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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Francis Dijkstra        2    2    4     Gk Per Holmdahl           10    1   11
Sw Joseph Hadja           10    2   12     Sw Roman Müller           11    0   11
Df Kazu Fukunishi         12    2   14     Df Joe Wilson             12    0   12
Df Philippe Fabinho       11    2   13     Df Magnus Waering         11    2   13
Df Gildardo Aguilar        6    2    8     Df Dominique Coltorti      6    2    8
Mf Victor Moreira         12    2   14     Mf Óscar Cota             13    1   14
Mf Luke Phillips           6    2    8     Mf Ivan Jackson           10    0   10
Fw Claudio Zappi          13    2   15     Mf Pieter Witsel           3    2    5
Fw Solomon Obi            16    2   18     Fw Bassem Mkademi         13    1   14
Fw Lance James            11    1   12     Fw Olivier Havet          12    2   14
Fw Ben Hamadou             6    2    8     Fw Gonzalo Lopez          14    0   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       4 12 35 22 53        ROSTER TOTALS      11 11 33 29 42    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       4 12 44 22 53         T O T A L S       11 11 33 29 42    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Francis Dijkstra: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.02 (no red card)

Sw Joseph Hadja: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.48 (no red card)

Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.42 (no red card)

Df Philippe Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.8 (no red card)

Df Gildardo Aguilar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.55 (no red card)

Mf Victor Moreira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.12 (no red card)

Mf Luke Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.34 (no red card)

Fw Claudio Zappi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.71 (no red card)

Fw Solomon Obi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.05 (no red card)

Fw Lance James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.03 (no red card)

Fw Ben Hamadou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.75 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.54 (no red card)

Sw Roman Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.69 (no red card)

Df Joe Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.71 (no red card)

Df Magnus Waering: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.9 (no red card)

Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.63 (no red card)

Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.13 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.54 (no red card)

Mf Pieter Witsel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.17 (no red card)

Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.41 (no red card)

Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.39 (no red card)

Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.87 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Francis Dijkstra: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 66.2 (no injury) 
Sw Joseph Hadja: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.07 (no injury) 
Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.12 (no injury) 
Df Philippe Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.02 (no injury) 
Df Gildardo Aguilar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.02 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Moreira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.97 (no injury) 
Mf Luke Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.04 (no injury) 
Fw Claudio Zappi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.92 (no injury) 
Fw Solomon Obi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.05 (no injury) 
Fw Lance James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.5 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Lance James is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Ben Hamadou: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.06 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 60.65 (no injury) 
Sw Roman Müller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.25 (no injury) 
Df Joe Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.19 (no injury) 
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.09 (no injury) 
Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.84 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Dominique Coltorti is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Dominique Coltorti new match skill level =  3
      Dominique Coltorti new match total level =  5
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.35 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.97 (no injury) 
Mf Pieter Witsel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.42 (no injury) 
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.39 (no injury) 
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.29 (no injury) 
Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.98 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Solomon Obi SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 10

     intRndPk = 61
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gonzalo Lopez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Francis Dijkstra SL 2

     intRndPk = 83
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             4  12  44  22  53
  Crewe Alexandra FC       11  11  30  29  42

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 23 (53 - 30); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 1 ((44 - 42) / 3); result rounded up
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Df Gildardo Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 89.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Lance James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Claudio Zappi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Solomon Obi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Ben Hamadou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 99.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Claudio Zappi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 50.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Claudio Zappi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 41.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Claudio Zappi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 62.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Lance James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Lance James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Solomon Obi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Claudio Zappi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Lance James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Solomon Obi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Claudio Zappi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Claudio Zappi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Solomon Obi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Claudio Zappi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 28.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Lance James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 18.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Lance James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 13.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Lance James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Solomon Obi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Ben Hamadou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Claudio Zappi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 38.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       11  11  30  29  42
  Brentford FC             4  12  44  22  53

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (42 - 44)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((29 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 2  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0
 
Match Notes
Sellers hosting Crewe today. Brentford at home should mean business — no excuses for dropping points here. Let's see if Allan's lot mean it.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/17 - 12:09 AM  
Never a manager we play with hope in our heart
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 05/17 - 5:37 AM  
Olmec Head Ray, lacking a GK is a good excuse for Brentford dropping points.
Ian (Preston North End FC) 05/17 - 11:01 PM  
Cautious Carl living up to the nickname again. No risk, no reward, and now no points. Allan will take that all day long.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/23 - 6:30 PM  
Fortunate to park the bus and get a win. Good match Carl.
Allan (Brentford FC) 05/23 - 8:00 PM  
Well that could have gone so much worse
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 05/24 - 7:58 AM  
 
 
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