
Fw Teun Van der berg      11    1   12     Fw Haroun Sassi           12    0   12
Fw Luís Oliveira           3    2    5     Fw Bassem Mkademi          6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       8  0 49 35 33        ROSTER TOTALS      13  8 30 31 34    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  3  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10  0 49 38 39         T O T A L S       13 11 34 31 34    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 86.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 36.69 (no red card)

Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 52.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 94.28 (no red card)

Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 39.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 2.34 (no red card)

Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 26.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 33.9 (no red card)

Df Sim Young-gwon: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 54.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 33.17 (no red card)

Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 86.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 4.73 (no red card)

Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 45.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 19.63 (no red card)

Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 54.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 40.53 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.87 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.04 (no second yellow)

Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 96.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 38.85 (no red card)

Fw Luís Oliveira: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 49.7 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.61 (no red card)

Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.16 (no red card)

Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.31 (no red card)

Df Sion Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.67 (no red card)

Df Magnus Waering: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.5 (no red card)

Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.25 (no red card)

Mf Smahi Youssef: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.97 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.91 (no red card)

Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.03 (no red card)

Fw Haroun Sassi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.13 (no red card)

Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.71 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 60.02 (no injury) 
Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 52.68 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 62.81 (no injury) 
Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 91.8 (no injury) 
Df Sim Young-gwon: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 82.2 (no injury) 
Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 15.3 (no injury) 
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 73.42 (no injury) 
Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 94.19 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 75.47 (no injury) 
Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 29.55 (no injury) 
Fw Luís Oliveira: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 93.15 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 75.04 (no injury) 
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 74.56 (no injury) 
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 54.82 (no injury) 
Df Sion Davey: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 30.47 (no injury) 
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 70.17 (no injury) 
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 95.43 (no injury) 
Mf Smahi Youssef: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 59.16 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 98.87 (no injury) 
Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 21.13 (no injury) 
Fw Haroun Sassi: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 86.04 (no injury) 
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 9.68 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aaron Jones SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 11

     intRndPk = 32
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Michaël Van der Heyden SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Kris Vermant SL 6

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          10   0  49  38  39
  Crewe Alexandra FC       13  11  34  31  34

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 5 (39 - 34); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 4 ((38 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 3 ((49 - 34) / 5); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Df Sim Young-gwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Andre Ngwa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Hugo Quintero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 97.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 43.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 94.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Teun Van der berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 81.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       13  11  34  31  34
  Dorchester Town          10   0  49  38  39

Dorchester Town is using Offside Trap!
Crewe Alexandra FC is Playing For A Draw!
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (34 - 49)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 38) / 2;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 39) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DORCHESTER TOWN 3  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1
 
Match Notes
This feels like a draw, so I suspect a hammering for Crewe here
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/02 - 7:35 AM
We need to get some points on the board after our dismal start. Good luck Carl.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 06/02 - 10:09 PM
We get our first points on the board. Still in trouble though.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 06/08 - 4:12 PM
No complaints
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/08 - 6:43 PM
 
 
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